- EPS Growth and Guidance Beat: Diluted EPS rose 7.3% YoY to $5.90, surpassing guidance by $0.15/share, with tax credit amortization increasing to $40M from $30M.
- Customer Growth Outpacing National Trends: Total customers grew 2.3% YoY (2.5% residential) to 660,000, driven by housing and industrial demand, including Micron-related subdivisions.
- 5-Year CapEx Surge and Rate Base Expansion: Total CapEx forecast at $7B ($1.4B/year) from 2026–2030, with rate base projected to double from $5.3B in 2025 to $11B+ by 2030 (16.7% CAGR).
- Operational Cash Flow Milestone: Net cash flow from operations hit $600M+ for the first time, funding 50%+ of CapEx needs and reducing reliance on equity ($1.4B net equity sales remaining through 2030).
- Large Load Growth and Future Revenue Drivers: 2027+ demand expected from data centers and manufacturing, with Micron and others driving weather-adjusted sales growth of 2.3% YoY in 2025.
Guidance and Outlook
The company has provided guidance for 2026, expecting diluted EPS to be in the range of $6.25 to $6.45, assuming normal weather conditions and power supply expenses. The forecast is based on a continued robust growth across Idaho Power's service area, outperforming national trends. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 6.7%, which is slightly higher than the company's historical growth rate.
Capital Expenditure and Financing
IDACORP has increased its 5-year capital expenditure (CapEx) forecast to $7 billion, with an average annual spend of $1.4 billion from 2026 to 2030. The company expects to fund over half of its CapEx needs through net cash flow from operations. To maintain its target 50-50 debt-equity capital ratio, IDACORP plans to raise $2 billion in equity and $2.9 billion in debt. The sale of Idaho Power's Oregon distribution assets is expected to provide additional capital to fund growth-related investments.
Valuation Metrics
To understand what's priced into IDACORP's stock, we can look at its valuation metrics. The company has a P/E Ratio of 23.45, P/B Ratio of 2.12, and an EV/EBITDA ratio of 16.81. The Dividend Yield is 2.49%, while the Free Cash Flow Yield is -7.64%. The ROE is 9.38%, and the ROIC is 4.04%. These metrics suggest that the stock is reasonably valued, with a moderate dividend yield and a relatively high P/E ratio.
Growth Prospects
IDACORP is seeing increased inquiries from energy-intensive customers, including data centers and manufacturing industries. The company's pipeline is robust, with a diverse range of interest. Large load growth is expected to start ramping up in 2027, particularly with Micron and other in-service dates. The company's strong balance sheet and cash flow position it well to meet the growing demand and invest in its infrastructure.