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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

ams-OSRAM AG designs, manufactures, and sells LED and optical sensor solutions in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia/Pacific.The company operates through Semiconductor and Lamps & Systems segments.The Semiconductor segment offers semiconductor-based products and solutions, such as LEDs, lasers, and optical and image sensors for automotive, consumer, and industrial end markets.


The Lamps & Systems segment provides lamps and lighting systems, such as spectral sensing, ambient and smart lighting, horticulture lighting, time-of-flight, presence detection, near-infrared, human-centric lighting, outdoor and indoor lighting solutions for automotive, industrial, and medical end markets.The company was formerly known as ams AG and changed its name to ams-OSRAM AG in January 2022.ams-OSRAM AG was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Premstätten, Austria.

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1.b. Last Insights on AMS

ams-OSRAM AG's recent performance was negatively impacted by a cautious Q4 outlook, with revenue and margin guidance falling short of market expectations. This cautious stance, coupled with analyst downgrades, likely eroded investor confidence. Despite a strong Q3 showing, with EUR 43m in free cash flow and 9% comparable growth in its core semiconductor business, the company's updated outlook took center stage. The CEO's comments on a weaker US Dollar and higher raw material prices also potentially weighed on investor sentiment.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Strong Q3 Results with Revenue and Profitability Growth

The company reported a revenue of EUR 853 million, above the midpoint of the guidance, with a significant growth in the semiconductor business and a double-digit seasonal upswing in the Auto Lamps aftermarket business. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year by almost 1 percentage point to 19.5%. However, the EPS came out at EUR 0.2524, below the estimates of EUR 0.3192. The company's cash on hand position increased to EUR 979 million, and the operating cash flow was EUR 88 million in the third quarter.

Publication Date: Nov -20

📋 Highlights
  • and then the description. Avoid markdown, just HTML. Keep each concise, one line with the figure. Let me verify each point against the input to ensure accuracy. </think> <li><b>Revenue Growth:: Q3 revenue reached EUR 853 million, exceeding the midpoint of guidance, driven by a nearly double-digit growth in the semiconductor business.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin:: Improved to 19.5%, a 1 percentage point increase QoQ and YoY, with EUR 21 million growth, including a EUR 10 million gain from asset sales.
  • Cost Savings Progress:: EUR 185 million in savings achieved by Q3, surpassing the EUR 175 million target for 2025, with EUR 225 million goal on track for 2026.
  • Strong Cash Position:: Cash reserves increased to EUR 979 million by end-September, with Q3 operating cash flow of EUR 88 million despite high-yield bond coupon payments.
  • Asset Disposals:: EUR 100 million from the Singapore lamp business sale planned to close in Q1 2026, targeting total disposals exceeding EUR 500 million.

Segment Performance

The semiconductor business saw an almost double-digit percentage improvement, driving the overall revenue growth. The Auto Lamps aftermarket business also experienced a double-digit seasonal upswing. The company's core semi business grew by 9% year-over-year on a comparable basis, in line with the midterm target model. As Aldo Kamper mentioned, "We delivered strong cash flow and significant growth in the core portfolio on a like-for-like basis."

Cost-Saving Program and Outlook

The company has made significant progress in its cost-saving program, with EUR 185 million in savings by the end of Q3, exceeding the target for '25. The company is on track to meet the EUR 225 million goal for next year and is considering extending the program further. For the fourth quarter, the company expects revenues to come in between EUR 790 million and EUR 890 million.

Valuation and Metrics

The company's current valuation metrics show a P/E Ratio of -7.65, P/B Ratio of 0.88, and EV/EBITDA of 3.76. The ROIC is 3.23%, and the Net Debt / EBITDA is 2.41. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 3.0%. The company's Free Cash Flow Yield is 7.05%, indicating a relatively attractive valuation.

3. NewsRoom

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A Look at ams-OSRAM (SWX:AMS) Valuation After Cautious Q4 Outlook and Analyst Downgrades

Nov -20

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ams OSRAM’s Strategic Focus Pays off With Strong FCF of EUR 43 m in Q3 and 9 % Comparable Growth in Its Core Semiconductor Business

Nov -18

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ams-OSRAM AG Unsponsored ADR (AMSSY) Surges 11.3%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?

Oct -09

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ams-OSRAM AG Unsponsored ADR (AMSSY) Soars 13.9%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?

Sep -16

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Coffee cup or travel mug? New high-resolution dToF sensor sees the difference

Aug -29

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European Market Insights: 3 Stocks Including Millenium Hospitality Real Estate SOCIMI That May Be Trading Below Estimated Value

Aug -14

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3 Global Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Their Intrinsic Value

Aug -14

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3 European Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At Discounts Up To 49.1%

Aug -13

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (8.47%)

6. Segments

Semiconductors

Expected Growth: 9.03%

The 9.03% growth in ams-OSRAM AG's semiconductor segment is driven by increasing demand for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles, as well as growing adoption of 5G and IoT devices. Additionally, the company's focus on optical sensing and imaging technologies has enabled it to capitalize on trends in augmented reality, virtual reality, and artificial intelligence.

Lamps & Systems

Expected Growth: 7.3%

The 7.3% growth in Lamps & Systems from ams-OSRAM AG is driven by increasing demand for energy-efficient lighting solutions, rising adoption of smart lighting technologies, and growing investments in infrastructure development. Additionally, the trend towards sustainable and eco-friendly products, as well as the company's strategic expansion into emerging markets, contribute to this growth.

7. Detailed Products

Optical Semiconductor Devices

ams-OSRAM's optical semiconductor devices are used in a wide range of applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics.

Visible and Infrared LEDs

ams-OSRAM's LEDs are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics.

Laser Diodes

ams-OSRAM's laser diodes are used in a variety of applications, including industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics.

Optical Sensor Modules

ams-OSRAM's optical sensor modules are used in various applications, including industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics.

Display and Optical Components

ams-OSRAM's display and optical components are used in various applications, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics.

Advanced Packaging

ams-OSRAM's advanced packaging solutions are used in various applications, including industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics.

8. ams-OSRAM AG's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for ams-OSRAM AG is moderate due to the presence of alternative technologies and products in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for ams-OSRAM AG is low due to the company's strong brand reputation and diversified customer base.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for ams-OSRAM AG is moderate due to the presence of multiple suppliers in the market, but the company's large scale of operations gives it some bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for ams-OSRAM AG is low due to the high barriers to entry in the semiconductor industry, including significant capital requirements and technological expertise.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for ams-OSRAM AG is high due to the presence of several established players in the market, leading to intense competition and pricing pressure.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 58.01%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 41.99%
Equity Cost 12.74%
WACC 7.64%
Leverage 138.18%

11. Quality Control: ams-OSRAM AG passed 0 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Navitas Semi

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 3.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Seco

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 4.3

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 2.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SEALSQ

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 1.3

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ams-OSRAM

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 1.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 0.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Magnachip Semiconductor

A-Score: 2.7/10

Value: 9.8

Growth: 1.2

Quality: 2.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
IQE

A-Score: 2.3/10

Value: 9.6

Growth: 1.2

Quality: 1.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

7.52$

Current Price

7.53$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows