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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Align Technology, Inc., a medical device company, designs, manufactures, and markets Invisalign clear aligners and iTero intraoral scanners and services for orthodontists and general practitioner dentists, and restorative and aesthetic dentistry.It operates in two segments, Clear Aligner; and Scanners and Services.The Clear Aligner segment consists of comprehensive products, including Invisalign comprehensive treatment that addresses the orthodontic needs of teenage patients, such as mandibular advancement, compliance indicators, and compensation for tooth eruption; and Invisalign First Phase I and Invisalign First Comprehensive Phase 2 package for younger patients generally between the ages of seven and ten years, which is a mixture of primary/baby and permanent teeth.


This segment's non-comprehensive products comprise Invisalign moderate, lite and express packages, and Invisalign go; and non-case products include retention products, Invisalign training fees, and sales of ancillary products, such as cleaning material, and adjusting tools used by dental professionals during the course of treatment.The Scanners and Services segment offers iTero scanner, a single hardware platform with software options for restorative or orthodontic procedures; restorative software for general practitioner dentists, prosthodontists, periodontists, and oral surgeons; and software for orthodontists for digital records storage, orthodontic diagnosis, and for the fabrication of printed models and retainers.This segment also provides computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing services; ancillary products, such as disposable sleeves for the wand; iTero model and dies; third party scanners and digital scans; Invisalign outcome simulator, a chair-side and cloud-based application for the iTero scanner; Invisalign progress assessment tool; and TimeLapse technology, which allows doctors or practitioners to compare a patient's historic 3D scans to the present-day scan.


The company sells its products in the United States, Switzerland, China, and internationally.Align Technology, Inc.was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

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1.b. Last Insights on ALGN

Align Technology's recent performance was driven by strong Q4 earnings and revenue beats, fueled by record Clear Aligner volumes. The company's adjusted operating margins improved to 23.9%, supported by aggressive buybacks and restructuring. A golden cross signal was also observed, indicating a potential good stock pick from a technical perspective. Several institutional investors, including Wealth Enhancement Advisory Services LLC and Assenagon Asset Management S.A., increased their stakes in the company. A raised target price of $195, implying 11% upside, was set due to broad-based Q4 outperformance.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Align Technology's Q4 2025 Earnings: A Strong Finish to a Record Year

Align Technology reported Q4 2025 revenues of $1,047,600,000, up 5.3% year-over-year and 5.2% sequentially, driven by record clear aligner volumes of 677,000 cases, up 7.7% year-over-year. Non-GAAP gross margin was 72%, and non-GAAP operating margin was 22.7% for the full year 2025. The company's net income per diluted share was $1.89, up $1.11 sequentially and up 50¢ compared to the prior year. On a non-GAAP basis, net income per diluted share was $3.29, beating analyst estimates of $2.99.

Publication Date: Feb -08

📋 Highlights
  • Q4 2025 Revenue Growth:: Revenues rose 5.3% YoY to $1.05B, with clear aligners at $838.1M (+5.5% YoY) driven by 677,000 cases (+7.7% YoY).
  • Full-Year 2025 Record Revenues:: Total revenue hit $4B (+1% YoY), with clear aligners at $3.2B (+0.5% YoY) and 936,000 teen/kid cases (+7.8% YoY).
  • Non-GAAP Operating Margin Expansion:: Full-year 2025 non-GAAP operating margin reached 22.7%, up 300 bps YoY, with Q4 margin at 26.1% (+300 bps YoY).
  • 2026 Guidance:: Projects 3-4% global revenue growth, with clear aligner volume up mid-single digits and DSOs contributing 25% of volume.
  • Direct Fabrication Transition:: Shift to 3D printing for clear aligners (e.g., Invisalign First) expected to dilute margins in 2026 but scale to accretive by 2027-2028.

Revenue Growth and Segment Performance

In 2025, total revenues reached a record $4,000,000,000, up 1% year-over-year, with clear aligner revenues of $3,200,000,000, up 0.5% year-over-year. A record 936,000 teens and kids started treatment with Invisalign clear aligners, up 7.8% year-over-year. The company's guidance for 2026 expects worldwide revenues to be in the range of $1,010,000,000 to $1,030,000,000, up 3% to 5% year-over-year.

Operational Efficiency and Margin Expansion

The company saw a positive impact from productivity improvements and a favorable product mix, contributing to 100 basis points of margin expansion opportunity. Operating expenses decreased by $14.6 million due to lower restructuring costs and slightly higher advertising, marketing, and technology spend. On a non-GAAP basis, operating expenses were $480.9 million, up 3.8% sequentially and up 1.3% year-over-year.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/E Ratio of 35.88 and an EV/EBITDA of 16.88, the market is pricing in a certain level of growth for Align Technology. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 4.4%, which is slightly higher than the company's guidance. The company's ROE of 9.75% and ROIC of 8.56% indicate a decent return on equity and invested capital.

Future Initiatives and Challenges

The company is working to transition customers from older Element iTero scanners to new products like Lumina, with a trade-in allowance to encourage the upgrade. The direct fab business is expected to be margin dilutive in 2026 but is expected to scale and become margin accretive by 2027 or 2028. The guidance for 2026 assumes some margin dilution from direct fab.

3. NewsRoom

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Henry Schein One Connects Align Technology's iTero™ Scanners to Dentrix, Dentrix Ascend, and Dentally, Advancing a More Connected Global Standard of Care

Feb -17

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Align Technology: Broad-Based Q4 Outperformance Supports Upside

Feb -06

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Align Technology Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

Feb -06

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The markets are ‘more stable than what we experienced in the past,' says Align Technology CEO

Feb -06

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Align Technology (NASDAQ:ALGN) Shares Gap Up Following Better-Than-Expected Earnings

Feb -06

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Stock Futures Lower Amid Tech Malaise, Dismal Jobs Data

Feb -05

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ALGN Stock Climbs on Q4 Earnings and Revenue Beat, Margins Down

Feb -05

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AE Wealth Management LLC Takes Position in Align Technology, Inc. $ALGN

Feb -05

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (7.66%)

6. Segments

Clear Aligner

Expected Growth: 8%

Align Technology's Clear Aligner growth is driven by increasing adoption in orthodontics and dentistry, expanding into new markets, and rising demand for aesthetic and convenient teeth straightening solutions. Additionally, the company's investments in digital marketing, sales force expansion, and strategic partnerships contribute to its growth.

Systems and Services

Expected Growth: 6%

Align Technology's Systems and Services segment growth is driven by increasing adoption of digital orthodontics, rising demand for Invisalign clear aligners, and expansion of iTero scanner sales. Additionally, strategic partnerships, geographic expansion, and investments in digital platforms contribute to the segment's 6% growth.

7. Detailed Products

Invisalign Clear Aligners

A series of custom-made, clear, removable aligners that gradually move teeth into their desired position.

Invisalign Go

A simplified, express version of Invisalign Clear Aligners for mild orthodontic cases.

iTero Element Intraoral Scanner

A digital impression system that captures detailed 3D images of teeth and gums.

Itero Element Flex

A portable, handheld intraoral scanner for dental impressions and oral examinations.

OrthoCAD Digital Orthodontic Treatment Planning

A software platform for orthodontists to plan and visualize treatment outcomes.

8. Align Technology, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Align Technology, Inc. has a low threat of substitutes due to its unique and patented technology in the orthodontic and dental industries.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is medium as Align Technology, Inc. has a diverse customer base, but some large customers may have negotiating power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low as Align Technology, Inc. has a diversified supply chain and is not heavily dependent on a single supplier.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the orthodontic and dental industries, including regulatory hurdles and significant capital requirements.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is medium as Align Technology, Inc. operates in a competitive market, but has a strong market position and differentiated products.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 3.37%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 96.63%
Equity Cost 12.26%
WACC 11.98%
Leverage 3.49%

11. Quality Control: Align Technology, Inc. passed 6 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Penumbra

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 0.4

Growth: 8.2

Quality: 7.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 5.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CONMED

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 7.4

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 5.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
iRhythm Technologies

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 6.1

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Globus Medical

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bio-Rad

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 6.5

Growth: 2.3

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 5.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Align Technology

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 5.3

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

190.02$

Current Price

190.02$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows