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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Arqit Quantum Inc.provides cybersecurity services through satellite and terrestrial platforms in the United Kingdom.It offers QuantumCloud that enables any device to download a lightweight software agent, which can create encryption keys in partnership with any other device.


The company is based in London, the United Kingdom.

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1.b. Last Insights on ARQQ

Negative drivers behind Arqit Quantum Inc.'s recent performance include the lack of concrete financial results, as the company only announced select preliminary financial results for the first half of fiscal year 2025, which may not provide a comprehensive view of its financial health. Additionally, the absence of a recent earnings release suggests that the company may not be providing timely financial updates, which could be a concern for investors. Furthermore, the appointment of a new Chief Technology Officer, while potentially positive, may also indicate a need for change within the company, which could be a negative signal.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) Posts Mixed Q2 Results Amidst Strategic Progress

Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) reported its Q2 2023 earnings, revealing a mixed bag of financial performance and strategic advancements. The company generated revenues of $67,000 for the first half of fiscal year 2025, down from $119,000 in the prior year, primarily due to delayed customer contract commencements. The operating loss widened slightly to $17.8 million compared to $16.6 million in the previous year, driven by lower revenue and increased administrative expenses. On a per-share basis, the company reported an EPS of -1.98, outperforming the consensus estimate of -2.1. Despite the near-term financial challenges, Arqit's strategic momentum and market positioning offer a compelling narrative for long-term investors.

Publication Date: May -22

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Decline: Reported $67,000 in H1 FY2025, down from $119,000 in the prior year due to delayed contract commencements.
  • Key Contracts Secured: Signed a three-year contract with a tier-one telecom operator and a defense contract with the U.S. Department of Defense.
  • Intel Collaboration: Advanced confidential computing by integrating NetworkSecure into Intel’s trusted domain enclave, enhancing cloud security.
  • Financial Position: Held $24.8 million in cash and cash equivalents as of March 31, 2025, with monthly cash burn stable at $2.2-$2.4 million.
  • CEO Outlook: Expressed confidence in growing momentum, with a strong sales pipeline and increasing market awareness of quantum-safe encryption.

Market Momentum and Contract Wins

Arqit made significant strides in market penetration, securing key contracts in the telecom and defense sectors. In the telecom space, the company signed a three-year contract with a tier-one network operator, marking a breakthrough after a 14-month sales cycle. This B2B2B model aligns customer and company interests, positioning Arqit for potential upselling as demand grows. On the defense front, Arqit secured its first contract with the U.S. Department of Defense, embedding its software into a funded program of record. These wins underscore the company's ability to leverage its quantum-safe encryption technology to address critical security needs across industries.

Cost Discipline and Balance Sheet Strength

Arqit demonstrated a focus on cost control, with administrative expenses of $18 million, down from $16.8 million in the prior year, driven by reduced headcount and property costs. However, unfavorable foreign exchange partially offset these savings. The company ended the period with $24.8 million in cash and cash equivalents, providing a stable financial foundation to execute its growth strategy. Monthly cash burn remained stable at $2.2-$2.4 million, with no significant near-term expansion in operating costs expected.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

Arqit's valuation reflects the market's optimism about its growth trajectory. The stock currently trades at a P/S ratio of 2652.17 and an EV/EBITDA of -15.64, indicating that investors are pricing in significant future revenue growth. The company's strong sales pipeline, increasing market awareness, and expanding partnerships position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for quantum-safe encryption. As CEO Andy Leaver noted, "Increasing market awareness of quantum-safe encryption and expanding partnerships are driving Arqit's growing momentum." With a free cash flow yield of -7.18% and net debt/EBITDA of 0.93, the company has room to invest in scaling its operations while maintaining financial discipline.

3. NewsRoom

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Arqit and Sparkle achieve quantum-resistant encryption at the speed of light

Dec -03

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Arqit Quantum Inc. Sets Fiscal year 2025 Conference Call for Tuesday, December 9, 2025 at 11:00 a.m. ET

Dec -01

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Arqit Quantum: ARQQ Stock's 10x Upside To $270?

Nov -18

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Why Arqit Quantum Stock Plummeted This Week

Nov -16

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Arqit launches SKA Central Controller to simplify quantum-safe network deployments for Managed Service Providers

Nov -11

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Cybersecurity Stocks To Research – October 27th

Oct -29

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Here's Why ARQIT QUANTUM (ARQQ) Looks Ripe for Bottom Fishing

Oct -20

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Arqit Quantum: Exponential Revenue Growth

Oct -20

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (14.47%)

6. Segments

Cybersecurity Services

Expected Growth: 14.47%

Arqit Quantum Inc.'s 14.47% growth in Cybersecurity Services is driven by increasing demand for quantum-resistant encryption, rising cyber threats, and growing adoption of cloud-based services. Additionally, the company's innovative quantum-based solutions and strategic partnerships are contributing to its rapid expansion.

7. Detailed Products

QuantumCloud

A cloud-based platform that enables users to access and utilize quantum computing capabilities remotely.

QuantumAppliance

A hardware-based solution that provides a secure and reliable way to generate and distribute quantum keys.

QuantumKey

A software-based solution that enables the secure distribution and management of quantum keys.

QuantumSDK

A software development kit that enables developers to build quantum-resistant applications and integrate quantum security into their products.

QuantumConsulting

A professional services offering that provides expertise and guidance on quantum security and quantum computing.

8. Arqit Quantum Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Arqit Quantum Inc. operates in a niche market with limited substitutes, but the threat of substitutes is still present due to the evolving nature of the quantum computing industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Arqit Quantum Inc.'s customers are largely dependent on the company's quantum computing solutions, giving them limited bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Arqit Quantum Inc. relies on a limited number of suppliers for its quantum computing hardware and software, giving them moderate bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The quantum computing industry is rapidly evolving, and new entrants with significant resources and expertise could potentially disrupt Arqit Quantum Inc.'s market position.

Intensity Of Rivalry

Arqit Quantum Inc. operates in a competitive market with several established players, but the company's unique quantum computing solutions and partnerships help to mitigate the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 11.19%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 88.81%
Equity Cost 10.48%
WACC 9.75%
Leverage 12.61%

11. Quality Control: Arqit Quantum Inc. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
WAGPS

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 2.0

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Spirent Communications

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 0.8

Growth: 1.7

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Arqit Quantum

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Radware

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 1.2

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
OVH

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 2.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Allot

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 2.9

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 0.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

30.52$

Current Price

30.52$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows