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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Iren SpA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-utility company in Italy.It operates through Networks, Waste Management, Energy, Market, and Other Services segments.The company produces and distributes electricity primarily from hydroelectric, thermoelectric, cogeneration, and other renewables, as well as distributes natural gas.


It distributes electrical energy through 7,849 kilometers of medium and low voltage networks to approximately 725,000 connected users; and natural gas through its network of approximately 8,115 kilometers of high, medium, and low-pressure pipes to approximately 741,000 customers.The company also operates integrated water cycle, which includes 20,088 kilometers of pipeline networks that serve 2.8 million residents; 11,291 kilometers of sewerage networks; and operates treatment plants.In addition, it is involved in the provision of services related to street lighting systems, traffic light systems, heating systems, and electrical and special systems; collection and disposal of waste; snow clearing services; and analysis laboratories, telecommunications, and other services.


It operates 23 hydroelectric plants, 7 thermoelectric cogeneration systems, and 1 thermoelectric plant, as well as 95 photovoltaic production plants with an installed capacity of 18 MW.Iren SpA is based in Reggio Emilia, Italy.

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1.b. Last Insights on IRE

Iren SpA's recent performance was bolstered by a 6.5% increase in EBITDA, driven by significant expansion in renewable energy production. The company's strategic investments in this sector have yielded substantial returns, underscoring its commitment to sustainable energy solutions. Additionally, Iren SpA has been actively pursuing energy efficiency projects, albeit with some challenges, which is expected to contribute to its long-term growth prospects.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Iren Posts 6% EBITDA Growth Amid Strong Consolidation

In its latest earnings, Iren reported an EBITDA of €1.25 billion, up 6% year‑over‑year, and a group net profit of €301 million, marking a 12% rise. Although EPS was not disclosed, the earnings per share trend remains in line with the company’s 2024 guidance. The stock trades at a modest P/E of 11.38 and an EV/EBITDA of 6.04, indicating a valuation that reflects the firm’s stable cash‑flow generation and a dividend yield of 4.9 %. The P/B ratio sits near 0.99, underscoring the market’s confidence in Iren’s asset base and its transition‑oriented investment strategy.

Publication Date: Apr -12

📋 Highlights
  • EBITDA Growth:: Increased by 6% to over EUR 1,050 million in 2025, with EUR 60 million from EGEA consolidation.
  • Net Profit Surge:: Group net profit rose 12% to EUR 301 million, aided by Iren Acqua acquisition and lower tax rates.
  • Dividend Increase:: Proposed EUR 0.1386 per share (8% growth), reflecting 6% payout ratio despite higher earnings.
  • 2026 Guidance:: EBITDA expected to grow 4% to EUR 1,092 million, with EUR 950 million in investments and stable debt-to-EBITDA (3.1x).
  • Sustainability Focus:: 73% of EUR 1.35 billion investments in 2025 aligned with 2040 transition plan, including 2.1 GWh renewable production target by 2027.

Organic Growth & Synergy Realisation

Organic expansion over the past few years has been the backbone of the EBITDA lift, complemented by synergy plans and the full consolidation of EGEA, which contributed an additional €60 million. The integration has accelerated the alignment of operations, enabling cost efficiencies and a smoother roll‑out of cross‑border initiatives. Iren’s acquisition of minority interest in Iren Acqua further bolstered the profit base, while the reduced tax rate helped lift the bottom line.

Regulated Business Provides Stability

Regulated and semi‑regulated activities now account for 22 % of EBITDA, providing a predictable revenue stream that cushions the company against market volatility. This segment’s stability underpins the firm’s ability to fund technical investments and maintain a healthy cash‑flow profile, as evidenced by the €120 million of operating cash flow that covered all technical outlays.

Capital Allocation & Dividend Policy

Iren proposes a dividend of €0.1386 per share, an 8 % increase and a payout ratio of roughly 6 %. Sustainability remains a core driver of capital allocation, with 73 % of investments earmarked for the 2040 transition plan. Technical investments total €125 million, while the company’s €1.35 billion investment plan for 2025 underscores its commitment to growth and resilience.

Investment Outlook for 2026‑2027

For 2026, management projects EBITDA growth of 4 % to €1.092 billion, supported by synergies and a €950 million investment program. Margins are expected to shrink slightly, with an estimated €5 per‑customer reduction. The company forecasts a 2.1 GWh renewable production in 2027, with 20 % of that secured at €105 MWh. Hydro concession negotiations and potential fee‑based extensions remain under discussion.

Strategic Asset Management

Asset rotation is under review; no decision has yet been made to divest photovoltaic holdings. Iren aims to optimise its asset allocation, focusing on long‑term returns and alignment with its transition objectives. The company’s strategy includes maintaining a balanced portfolio across environment, energy, and market segments.

Debt Position & Cash Flow

The net financial position stands at €4.2 billion, with a debt‑to‑EBITDA ratio of 3.1x, comfortably below the 3.46 benchmark. Free cash flow yield is 4.24 %, and the company expects to recover €90 million of extra capital in 2026, slated for repayment from 2028. Superbonus credits of €43 million generated in 2025 will be liquidated in 2026, further strengthening the balance sheet.

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4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.63%)

6. Segments

Market

Expected Growth: 6.47%

Iren SpA's 6.47% growth is driven by increasing demand for renewable energy, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the company's focus on energy efficiency and cost reduction initiatives has improved operational performance, contributing to the growth. Furthermore, favorable regulatory policies and investments in digitalization have also supported the company's growth momentum.

Energy

Expected Growth: 4.73%

Iren SpA's 4.73% energy segment growth is driven by increasing demand for renewable energy, favorable regulatory policies, and strategic investments in grid infrastructure. Additionally, the company's focus on energy efficiency and cost reduction initiatives has improved operational performance, contributing to the growth.

Not Allocatable

Expected Growth: 4.65%

Iren SpA's 4.65% growth is driven by increasing demand for renewable energy, successful cost-cutting initiatives, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, favorable regulatory environments and investments in grid infrastructure have contributed to the company's growth. These factors have enabled Iren SpA to expand its customer base and improve operational efficiency, resulting in sustained revenue growth.

Environment

Expected Growth: 8.5%

Iren SpA's 8.5% growth in the Environment segment is driven by increasing demand for renewable energy sources, stringent regulations on pollution, and growing investments in waste management infrastructure. Additionally, the company's focus on sustainable development and circular economy practices has contributed to its growth in this segment.

Networks

Expected Growth: 4.77%

Iren SpA's 4.77% growth in Networks segment is driven by increasing demand for renewable energy, expansion of smart grid infrastructure, and strategic investments in digitalization and electrification of transportation. Additionally, favorable regulatory policies and growing focus on energy efficiency contribute to the segment's growth.

Other Services

Expected Growth: 8.5%

Iren SpA's 8.5% growth in Other Services is driven by increasing demand for energy efficiency solutions, expansion of waste management services, and strategic partnerships in the environmental sector. Additionally, investments in digitalization and process optimization have improved operational efficiency, contributing to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Electricity

Iren SpA provides electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through its distribution network.

Natural Gas

Iren SpA supplies natural gas to customers through its distribution network, providing a clean and efficient source of energy.

Heat and Cooling

Iren SpA offers district heating and cooling services, providing thermal energy to buildings and industries.

Water

Iren SpA manages and distributes water resources, providing clean drinking water to households and industries.

Waste Management

Iren SpA offers waste collection, treatment, and disposal services, promoting sustainable waste management practices.

Energy Efficiency

Iren SpA provides energy efficiency solutions, helping customers reduce energy consumption and emissions.

Renewable Energy

Iren SpA develops and operates renewable energy sources, such as wind, solar, and hydroelectric power plants.

8. Iren SpA's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Iren SpA operates in the energy sector, which has few substitutes. However, the increasing adoption of renewable energy sources and energy-efficient technologies may pose a moderate threat to the company's operations.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Iren SpA's customers have limited bargaining power due to the company's dominant position in the Italian energy market and the lack of alternative suppliers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Iren SpA relies on a diverse range of suppliers for its energy production, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers. However, the company's dependence on imported fuels may expose it to supply chain disruptions.

Threat Of New Entrants

The energy sector has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles, which limits the threat of new entrants to Iren SpA's market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The Italian energy market is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Iren SpA faces intense rivalry from companies such as Enel and Edison.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 62.54%
Debt Cost 7.74%
Equity Weight 37.46%
Equity Cost 7.74%
WACC 7.74%
Leverage 166.95%

11. Quality Control: Iren SpA passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
ACEA

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Hera

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Iren

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 7.2

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 3.9

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
A2A

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 7.4

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 4.0

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
EVN

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 6.2

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 5.6

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
EDP

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

2.63$

Current Price

2.63$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows