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Holcim: Holcim's Strong 2025 Performance and Promising 2026 Outlook

Holcim delivered a robust financial performance in 2025, with a 10.3% recurring EBIT growth and an industry-leading margin of 18.3%. The company's net sales growth was accompanied by a significant generation of CHF 2.2 billion in free cash flow. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at 1.85, slightly beating estimates of 1.84. The company's strong profitability and cash generation enabled it to propose a dividend of CHF 1.7, representing a 53% payout ratio and a post-tax dividend yield of 2.4%.

HOLN.SW

CHF 66.22

-4.08%

A-Score: 4.7/10

Publication date: February 27, 2026

Author: Analystock.ai

πŸ“‹ Highlights
  • Profitable Growth in 2025 Recurring EBIT grew 10.3%, with an 18.3% margin, surpassing targets and generating CHF 2.2 billion in free cash flow.
  • Dividend Payout Ratio Proposed CHF 1.7 dividend (53% of net income) reflects strong capital returns, with a 2.4% post-tax yield from CHF 7+ billion reserves.
  • Regional Margin Expansion Latin America achieved >30% EBIT margin; EMEA/Asia/Africa expanded margins by 220 bps, driven by cost discipline and sustainable offerings.
  • 2026 Guidance Targets 8-10% organic EBIT growth, 3-5% net sales growth, and CHF 2 billion free cash flow, with circular construction investments growing at >20% volume CAGR.

Regional Highlights and Drivers of Growth

Europe delivered strong margin expansion driven by a high-value strategy, scaling sustainable offerings, and exercising cost discipline. Latin America achieved double-digit net sales growth with a recurring EBIT margin above 30%. Asia, Middle East, and Africa delivered a double-digit increase in recurring EBIT with 220 basis points of margin expansion. Miljan Gutovic's statement, "Our performance culture, driven by discipline, delivered and will continue to do so," reinforces the company's focus on discipline and its expectation of continued strong performance.

Guidance for 2026 and Key Expectations

For 2026, Holcim guides for 3-5% net sales growth and 8-10% organic EBIT growth, driven by volume, operating leverage, and positive price over cost. The company expects to maintain its margin expansion, driven by its high-value strategy, sustainable offering, decarbonization, and circular construction. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 7.5%, indicating a positive outlook for the company's top line.

Valuation and Dividend Considerations

With a P/E Ratio of 37.43 and a Dividend Yield of 4.49%, Holcim's valuation appears to be influenced by its growth prospects and commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company's ROE of 73.63% and ROIC of 11.08% indicate strong profitability. The proposed dividend of CHF 1.7 represents a significant return to shareholders, and the company's commitment to a progressive dividend policy is evident.

Outlook on Sustainability and Circular Construction

Holcim's focus on sustainable products, such as ECOPlanet and ECOPact, is expected to drive growth, with ECOPlanet accelerating due to strong momentum in various regions. The company's investment in circular construction is expected to continue, with over 20% volume growth targeted. The guidance for 2026 assumes flat volumes in Europe, with a low to mid-single-digit volume growth in Eastern Europe.

Holcim's A-Score