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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Taylor Wimpey plc operates a residential developer in the United Kingdom and Spain.It builds and delivers various homes and communities, including apartments to six-bedroom houses.Taylor Wimpey plc was founded in 1880 and is based in High Wycombe, the United Kingdom.

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1.b. Last Insights on TW

Taylor Wimpey's recent struggles can be attributed to a £222m fire safety hit, which led to pre-tax losses of £92.1 million for the six months to June 29. This significant financial burden, combined with a challenging UK housing market, has weighed on the company's performance. The UK housing market itself is experiencing a slowdown, with asking prices being cut by an average of £10,000, and rental listings falling sharply. Additionally, the company's removal from the FTSE 100 index may further impact investor sentiment.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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UK Stocks Trading Below Estimated Value In January 2026

Jan -22

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Taylor Wimpey (LSE:TW.) Valuation Check After Recent Tight Share Price Range

Jan -20

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Hamptons reports fall in rents in 2025 for first time on record

Jan -19

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Taylor nudges down annual earnings forecast after budget uncertainty hit sales

Jan -15

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Housebuilders in focus as firms set to reveal figures amid sluggish market

Jan -09

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Taylor Wimpey plc's (LON:TW.) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

Jan -09

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FTSE 100 reshuffle 2025: Burberry, Games Workshop and British Land join as WPP, Frasers and B&M exit

Jan -02

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8 of the best bargain homes in 2025

Dec -30

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4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.71%)

6. Segments

Institutional

Expected Growth: 5.5%

Taylor Wimpey plc's 5.5% institutional growth is driven by increasing demand for new homes, strategic land acquisitions, and partnerships with local authorities. Additionally, the company's focus on affordable housing and its 'Taylor Wimpey Plus' initiative, which offers customers a range of upgrade options, contribute to its growth.

Wholesale

Expected Growth: 5.8%

Taylor Wimpey's 5.8% wholesale growth driven by increasing demand for affordable housing, strategic partnerships with housing associations, and expansion into new regions. Additionally, the company's focus on cost savings, operational efficiencies, and investment in digital capabilities have contributed to the growth.

Retail

Expected Growth: 6.2%

Taylor Wimpey's 6.2% retail growth driven by increasing demand for new homes, particularly in the UK, fueled by government initiatives such as Help to Buy and a shortage of housing supply. Additionally, the company's focus on affordable housing and strategic land acquisitions have contributed to its growth.

Market Data

Expected Growth: 6.5%

Taylor Wimpey's 6.5% growth driven by increasing demand for new homes, strategic land acquisitions, and partnerships with local authorities. Additionally, the company's focus on affordable housing, cost savings initiatives, and strong balance sheet have contributed to its growth momentum.

7. Detailed Products

Homes

Taylor Wimpey plc is one of the largest residential developers in the UK, building a range of homes from apartments to detached houses.

Part Exchange

Taylor Wimpey's Part Exchange scheme allows customers to trade in their existing home as part of the purchase of a new Taylor Wimpey home.

Easymove

Easymove is a service offered by Taylor Wimpey that helps customers sell their existing home quickly and easily.

Incentives

Taylor Wimpey offers a range of incentives to help customers purchase a new home, including Help to Buy and other government-backed schemes.

Land and Planning

Taylor Wimpey's Land and Planning team works with landowners, developers, and local authorities to identify and acquire land for development.

8. Taylor Wimpey plc's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Taylor Wimpey plc faces moderate threat from substitutes, as customers have limited alternatives to traditional housing. However, the rise of alternative accommodation options, such as shared living spaces, could pose a threat in the future.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Taylor Wimpey plc's customers have limited bargaining power, as they are individual buyers with limited negotiating power. However, the company's reputation and quality of service can influence customer loyalty.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Taylor Wimpey plc's suppliers, such as construction material providers, have moderate bargaining power. While the company has some negotiating power, suppliers can still exert pressure on prices and delivery terms.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants in the UK housing market is low, as significant barriers to entry exist, including high capital requirements and regulatory hurdles. However, new entrants could still disrupt the market with innovative business models.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The UK housing market is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Taylor Wimpey plc must differentiate itself through quality, pricing, and customer service to maintain its market position.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 2.73%
Debt Cost 12.67%
Equity Weight 97.27%
Equity Cost 12.67%
WACC 12.67%
Leverage 2.80%

11. Quality Control: Taylor Wimpey plc passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Berkeley

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 4.1

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Bellway

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 4.9

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 6.2

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Persimmon

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 6.5

Growth: 1.4

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 8.8

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Redrow

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 7.4

Yield: 4.4

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Taylor Wimpey

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 1.6

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 8.8

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Barratt Developments

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 3.5

Growth: 2.4

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

1.15$

Current Price

1.15$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows