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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Global-E Online Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides a platform to enable and accelerate direct-to-consumer cross-border e-commerce in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally.Its platform enables international shoppers to buy online and merchants to sell from, and to, worldwide.Global-E Online Ltd.


was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

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1.b. Last Insights on GLBE

Breaking News: Global-e Online Ltd. reported record fourth quarter and full year results for 2025. In Q4, the company's GMV, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA results were at or above the top end of guidance ranges. FY 2025 adjusted EBITDA increased 41% year-over-year to $198.5 million. The company's guidance for 2026 was very upbeat, reflecting management confidence in a strong sales pipeline. The Q4 results beat Wall Street's expectations on strong demand. Some analysts recommend a buy, citing the company's strong growth prospects.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Global-E's Q4 2025 Earnings: Strong Growth and Profitability

Global-E reported a robust Q4 2025, with total revenue reaching $337 million, a 28% year-over-year increase, driven by strong consumer demand and favorable FX tailwinds. The company's non-GAAP gross profit was $157.5 million, up 30% year-over-year, representing a gross margin of 46.8%. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 41% to $198.5 million for the full year, reaching an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.35, beating estimates of $0.3.

Publication Date: Feb -19

📋 Highlights
  • Record 2025 Performance: Achieved 35% GMV growth ($9.4B GMV), $962M revenue, and $198.5M adjusted EBITDA (20.6% margin), surpassing all guidance.
  • Cash Generation & Share Buybacks: Generated $281M in free cash flow (29% margin) and spent $72M on share repurchases in Q4 2025.
  • Q4 2025 GMV Milestone: First-ever $1B GMV month in November 2025, with Q4 GMV up 38% YoY to $2.36B, accelerating growth trends.
  • AI-Driven Operational Efficiency: AI deployment boosted productivity in customer service, sales, and logistics, reducing costs and enabling a 41% EBITDA growth.
  • 2026 Guidance & Expansion: Projects 31%+ GMV growth ($8.45–8.8B) and 29% revenue growth ($1.21–1.27B), with AI and duty drawback expected to drive margin expansion.

Revenue Growth Drivers

The company's revenue growth was driven by a 38% year-over-year increase in GMV to $2.36 billion in Q4. Service fee revenue was $160.9 million, up 37%, and fulfillment services revenue was up 21% to $175.7 million. The strong growth in GMV and revenue was driven by the company's expanding merchant base, including new brands such as Nadine Merabi, Laura Geller, and Parcel in North America.

Operational Highlights

Global-E continued to invest in its platform, launching Shopify Managed Markets version 2.0, and expanding its duty drawback offering. The company is increasingly deploying AI-based capabilities in various areas, including product classification and restrictions management, customer service chatbot, and sales efforts. According to the company, "We're seeing a meaningful increase in the number of demos run per month, which is expected to rise further after we field the next evolution of the system."

Outlook and Guidance

For Q1 2026, Global-E expects GMV to be in the range of $1.705 billion to $1.745 billion, representing a growth rate of 38.8% versus Q1 2025. The company expects revenue to be in the range of $247 million to $254 million, representing a growth rate of 32% versus Q1 2025. For the full year of 2026, Global-E anticipates GMV to be in the range of $8.45 billion to $8.80 billion, representing an annual growth rate of over 31%.

Valuation and Metrics

With a P/E Ratio of 86.75 and an EV/EBITDA of 43.99, the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. The company's ROE (%) is 7.46, and ROIC (%) is 7.25, indicating a relatively efficient use of capital. The Free Cash Flow Yield (%) is 4.99, which is a positive sign. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 23.6%, which is lower than the company's guidance, suggesting that the company may have an opportunity to exceed expectations.

3. NewsRoom

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Global-e Online Sees Unusually Large Options Volume (NASDAQ:GLBE)

Feb -20

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Global-E Online Ltd. (GLBE) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -18

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Global-E Online Stock Is Surging on Earnings and Guidance

Feb -18

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Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Globale Online (GLBE) Q4 Earnings

Feb -18

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Global-e Reports Record Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results for 2025

Feb -18

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This Cross-Border E-Commerce Stock Is Down 47% This Past Year, but One Fund Added Another $4 Million to Its Stake

Feb -16

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Curious about Globale Online (GLBE) Q4 Performance? Explore Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Feb -13

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Penserra Capital Management LLC Boosts Holdings in Global-e Online Ltd. $GLBE

Feb -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (19.08%)

6. Segments

Fulfillment Services

Expected Growth: 15.4%

Growing e-commerce demand, increasing need for efficient logistics, and Global-e's expertise in cross-border shipping drive growth in fulfillment services.

Service Fees

Expected Growth: 23.4%

Growing demand for cross-border e-commerce solutions, increasing adoption of digital payments, and rising online shopping trends drive the growth of service fees from Global-e Online Ltd.

7. Detailed Products

Cross-Border Ecommerce Platform

A comprehensive platform that enables online retailers to sell globally, handling all aspects of cross-border ecommerce, including logistics, duties, and taxes.

Localized Checkout Experience

A customizable checkout solution that adapts to local market requirements, including language, currency, and payment methods.

Duty and Tax Calculation

An accurate and up-to-date duty and tax calculation engine that ensures compliance with international trade regulations.

International Shipping and Logistics

A global shipping network that provides fast, reliable, and trackable delivery of goods to customers worldwide.

Returns and Refunds Management

A streamlined returns and refunds process that minimizes complexity and cost for online retailers.

Data Analytics and Insights

Actionable insights and data analytics that help online retailers optimize their global ecommerce strategy.

8. Global-e Online Ltd.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Global-e Online Ltd. operates in a niche market, providing a unique e-commerce platform for cross-border e-commerce. While there are some substitutes available, they are not as comprehensive as Global-e's platform, reducing the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Global-e Online Ltd.'s customers are primarily large retailers and brands, which have limited bargaining power due to the specialized nature of Global-e's platform.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Global-e Online Ltd. has a diversified supplier base, reducing the bargaining power of individual suppliers. Additionally, the company's platform is designed to integrate with multiple suppliers, further reducing their bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The e-commerce platform market is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily enter the market, posing a significant threat to Global-e Online Ltd.'s market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The e-commerce platform market is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share. This intense rivalry can lead to pricing pressures and reduced profit margins for Global-e Online Ltd.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 2.52%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 97.48%
Equity Cost 9.58%
WACC 9.44%
Leverage 2.59%

11. Quality Control: Global-e Online Ltd. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Deliveroo

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Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 7.3

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JD Sports Fashion

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Volatility: 2.3

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Just Eat Takeaway

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Value: 4.3

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Quality: 2.9

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Zalando

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 5.1

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Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Global-e Online

A-Score: 2.8/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Delivery Hero

A-Score: 2.7/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 1.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

35.17$

Current Price

35.17$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows