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Alarum Technologies: Robust Revenue Growth Outpaces Estimates

The company reported a significant beat on EPS, with actual EPS coming in at $0.19 compared to estimates of $0.04. Revenue growth was also robust, driven by a significant demand for one of its products, specifically a combination of a scraper and data set. The customer in question is consuming a significant portion of revenues due to the high volume of data required. Analysts had estimated revenue growth of 30.1% for the next year, indicating a strong outlook for the company's future performance.

ALAR

USD 8.15

-1.69%

A-Score: 4.0/10

Publication date: November 26, 2025

Author: Analystock.ai

📋 Highlights
  • High Revenue Contribution from Scraper-Data Product: A single customer accounts for a significant portion of revenues due to high-volume data demands.
  • Customer Segmentation by Usage Stage: Two groups identified: 1) stable production-stage users and 2) volatile R&D-stage users with shifting needs, impacting predictability.
  • Predictable Long-Term Demand Potential: R&D customers may transition to stable usage post-model development, though exact volume changes remain uncertain.
  • Gross Margin Recovery Projected: Margins temporarily pressured by third-party vendors (simulated internal margin at 70%) but expected to improve as internal solutions scale.

Gross Margin Pressures Ease

The company's gross margin came under temporary pressure due to its reliance on third-party vendors for dataset delivery. However, as revenue scales and the company relies less on partners, gross margin is expected to recover. The management noted that if they simulated a scenario where they didn't use third-party vendors, their gross margin would be around 70%. The company is leveraging its approach and relationships with customers to mitigate risks and expenses while controlling costs.

Pricing and Unit Economics Improve

The company's pricing is currently lower, but it is developing its own internal solutions, which will reduce its reliance on third-party vendors. Management expects to see an improvement in unit economics in the fourth quarter, and potentially a material improvement in the next quarter if demand continues. As the market evolves, small players are likely to drop out due to infrastructure requirements, leaving only the leaders, which could lead to higher unit prices.

Valuation Metrics

With a P/E Ratio of 10.98 and an EV/EBITDA of 19.22, the company's valuation appears reasonable considering its growth prospects. The ROE of 19.94% indicates a strong return on equity, while the ROIC of 5.24% suggests that the company is generating returns on its invested capital. These metrics suggest that the company's stock is fairly valued, with the market pricing in a significant portion of its growth potential.

Alarum Technologies's A-Score