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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Aperam S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of stainless and specialty steel products worldwide.It operates through three segments: Stainless & Electrical Steel; Services & Solutions; and Alloys & Specialties.The company offers range of stainless steel products, including grain oriented and non-grain oriented electrical steel products, and specialty alloys.


It is also involved in the distribution of its products; and the provision of transformation services that include value added and customized steel solutions.In addition, the company designs, produces, and transforms various specialty alloys and other specific stainless steels in forms, such as bars, semis, cold-rolled strips, wire and wire rods, and plates in a range on grades.It serves customers in aerospace, automotive, catering, construction, household appliances, electrical engineering, industrial processes, medical, and oil and gas industries.


The company distributes its products through a network of service centers, transformation facilities, and sales offices.Aperam S.A. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg.

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1.b. Last Insights on APAM

Aperam S.A.'s recent performance has been driven by its robust earnings and dividend payments. The company's decision to pay a dividend of €0.425 per share on February 20th is a positive for shareholders, providing a stable income stream amidst market volatility. As investors seek steady income streams, Aperam's high-yield dividend stock has become an attractive option, offering a potential 7.4% yield. This development is a key driver of the company's recent performance, making it an attractive choice for income-seeking investors.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Aperam's Q3 Earnings: A Mixed Bag

Aperam's financial performance in Q3 was marked by an actual EPS of -0.28, falling short of estimates at 0.01. Revenue growth was likely impacted by the price pressure from imports in Brazil, although the company is awaiting the results of a proposed antidumping revision on stainless steel imports from China and Taiwan. The company's financials were under pressure, with the actual EPS coming in negative.

Publication Date: Nov -29

📋 Highlights
  • Brazil Import Price Pressure:: Brazil faces import price pressure, excluding stainless steel; Aperam awaits antidumping revisions on Chinese/Taiwanese stainless steel imports.
  • CBAM Implementation:: Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will apply from Jan 1, 2026, covering ferronickel, pure nickel, and ferrochrome, with a 7-year phased rollout.
  • Regional Volume Outlook:: Europe’s volumes to rise in Q4 due to seasonality, while Brazil’s volumes will decline seasonally.
  • Aerospace Market Dynamics:: Aerospace exposure via universal/recycling activities; market destocking ongoing but producers’ order books remain robust.

Operational Insights

The company expects volumes to increase in Europe in Q4 due to seasonal effects, while Brazil will see a decrease in volumes, also in line with seasonality. Aperam's aerospace end market exposure is mainly through universal and recycling activities, and the market is experiencing destocking, but the order book of producers is solid. The alloys business is currently 10% weaker, but the company still targets EUR 100 million in EBITDA.

Guidance and Outlook

Financing costs are expected to be around EUR 15 million per quarter, with the rest of the costs related to derivatives and timing effects. The annualized financing line is expected to be around EUR 60 million. The impact of a change that came in 5 years ago will likely be a high single digit or low double digit hit, approximately $10-11 million, starting next year for long-term ones. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 8.7%, indicating a potential recovery.

Valuation Metrics

Aperam's current valuation metrics show a 'P/E Ratio' of 12.49, a 'P/B Ratio' of 0.75, and an 'EV/EBITDA' of 5.58. The 'Dividend Yield (%)' is 5.58%, and the 'Free Cash Flow Yield (%)' is 6.34%. These metrics indicate that the market is pricing in a moderate level of growth, and the company's dividend yield is attractive.

Management's Perspective

Outgoing CEO Timoteo Di Maulo expressed confidence in the company's open dialogue with the capital market and the resolution of current headwinds. He thanked participants and wished them a great holiday season, leaving the company in a stable position as he transitions to his new role.

3. NewsRoom

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Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk

Nov -26

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Earnings Report: Aperam S.A. Missed Revenue Estimates By 10%

Nov -12

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Aperam (AMS:APAM) Has Announced A Dividend Of €0.425

Oct -18

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European steelmakers' shares rise on EU plan to cut steel quotas

Oct -08

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Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk

Oct -08

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Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk

Oct -03

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Basic Materials Roundup: Market Talk

Oct -03

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[Latest] Global Stainless Steel Scrap Market Size/Share Worth USD 70.84 Billion by 2034 at a 7.01% CAGR: Custom Market Insights (Analysis, Outlook, Leaders, Report, Trends, Forecast, Segmentation, Growth Rate, Value, SWOT Analysis)

Aug -13

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (3.69%)

6. Segments

Stainless & Electrical Steel

Expected Growth: 3.5%

Aperam S.A.'s Stainless & Electrical Steel segment growth of 3.5% is driven by increasing demand from the automotive and construction industries, coupled with rising adoption of electric vehicles and renewable energy sources. Additionally, the company's focus on cost optimization, product innovation, and strategic partnerships also contribute to its growth momentum.

Services & Solutions

Expected Growth: 3.8%

Aperam S.A.'s 3.8% growth in Services & Solutions is driven by increasing demand for stainless steel and specialty materials in the aerospace, automotive, and industrial markets. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, digitalization, and sustainability initiatives has led to improved operational efficiency and cost savings, contributing to the segment's growth.

Recycling & Renewables

Expected Growth: 4.2%

Aperam S.A.'s Recycling & Renewables segment growth of 4.2% is driven by increasing demand for eco-friendly products, government incentives for sustainable practices, and the company's strategic expansion into emerging markets. Additionally, Aperam's focus on research and development of new recycling technologies and processes has improved operational efficiency, further contributing to the segment's growth.

Alloys & Specialties

Expected Growth: 3.2%

Aperam S.A.'s Alloys & Specialties segment growth of 3.2% is driven by increasing demand from the aerospace and automotive industries, coupled with the company's focus on innovation and R&D, resulting in high-value specialty alloys. Additionally, strategic partnerships and capacity expansions have enabled the company to capitalize on growing market trends.

7. Detailed Products

Stainless and Electrical Steels

Aperam S.A. produces a wide range of stainless and electrical steels, including austenitic, ferritic, martensitic, and duplex grades, used in various industries such as construction, automotive, and consumer goods.

Alloys and Special Steels

Aperam S.A. offers a variety of alloys and special steels, including nickel alloys, titanium alloys, and other specialty grades, used in demanding applications such as aerospace, energy, and industrial processes.

Services

Aperam S.A. provides a range of services, including technical support, logistics, and supply chain management, to support its customers in the production and distribution of its steel products.

8. Aperam S.A.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Aperam S.A. faces moderate threat from substitutes due to the availability of alternative materials and products in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Aperam S.A. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers, giving the company an upper hand in negotiations.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Aperam S.A. relies on a few large suppliers for raw materials, giving them some bargaining power, but the company's size and scale of operations mitigate this risk.

Threat Of New Entrants

The steel industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles, making it difficult for new entrants to join the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The steel industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share, leading to intense rivalry among companies like Aperam S.A.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 21.34%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 78.66%
Equity Cost 13.08%
WACC 11.13%
Leverage 27.14%

11. Quality Control: Aperam S.A. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Aperam

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 7.9

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 8.8

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Vesuvius

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 4.1

Quality: 3.9

Yield: 6.2

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Jacquet Metals

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 2.6

Yield: 4.4

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Outokumpu

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 6.9

Growth: 2.6

Quality: 2.9

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Alleima

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Stalprodukt

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 2.3

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

32.78$

Current Price

32.78$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows