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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Tokmanni Group Oyj operates general discount retail chain in Finland.It offers beauty care and cleaning, health and wellbeing, cosmetic products; laundry and clothing maintenance, and home storage products; toilet papers, kitchen towels, and kerchiefs; men, women, and children clothing accessories; bags, bag packs, and wallets; boots; home interior products; crockery and cutlery, kitchen textiles, cooking products, and kitchen papers and accessories; crafts; toys and children care articles; and pets.The company also offers food products, including confectionery and chewing gums, dry foods, soups, sauces, drinks, pasta, rice and flour, chips, snacks and nuts, seasoning and sweetening, biscuits, rusks, rice cakes, children's food and drinks, cereals, muesli, flakes, canned foods, jams, marmalads, and food boxes; home renovation products, such as tools, iron and plumbing, lamps and bulbs, and construction and workwear products; domestic appliances, information and technology, batteries, beauty and health electronics, and consumer electronics; hobbies and leisure products; and garden products.


It operates approximately 196 stores in Finland; and an online store.The company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Mantsala, Finland.

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1.b. Last Insights on TOKMAN

Tokmanni Group Oyj's recent performance was hindered by a decline in gross margin, despite a 5.5% revenue increase in Q4 2024. The company's strategic expansions in Sweden and Denmark are a positive development, but the decrease in gross margin suggests operational inefficiencies. Furthermore, the European market's mixed economic signals and geopolitical tensions have created a challenging environment for retailers. Additionally, the company's recent earnings release has not been publicly disclosed, making it difficult to assess the current situation.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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Is Tokmanni Group’s (HLSE:TOKMAN) Shift to Growth Investment a New Chapter for Capital Allocation?

Nov -17

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Tokmanni (HLSE:TOKMAN): Assessing Valuation After Nine-Month 2025 Earnings Call Spurs Investor Interest

Nov -15

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Tokmanni Group Corp (OHEL:TOKMAN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenues Amidst ...

Nov -14

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Tokmanni Group expands Dollarstore and Big Dollar in Sweden and Denmark

Nov -13

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Tokmanni Group to open four new stores by end of 2025

Sep -10

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European Equities Estimated Below Intrinsic Value In August 2025

Aug -20

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Tokmanni Group Corp (FRA:TK9) (H1 2025) Earnings Call Highlights: Revenue Growth Amidst Margin ...

Aug -16

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Tokmanni Group Corp (FRA:TK9) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges and ...

May -19

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4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (8.00%)

6. Segments

Tokmanni

Expected Growth: 8%

Tokmanni's 8% growth is driven by its successful discount retail model, strong private label offerings, and efficient supply chain management. Additionally, the company's focus on convenience, wide product range, and strategic store locations contribute to its growth. Furthermore, Tokmanni's ability to adapt to changing consumer behavior and its commitment to sustainability also support its growth momentum.

Dollarstore

Expected Growth: 8%

Dollarstore's 8% growth is driven by increasing demand for affordable household essentials, Tokmanni's efficient supply chain and logistics, strategic store locations, and effective pricing strategies. Additionally, the Finnish market's growing preference for discount retail and Tokmanni's successful private label offerings contribute to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Home and Decoration

Tokmanni offers a wide range of home and decoration products, including furniture, textiles, and decorative items.

Kitchen and Dining

Tokmanni sells a variety of kitchen and dining products, including cookware, cutlery, and tableware.

Health and Beauty

Tokmanni offers a range of health and beauty products, including skincare, haircare, and fragrances.

Clothing and Accessories

Tokmanni sells a variety of clothing and accessories for men, women, and children, including fashion items and basics.

Sports and Leisure

Tokmanni offers a range of sports and leisure products, including outdoor gear, fitness equipment, and toys.

Food and Beverages

Tokmanni sells a variety of food and beverages, including snacks, beverages, and specialty foods.

8. Tokmanni Group Oyj's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Tokmanni Group Oyj operates in a competitive market with several substitutes available to customers. However, the company's strong brand recognition and wide product offerings help to mitigate the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Tokmanni Group Oyj's customers have some bargaining power due to the availability of substitutes, but the company's strong market position and wide product offerings limit the customers' bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Tokmanni Group Oyj's suppliers have some bargaining power due to the company's dependence on a few large suppliers. However, the company's strong market position and long-term contracts with suppliers help to mitigate the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the market, including the need for significant capital investment and established relationships with suppliers.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry in the market is high due to the presence of several established competitors, including Kesko and S Group. The company's strong market position and wide product offerings help to mitigate the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 59.01%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 40.99%
Equity Cost 9.58%
WACC 6.25%
Leverage 143.96%

11. Quality Control: Tokmanni Group Oyj passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
M.P. Evans

A-Score: 7.5/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 8.0

Quality: 8.1

Yield: 6.2

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
UIE

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 5.4

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 7.9

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Sipef

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Europris

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 5.1

Growth: 6.8

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 6.2

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Tokmanni

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 7.1

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 9.4

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
DIA

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 3.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

7.7$

Current Price

7.7$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows