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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Gold Royalty Corp., a precious metals-focused royalty company, provides financing solutions to the metals and mining industry.It focuses on acquiring royalties, streams, and similar interests at varying stages of the mine life cycle to build a portfolio offering near, medium, and longer-term attractive returns for its investors.The company's portfolio consists of net smelter return royalties ranging from 0.5% to 2.0% on 17 gold properties located in the Americas.


Gold Royalty Corp.was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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1.b. Last Insights on GROY

Gold Royalty Corp.'s recent performance was driven by strong financial and operational momentum. The company's revenue, operating cash flow, and adjusted EBITDA posted triple-digit year-over-year growth, driven by record gold and silver prices and higher gold equivalent ounces. Key assets, including Côté, Vareš, and Borborema, are ramping up, supporting long-term growth. Additionally, the company adopted a shareholder rights plan to protect shareholders and upsized its revolving credit facility to $100 million, eliminating debt. Its Q3 2025 earnings report showed record revenue and adjusted EBITDA.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Gold Royalty Shines with Record Revenue and Deleveraging Prospects

Gold Royalty Corp.'s Q2 2025 financial performance was impressive, with the company reporting record revenue of $4.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $2.4 million. The strong gold prices and ramp-up of key assets like Côté Gold and Borborema drove these results. The company's EPS came in at -$0.01, in line with analyst estimates. The achievement of positive free cash flow for the first time is a significant milestone, driven by strong operational results.

Publication Date: Aug -31

📋 Highlights
  • Record Revenue & EBITDA: Generated $4.4M revenue and $2.4M adjusted EBITDA in Q2 2025, driven by rising gold prices and asset ramp-ups.
  • Positive Free Cash Flow: Achieved first-time positive free cash flow due to strong operational performance and cost control.
  • Deleveraging Plan: Aims to become effectively debt-free by 2026 by using excess cash to repay its $30M revolving credit facility.
  • Consolidation Potential: Positioned as a future consolidator in the royalty sector, leveraging growth in revenue and cash flow.
  • One-Time Revenue Item: $0.3M from Jerritt Canyon dispute judgment, non-recurring unless mine restarts.

Deleveraging and Future Prospects

The company expects to deleverage quickly, becoming effectively debt-free by the end of 2026, primarily by using excess cash to repay its revolving credit facility. This is a positive development, as it will allow Gold Royalty to consider returning capital to shareholders once it is debt-free. The company's guidance for 2025 remains unchanged, with 5,700 to 7,000 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) expected, and a 5-year guidance of 23,000 to 28,000 GEO.

Consolidation in the Royalty Space

Gold Royalty sees significant consolidation in the royalty space and believes it could become a consolidator in the future, given its strong growth profile and peer-leading revenue and cash flow growth. This is an interesting development, as it could potentially lead to further growth and expansion for the company.

Valuation Metrics

Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 59.5%. Looking at the valuation metrics, the company's P/S Ratio is 59.72, and EV/EBITDA is 318.3, indicating that the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is 23.19, which is expected to improve as the company deleverages. The current valuation multiples suggest that the market is optimistic about Gold Royalty's future prospects.

3. NewsRoom

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Gold Royalty Corp. (NYSE:GROY) Receives Consensus Rating of “Buy” from Analysts

Nov -29

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Stock Traders Purchase Large Volume of Gold Royalty Call Options (NYSE:GROY)

Nov -29

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GOLD ROYALTY ANNOUNCES AMENDED AND UPSIZED REVOLVING CREDIT FACILITY OF UP TO US$100 MILLION AND ELIMINATION OF DEBT

Nov -26

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Gold Royalty (NYSEAMERICAN:GROY) Shares Down 1.4% – What’s Next?

Nov -18

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GoldMining Expands Portfolio of Active Exploration Assets in Brazil, New 'Colíder' Exploration Concession Granted in Mato Grosso State

Nov -12

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Gold Royalty Corp. (GROY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcript

Nov -06

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GOLD ROYALTY ADOPTS SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS PLAN

Nov -06

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GOLD ROYALTY REPORTS THIRD QUARTER RESULTS; ACHIEVES RECORD REVENUE AND ADJUSTED EBITDA

Nov -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (8.00%)

6. Segments

Investment in Royalty and Mineral Stream Interests

Expected Growth: 8.5%

The expected growth rate for this segment is slightly higher than the global growth hypothesis of 8.0% due to the increasing demand for precious metals and the company's diversified portfolio. The segment is expected to benefit from the growing demand for gold and other precious metals, driven by investors seeking safe-haven assets and the increasing use of gold in jewelry and other applications. The company's royalty interests are well-positioned to capture this growth, with a portfolio that includes royalties on various mining projects.

7. Detailed Products

Gold Streams

Gold Royalty Corp. offers gold streams, which provide investors with a percentage of gold production from a specific mine or project.

Royalty Interests

The company acquires and holds royalty interests in mining projects, providing a revenue stream from mineral production.

Net Smelter Returns (NSRs)

Gold Royalty Corp. offers NSRs, which entitle the company to a percentage of the net revenue generated by a mine or project.

Gold Loans

The company provides gold loans to mining companies, earning interest on the loaned gold.

Streaming Agreements

Gold Royalty Corp. enters into streaming agreements with mining companies, providing upfront capital in exchange for a percentage of future production.

8. Gold Royalty Corp.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Gold Royalty Corp. operates in a niche market with limited substitutes, but the threat of substitutes is still present due to the availability of other precious metals.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Gold Royalty Corp.'s customers have limited bargaining power due to the company's strong market position and the lack of alternative suppliers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Gold Royalty Corp. relies on a few key suppliers for its gold production, giving them some bargaining power, but the company's strong relationships and contracts mitigate this risk.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the gold mining industry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The gold mining industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share and resources, leading to a high intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 5.96%
Debt Cost 6.83%
Equity Weight 94.04%
Equity Cost 9.47%
WACC 9.32%
Leverage 6.34%

11. Quality Control: Gold Royalty Corp. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Gold Royalty

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 5.4

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Metalla

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 4.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Aris Mining

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 2.9

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
McEwen Mining

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 5.0

Growth: 6.1

Quality: 2.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
GoGold Resources

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 1.3

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Endeavour Silver

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 3.2

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

4.25$

Current Price

4.25$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows