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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Global-E Online Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides a platform to enable and accelerate direct-to-consumer cross-border e-commerce in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally.Its platform enables international shoppers to buy online and merchants to sell from, and to, worldwide.Global-E Online Ltd.


was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.

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1.b. Last Insights on GLBE

Global-e Online Ltd.'s recent performance has been driven by solid Q3 financials, with revenues and earnings near the upper bound of guidance, reflecting momentum with existing and new merchants. The company's quarterly GMV, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA results were at or above the top end of guidance ranges. A 246% year-over-year increase in Q3 2025 free cash flow to $73.6 million also contributed positively. Additionally, the company's inaugural stock buyback program and increased institutional investor interest, with the Teacher Retirement System of Texas raising its stake by 4.1%, have further bolstered its position.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Global-E's Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Growth and Rising Guidance

Global-E reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with revenue of $221 million, up 25.5% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $41.3 million, up 33% with an 18.7% margin. The company's GAAP net profit for the quarter was $13.2 million, and it generated $73.6 million in free cash flow, an increase of almost 250% compared to last year. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.07492, beating estimates of $0.06. The strong financial performance was driven by a 33% year-over-year growth in GMV to $1.51 billion.

Publication Date: Nov -20

📋 Highlights
  • Strong Q3 Growth:: GMV reached $1.51 billion (+33% YoY), revenue hit $221 million (+25.5% YoY), and adjusted EBITDA climbed to $41.3 million (+33% YoY).
  • Margin Expansion:: Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 18.7%, driven by efficient cost management and higher gross profit ($102 million, +24% YoY).
  • Free Cash Flow Surge:: Generated $73.6 million in free cash flow, a near 250% increase YoY, and ended Q3 with $552 million in cash.
  • Share Buyback Program:: Announced a $200 million share repurchase plan, reflecting confidence in capital allocation and stock value.
  • Guidance Hike:: Raised 2025 GMV outlook to $6.46 billion (+33% CAGR), with revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance at $952.1 million (+26.5%) and $192.8 million (+37%), respectively.

Guidance and Outlook

The company raised its midpoint outlook for 2025, with expected GMV of roughly $6.46 billion, representing a 33% annual growth rate, and revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $952.1 million and $192.8 million, representing 26.5% and 37% growth, respectively. For Q4 2025, GMV is expected to be $2.195-2.315 billion, representing a 32% growth rate, and revenue is expected to be $318.5-334.5 million, representing a 24% growth rate. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 24.0%, indicating a continued strong trajectory.

Operational Highlights

Global-E continued to make progress on its borderfree.com offering, duty drawback value-added service, and managed market solution with Shopify. The company launched multiple new merchants, including Everlane, Ashford, and Coach, across various geographies, and expanded its scope of business with existing merchants. As Nir Debbi explained, the duty drawback service allows merchants to "reclaim lost dollars on returned goods, optimizing the cost structure."

Valuation and Ratios

With a current P/S Ratio of 7.12 and EV/EBITDA of 32.21, the market appears to be pricing in significant growth expectations. The company's ROE and ROIC are currently negative, at -3.2% and -2.58%, respectively, but the strong adjusted EBITDA margin and free cash flow generation suggest improving profitability. The planned $200 million share repurchase program, to be executed starting in the coming days, may also contribute to improved shareholder returns.

Future Prospects

Ofer Koren mentioned that they are "happy with Q3 results and the growth trajectory into Q4, which will support 2026." The company expects to stay on track to achieve its midterm targets, with a focus on creating value for merchants despite global e-commerce market uncertainty. As Amir Schlachet stated, Global-E is well-positioned to provide the international and cross-border layers required to enable AI-powered transactions, potentially driving further growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Why Global-e Stock Jumped 11% in November

Dec -03

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Global-e Sees 36% YoY Uplift in Black Friday-Cyber Monday Weekend Global E-commerce Sales

Dec -02

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Global-e to Participate in UBS and Raymond James Investor Conferences in December 2025

Nov -28

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Global-E Online Q3 Earnings: Solid Financials Despite Take Rate Pressure

Nov -20

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Global-E Online Ltd. (GLBE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -19

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Compared to Estimates, Globale Online (GLBE) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Nov -19

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Global-e Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results

Nov -19

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Global-e Online Sees Unusually Large Options Volume (NASDAQ:GLBE)

Nov -19

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (19.08%)

6. Segments

Fulfillment Services

Expected Growth: 15.4%

Growing e-commerce demand, increasing need for efficient logistics, and Global-e's expertise in cross-border shipping drive growth in fulfillment services.

Service Fees

Expected Growth: 23.4%

Growing demand for cross-border e-commerce solutions, increasing adoption of digital payments, and rising online shopping trends drive the growth of service fees from Global-e Online Ltd.

7. Detailed Products

Cross-Border Ecommerce Platform

A comprehensive platform that enables online retailers to sell globally, handling all aspects of cross-border ecommerce, including logistics, duties, and taxes.

Localized Checkout Experience

A customizable checkout solution that adapts to local market requirements, including language, currency, and payment methods.

Duty and Tax Calculation

An accurate and up-to-date duty and tax calculation engine that ensures compliance with international trade regulations.

International Shipping and Logistics

A global shipping network that provides fast, reliable, and trackable delivery of goods to customers worldwide.

Returns and Refunds Management

A streamlined returns and refunds process that minimizes complexity and cost for online retailers.

Data Analytics and Insights

Actionable insights and data analytics that help online retailers optimize their global ecommerce strategy.

8. Global-e Online Ltd.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Global-e Online Ltd. operates in a niche market, providing a unique e-commerce platform for cross-border e-commerce. While there are some substitutes available, they are not as comprehensive as Global-e's platform, reducing the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Global-e Online Ltd.'s customers are primarily large retailers and brands, which have limited bargaining power due to the specialized nature of Global-e's platform.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Global-e Online Ltd. has a diversified supplier base, reducing the bargaining power of individual suppliers. Additionally, the company's platform is designed to integrate with multiple suppliers, further reducing their bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The e-commerce platform market is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily enter the market, posing a significant threat to Global-e Online Ltd.'s market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The e-commerce platform market is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share. This intense rivalry can lead to pricing pressures and reduced profit margins for Global-e Online Ltd.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 2.52%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 97.48%
Equity Cost 9.58%
WACC 9.44%
Leverage 2.59%

11. Quality Control: Global-e Online Ltd. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Deliveroo

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Just Eat Takeaway

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 2.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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JD Sports Fashion

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 8.1

Growth: 7.0

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.6

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Zalando

A-Score: 3.7/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Global-e Online

A-Score: 3.2/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Delivery Hero

A-Score: 2.8/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 1.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

40.66$

Current Price

40.66$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows