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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Panoro Energy ASA, an independent exploration and production company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in Africa.The company holds assets in the Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Tunisia, South Africa, and Nigeria.As of December 31, 2021, its 1P reserves included 71.5 million barrels of oil (MMbbls), 2P reserves comprised 99.7 MMbbls, and 3P reserves consisted of 131.3 MMbbls in the Tortue, Ruche, Ruche Northeast, and Hibiscus fields.


The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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1.b. Last Insights on PEN

Panoro Energy ASA's recent performance was hindered by regulatory and market challenges, despite reporting robust Q4 2024 results with significant revenue and profit. The company's ability to navigate these obstacles will be crucial in maintaining its financial momentum. Furthermore, the absence of recent positive short-term news suggests that the company's growth trajectory may be impacted by external factors.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Panoro's Q3 Earnings: A Mixed Bag

Panoro's financial performance for the first 9 months of 2025 was marked by revenue of $150 million and EBITDA of $70 million, with CapEx standing at just under $30 million. In Q3, revenue was $63.5 million, and EBITDA was $19.3 million. The company's EPS came out at -$0.28343, missing estimates of $0.165. The cash position stood at around $44 million, with gross debt of $150 million, resulting in a net debt to trailing 12-month EBITDA ratio of about 1.04x. As Julien Balkany noted, "Since March 2023, we have returned around 33% of our current market cap to shareholders," highlighting the company's commitment to shareholder returns.

Publication Date: Nov -29

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue & EBITDA Growth: First 9 months revenue near $150M, EBITDA of $70M, with Q3 revenue at $63.5M and EBITDA of $19.3M.
  • Shareholder Returns: $660M cumulative cash distribution since March 2023, recent $83M share buyback, and 33% market cap returned to shareholders.
  • Production & Reserve Expansion: Bourdon discovery holds 50M barrels in place, with 25M recoverable; Block EG-23 has >100M barrel potential and Estrella-1 tested at 6,700 BOPD.
  • Capital Efficiency: Hibiscus South brought online in 6 months at $5/barrel finding/development cost; 2025 CapEx under $40M, with net debt/EBITDA at 1.04x.

Operational Highlights

Operationally, Panoro's production is expected to average slightly below 11,000 barrels of oil per day. The company realized a premium of around 1% over the average Brent oil price in Q3 and expects to lift around 1.1 million barrels of oil in Q4. The MaBoMo Phase 2 development is planned for mid-2026, and the Bourdon discovery is being matured for FID. The Estrella discovery on Block EG-23 has shown significant potential, with 60 meters of reservoir and a test rate of over 6,700 barrels of oil per day.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

Analysts estimate revenue growth of 13.9% for next year, which is a positive indicator. Looking at valuation metrics, Panoro's P/S Ratio stands at 0.93, and EV/EBITDA is 2.42. The Dividend Yield is 14.59%, indicating an attractive return for income investors. However, the Free Cash Flow Yield is -17.64%, which may raise concerns about the company's ability to generate cash. With a ROE of 12.08% and ROIC of 7.67%, Panoro is generating returns above its cost of capital.

Outlook and M&A Strategy

Panoro remains focused on M&A opportunities to increase its size and scale, with a constant evaluation of new deals. The company has a history of successful acquisitions and aims to continue this strategy, targeting accretive opportunities that can generate free cash flow from day one. With a robust pipeline of organic growth and a solid M&A strategy, Panoro is well-positioned for future growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Panoro Energy ASA (PESAF) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth Amid ...

Nov -21

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Panoro Energy ASA (PESAF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Reserves Growth and ...

May -22

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Panoro Energy ASA (FRA:1PZ) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial Performance ...

Feb -26

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Panoro Energy ASA (FRA:1PZ) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Production Milestones and ...

Nov -21

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BW, VAALCO and Panoro sign PSCs for Niosi and Guduma Marin blocks in Gabon

Nov -01

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (3.00%)

6. Segments

Oil and Gas

Expected Growth: 3.0%

Panoro Energy ASA's 3.0% growth in Oil and Gas is driven by increasing production from its Dussafu Marin permit in Gabon, successful exploration and appraisal activities, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, rising global demand, improved operational efficiency, and favorable oil prices contribute to the growth.

7. Detailed Products

Dussafu Marin Permit

An offshore oil and gas exploration permit located in Gabon, West Africa

Tortue Field

An offshore oil field located in Senegal, West Africa

Ruche Field

An offshore oil field located in Gabon, West Africa

Dussafu Torque Block

An offshore oil and gas exploration block located in Gabon, West Africa

8. Panoro Energy ASA's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Panoro Energy ASA is moderate, as there are alternative energy sources available, but they are not yet widely adopted.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Panoro Energy ASA is low, as the company operates in a niche market with limited competition.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Panoro Energy ASA is moderate, as the company relies on a few key suppliers for its operations.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Panoro Energy ASA is high, as the energy industry is constantly evolving and new companies are emerging.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Panoro Energy ASA is moderate, as the company operates in a competitive market, but has a strong market position.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 22.74%
Debt Cost 13.02%
Equity Weight 77.26%
Equity Cost 13.02%
WACC 13.02%
Leverage 29.44%

11. Quality Control: Panoro Energy ASA passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Ithaca Energy

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Deutsche Rohstoff

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 5.6

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Serica Energy

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 5.3

Quality: 6.0

Yield: 9.4

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Maurel & Prom

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 6.0

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 8.8

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Panoro Energy

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 8.8

Growth: 8.3

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Seplat Energy

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 4.0

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

20.9$

Current Price

20.9$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows