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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Gambling.com Group Limited operates as a performance marketing company for the online gambling industry worldwide.The company provides digital marketing services for the iGaming and sports betting.It publishes various branded websites, including Gambling.com and Bookies.com.


Gambling.com Group Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in St. Helier, Jersey.

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1.b. Last Insights on GAMB

Gambling.com Group Limited faces challenges despite strong quarterly performance. The company's recent Q2 earnings beat was overshadowed by concerns over dilution risk due to a 6.7 million share offering. Additionally, the company faces risks related to Google reliance and potential AI disruption. The acquisition of Spotlight.Vegas and OddsJam has increased operating cash flow but also raised earnout liability. Furthermore, the company is exposed to regulatory risks, although it produces prestigious awards, such as the American Gambling Awards.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Gambling.com Group Delivers Record Q3 Revenue, Driven by Sports Data Services Growth

The Gambling.com Group reported a record $39 million in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, representing a 21% year-over-year increase. The growth was primarily driven by the sports data services segment, which saw a 300% increase, generating $9.2 million in revenue. Adjusted EBITDA grew 3% to $13 million, and adjusted net income was $9.3 million. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.26, beating estimates of $0.2022. The company's financial performance was highlighted by the strong growth in sports data services, including OpticOdds, which doubled its revenue year-over-year.

Publication Date: Nov -29

📋 Highlights
  • Record Q3 Revenue: Hit $39M (up 21% YoY), driven by 300% surge in sports data services to $9.2M.
  • OpticOdds Growth: Revenue doubled YoY, with enterprise sales and new clients fueling expansion.
  • Free Cash Flow & Buybacks: Generated $9.6M FCF; repurchased 562K shares for $4.7M amid $70.5M undrawn credit.
  • Full-Year Guidance Raised: Revenue now $165M vs. $140M prior, with EBITDA up to $58M (3% growth YoY to $13M in Q3).
  • 2026 Growth Outlook: Sports data services to grow 18-20%, B2B >20%, and EBITDA margins to hit mid-30s.

Segment Performance

The marketing business was flat year-over-year due to unfavorable search rankings. However, the company expects this segment to grow in 2026, driven by diversification efforts, including non-SEO channels. The sports data services business is expected to continue growing organically at a healthy pace, with a large addressable market and a growing client base. The company's diversification efforts and growth in sports data services are expected to drive future growth.

Guidance and Outlook

The company revised its full-year guidance to $165 million in revenue and $58 million in adjusted EBITDA. For 2026, it expects low-teens revenue growth, with sports data services growing in the high-teens, B2C in the high-single digits, and B2B above 20%. Adjusted EBITDA margins are expected to be in the mid-30s. The company's guidance suggests a continued focus on growth in its sports data services segment.

Valuation and Cash Flow

The company's valuation metrics indicate a relatively high P/E Ratio of 105.05 and an EV/EBITDA of 11.0. The Free Cash Flow Yield is 15.1%, indicating a strong ability to generate cash. The company's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 3.17, suggesting a moderate level of leverage. With $7.4 million in cash and $70.5 million in undrawn credit facility capacity, the company is well-positioned to invest in growth initiatives or return capital to shareholders.

Capital Allocation

The company is focused on maximizing shareholder value through optimizing capital allocation. It has repurchased approximately 562,000 shares for $4.7 million and is cautious about leveraging beyond its existing credit facility. The company is exploring ways to make strategic investments while preserving capital efficiency, including both internal development and M&A. However, at the current share price, virtually nothing is accretive, making M&A challenging to justify.

3. NewsRoom

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Gambling.com Group Ready for Launch of Online Sports Betting in Missouri

Dec -01

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Comparing Gambling.com Group (NASDAQ:GAMB) & Fluent (NASDAQ:FLNT)

Nov -19

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DraftKings CEO and Co-Founder Jason Robins Named the 2025 American Gambling Awards C-Suite Executive of the Year

Nov -18

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Georgia State Rep. Marcus Wiedower is the 2025 American Gambling Awards Policymaker of the Year

Nov -17

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Acadian Asset Management LLC Decreases Holdings in Gambling.com Group Limited $GAMB

Nov -14

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Gambling.com Group Limited (GAMB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -13

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Louisiana Gaming Control Board's Christopher Hebert is the 2025 American Gambling Awards Regulator of the Year

Nov -05

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OpenBet is the 2025 American Gambling Awards Platform Provider of the Year

Oct -30

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.74%)

6. Segments

Casino

Expected Growth: 10%

Casino segment's 10% growth driven by increasing online penetration, rising demand for mobile gaming, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, expanding product offerings, such as live dealer games and esports betting, attract new customers. Effective marketing campaigns and loyalty programs also contribute to the growth.

Sports

Expected Growth: 12%

The 12% growth in Sports from Gambling.com Group Limited is driven by increasing online sports betting adoption, rising popularity of in-play wagering, and growing demand for sports content. Additionally, strategic partnerships, geographic expansion, and investments in technology and marketing are contributing to the segment's growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 9%

Strong online presence, strategic partnerships, and expansion into new markets drive growth. Increasing demand for online gambling, favorable regulatory environment, and effective marketing strategies contribute to the 9% growth. Additionally, the company's diversified revenue streams, including affiliate marketing and B2B services, provide a solid foundation for sustained growth.

7. Detailed Products

Affiliate Marketing

Gambling.com Group Limited offers affiliate marketing services, connecting online gambling operators with affiliates who promote their brands and products.

Content and Media

The company creates and publishes high-quality content, including reviews, guides, and news, to attract and engage online gamblers.

Digital Marketing

Gambling.com Group Limited provides digital marketing services, including SEO, PPC, and social media marketing, to online gambling operators.

Comparison Tools

The company develops and operates comparison tools, allowing users to compare and choose online gambling operators and games.

Data and Analytics

Gambling.com Group Limited provides data and analytics services, helping online gambling operators to gain insights and optimize their operations.

8. Gambling.com Group Limited's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Gambling.com Group Limited has a low threat of substitutes due to the unique nature of its online gambling services, making it difficult for customers to find alternative products or services.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Gambling.com Group Limited has a medium bargaining power of customers, as customers have some flexibility to choose from various online gambling platforms, but the company's strong brand reputation and loyalty programs help to retain customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Gambling.com Group Limited has a low bargaining power of suppliers, as the company has a diverse range of suppliers and can easily switch to alternative suppliers if needed.

Threat Of New Entrants

Gambling.com Group Limited has a high threat of new entrants, as the online gambling industry is attractive and has low barriers to entry, making it easy for new companies to enter the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

Gambling.com Group Limited operates in a highly competitive online gambling industry, with many established players and new entrants, leading to a high intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 1.43%
Debt Cost 8.57%
Equity Weight 98.57%
Equity Cost 8.57%
WACC 8.57%
Leverage 1.45%

11. Quality Control: Gambling.com Group Limited passed 8 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Super Group

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 3.9

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 4.4

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SkiStar

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Partouche

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 8.3

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 2.1

Yield: 1.9

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Gambling.com

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 5.6

Growth: 9.7

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Gaming Innovation Group

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Playtech

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 2.8

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

5.3$

Current Price

5.3$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows