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Badger Meter: Badger Meter Q1 2026: Soft Start, Strategic Upside

Badger Meter reported Q1 2026 revenue of $202 million, a 9% decline YoY, driven by project pacing and weaker short‑cycle order rates. Gross margin slipped to 41.7% from a record 2025 level, yet the company maintained an operating margin of 17.4% on $35.2 million operating earnings. Diluted EPS fell to $0.93 versus $1.30 last year, while free cash flow hit $30 million and the firm repurchased 256,000 shares for $38 million. CEO Kenneth Bockhorst underscored confidence in a solid second half, citing awarded projects and a projected full‑year organic revenue on balance with 2025. Valuation metrics currently sit at a P/E of 25.85, P/B of 3.48, and EV/EBITDA of 15.88, with a 1.33% dividend yield and 5.15% free cash flow yield, reflecting a modestly priced upside amid a flat organic outlook.

BMI

USD 115.54

-24.13%

A-Score: 4.5/10

Publication date: April 17, 2026

Author: Analystock.ai

📋 Highlights
  • Q1 Revenue Decline: Revenue fell to $202 million (-9% YoY), driven by project pacing and weak short-cycle order rates.
  • Gross Margin Contraction: Gross margin dipped to 41.7% (-120 bps YoY), despite management maintaining 39-42% target range for 2026.
  • UDLive Acquisition: $100 million acquisition of UK-based sewer monitoring provider, expected to be EPS accretive in Year 1.
  • Project Pipeline Expansion: 9 awarded projects with 2.6M–3.6M connections over next years, exceeding prior 800K connections (3-5 years vs. last 3).
  • EPS & Free Cash Flow: Diluted EPS dropped to $0.93 (-28.5% YoY), while free cash flow totaled $30 million with $38 million spent on share repurchases.

Revenue Trends and Pipeline

The quarter’s 10% YoY drop in utility water sales highlights a temporary short‑cycle weakness, but management points to a robust pipeline of nine awarded projects totaling 2.6–3.6 million connections over the next few years—substantially higher than the 800,000 connections delivered in the prior three‑year span. Sequential revenue improvement is expected as these projects mature, with Q2 projected to be down YoY but higher than Q1.

Margin Outlook

Gross margin remains within the 39%–42% target range, bolstered by value‑based pricing. The PRASA project introduces a decremental margin impact, yet its operating leverage remains attractive. Management anticipates returning to a 25%–30% incremental margin level in the second half, offsetting the lower margins from the PRASA project.

Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns

Free cash flow of $30 million supports ongoing share repurchases and a modest dividend. The $38 million repurchase of 256,000 shares reflects a 1.33% dividend yield and a 5.15% free cash flow yield, underscoring the firm’s commitment to returning value to shareholders while maintaining liquidity.

Strategic Acquisition of UDLive

The $100 million purchase of UK‑based UDLive is expected to be EPS accretive in year one and closes in April. UDLive’s sewer line monitoring technology positions Badger Meter in an early‑adoption market, complementing the company’s SmartCover acquisition and offering clear payback through infiltration and inflow management.

Tariff Exposure and Supply Chain

Section 232 tariff exposure has remained stable, with the Nogales facility continuing to optimize costs and manage the supply chain efficiently. This disciplined approach mitigates external tariff risk while preserving margin integrity.

Second‑Half Guidance and Outlook

Management forecasts sequential revenue growth in the second half, projecting a flat organic outlook for the full year but with incremental margin recovery to 25%–30%. The company remains bullish on high single‑digit growth for 2027, driven by project deployment momentum.

Valuation and Investor Sentiment

Badger Meter's A-Score