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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. operates as a food retailer in France and internationally.The company operates hypermarkets, supermarkets, shopping centers, and e-commerce sites, as well as convenience, discount, and cash and carry stores.It also offers private label products.


In addition, the company is involved in banking, digital marketing and advertising, service station, restaurant, franchise, real estate asset management, property development and trading, rental, banking, and energy-related activities.It operates 10,800 stores.The company was founded in 1898 and is based in Saint-Étienne, France.

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1.b. Last Insights on CO

The recent 3-month performance of Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. was negatively impacted by several factors. The company's financial restructuring and change of control, initiated in 2024, led to a refocusing on convenience retail in France. The sale of 366 hypermarkets and supermarkets in 2024 resulted in a significant reduction in the company's store count. Additionally, the implementation of Employment Protection Plans and governance changes at Monoprix further contributed to the negative impact on the company's performance. The company's 2024 full-year results showed a decline in revenue and profitability, which was attributed to the transformation and restructuring efforts. The release of the 2024 Universal Registration Document on March 24, 2025, provided further insight into the company's financial and operational performance. However, the company has made some positive announcements in recent months. The Dutch court's approval of the buy-out of minority shareholders of Cnova N.V. on April 18, 2025, is a significant development. The delisting of Cnova shares will be effective as of the date of completion of the Mandatory Buy-Out. Additionally, the availability of preparatory documents for the AGM of April 30, 2025, and the notice to holders of 'Warrants #1' of Casino Guichard-Perrachon on April 7, 2025, are also positive developments.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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Casino Group presents a detailed overview of “Renouveau 2030” plan and its project to strengthen financial structure

Nov -24

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Casino Group expands its Renouveau plan to 2030 and launches work to adapt its financial structure

Oct -30

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Casino Group: Third quarter 2025

Oct -30

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Casino Group Communication

Sep -26

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Casino Group: Repayments confirmation to Quatrim secured bondholders

Aug -04

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Casino Group: Release of the half year 2025 Financial Report

Aug -01

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Casino Group: Q2 SALES AND H1 2025 RESULTS

Jul -30

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Casino Group: Release of the H1 2025 presentation

Jul -30

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4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.87%)

6. Segments

Monoprix

Expected Growth: 4.83%

Monoprix's 4.83% growth is driven by its strong omnichannel presence, successful private label strategy, and focus on convenience and proximity stores. Additionally, Casino's efforts to optimize costs, improve operational efficiency, and invest in digital transformation have contributed to the segment's growth.

Franprix

Expected Growth: 4.83%

Franprix, a subsidiary of Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A., achieves 4.83% growth driven by its strong convenience store format, proximity to urban areas, and effective supply chain management. Additionally, its focus on private labels, competitive pricing, and loyalty programs contribute to its success in the French retail market.

Proximity Casino

Expected Growth: 4.83%

Proximity Casino's 4.83% growth is driven by increasing foot traffic, successful marketing campaigns, and strategic location optimization. Additionally, the company's focus on enhancing customer experience through digitalization and loyalty programs has contributed to the growth. Furthermore, the expansion of online gaming offerings and partnerships with popular gaming providers have also boosted revenue.

E-commerce

Expected Growth: 10.5%

Casino's e-commerce growth is driven by its strong omnichannel strategy, leveraging its existing store network for online order fulfillment and same-day delivery. Additionally, its focus on fresh food and convenience products, as well as its partnerships with quick-commerce players, have contributed to the 10.5% growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 10.5%

Casino's 10.5% growth in 'Other' segment is driven by strong e-commerce performance, successful integration of recent acquisitions, and expansion of convenience store format. Additionally, the company's focus on digital transformation, loyalty programs, and private label products has contributed to the growth.

7. Detailed Products

Hypermarkets

Large self-service stores that offer a wide range of food and non-food products, including fresh produce, meat, dairy products, packaged goods, and general merchandise.

Supermarkets

Medium-sized stores that offer a wide range of food and non-food products, with a focus on convenience and proximity.

Convenience Stores

Small stores that offer a limited range of essential products, such as food, beverages, and personal care items, with extended hours of operation.

E-commerce

Online shopping platform that offers a wide range of products, including food, non-food, and services, with home delivery or in-store pickup options.

Wholesale

Bulk sales of food and non-food products to professional customers, such as restaurants, cafes, and small businesses.

Food Services

Prepared meals and snacks, such as sandwiches, salads, and pastries, sold in-store or through catering services.

Banking and Insurance Services

Financial services, including banking, insurance, and credit products, offered in partnership with financial institutions.

8. Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. operates in a highly competitive market, but the threat of substitutes is moderate due to the company's strong brand presence and customer loyalty.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. faces high bargaining power from its customers, particularly large retailers and wholesalers, who can negotiate better prices and terms.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. has a diversified supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers, and the company's scale of operations also gives it negotiating power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the retail industry, including the need for significant capital investment and established supply chains.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The retail industry is highly competitive, with many established players, and Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. faces intense rivalry from other retailers, including online players.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 145.85%
Debt Cost 6.20%
Equity Weight -45.85%
Equity Cost 7.64%
WACC 5.55%
Leverage -318.10%

11. Quality Control: Casino, Guichard-Perrachon S.A. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Manner

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Fevertree Drinks

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 2.2

Growth: 6.0

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

View Full Report
Stock-Card
Forafric Global

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 8.7

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 3.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Eurocash

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 9.0

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 2.0

Yield: 1.2

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Ice Fish Farm

A-Score: 2.8/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 1.1

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 0.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Casino

A-Score: 2.1/10

Value: 8.9

Growth: 1.7

Quality: 1.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

0.24$

Current Price

0.24$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows