Download PDF

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Arcosa, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, energy, and transportation markets in North America.It operates through three segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products.The Construction Products segment offers natural and recycled aggregates; specialty materials; and trench shields and shoring products for residential and non-residential construction, agriculture, specialty building products, as well as for infrastructure related projects.


The Engineered Structures segment provides utility structures, wind towers, traffic and lighting structures, telecommunication structures, storage and distribution tanks for electricity transmission and distribution, wind power generation, highway road construction, and wireless communication markets, as well as for gas and liquids storage and transportation for residential, commercial, energy, agriculture, and industrial markets.The Transportation Products segment offers inland barges; fiberglass barge covers, winches, and other components; cast components for industrial and mining sectors; and axles, circular forgings, coupling devices for freight, tank, locomotive, and passenger rail transportation equipment, as well as other industrial uses.Arcosa, Inc.


was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Show Full description

1.b. Last Insights on ACA

Arcosa's recent performance was driven by strong Q3 2025 results, with revenues increasing 25% year-over-year to $797.8 million, primarily due to strategic acquisitions and strength in Engineered Structures and Construction Products. The company's wind towers and utility structures segments were key contributors. Adjusted net profits and EBITDA are rising, with earnings per share beating estimates at $1.56. Management guides for strong 2025 growth in revenue and EBITDA. The company's solid industry catalysts and low relative valuation also justify a bullish outlook.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Arcosa's Record-Breaking Q3 2025 Earnings: A Strong Performance

Arcosa's third-quarter 2025 results were impressive, with revenue increasing 27% to a record level and adjusted EBITDA growing 51%, excluding the divested steel components business. The company's adjusted EBITDA margin was 21.8%, a significant 340 basis points improvement over the same period last year. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.56, beating estimates of $1.33. The strong performance was driven by the $1.2 billion Stavola acquisition, closed a year ago, which contributed significantly to the growth. The company's financial performance was characterized by strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and a beat on EPS estimates.

Publication Date: Nov -16

📋 Highlights
  • Record Revenue & EBITDA Growth:: Q3 2025 revenue rose 27%, adjusted EBITDA surged 51% (excluding steel components) to $229.3M, with margins expanding 340 bps to 21.8%.
  • Segment Performance:: Construction Products achieved $150M adjusted EBITDA (+300 bps margin expansion); Engineered Structures grew EBITDA 29% with 240 bps margin improvement.
  • Debt Reduction & Liquidity:: $100M allocated to repay Stavola acquisition debt, reducing leverage to 2.4x (ahead of 2–2.5x target within 18 months); $920M liquidity maintained.
  • 2025 Guidance Tightened:: Revenue forecast narrowed to $2.86B–$2.91B; adjusted EBITDA raised to $575M–$585M ($580M midpoint, 32% YoY growth).
  • 2026 Production Visibility:: Strong backlog for wind towers and utility structures, with orders driving 100% organic Q4 growth and double-digit EBITDA growth projected.

Segment Performance

The Construction Products segment delivered a record quarterly performance, with adjusted segment EBITDA of $150 million and a 300 basis point margin expansion. The Engineered Structures segment saw a 29% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 240 basis point margin expansion. The barge business generated double-digit revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, with a 190 basis point margin increase. The strong segment performance was driven by pricing growth, operating improvements, and strong demand.

Leverage Ratio and Cash Flow

Arcosa ended the quarter with a leverage ratio of 2.4x, ahead of its stated plan to return to a 2 to 2.5x leverage target within 18 months of the Stavola acquisition. The company generated $161 million in operating cash flow and $134 million in free cash flow during the quarter, allocating $100 million to reduce the outstanding balance on the Stavola acquisition term loan. The company's liquidity remains strong at $920 million.

Outlook and Guidance

For the full year 2025, Arcosa adjusted its guidance ranges, tightening forecasted revenues to $2.86 billion to $2.91 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $575 million to $585 million, implying 32% adjusted EBITDA growth. The company expects high single-digit pricing growth in aggregates and high single-digit volume growth for the full year. The outlook for the Engineered Structures segment remains positive, driven by the growth in the U.S. power industry and investments in transmission and distribution infrastructure.

Valuation

Arcosa's current valuation metrics indicate a P/E Ratio of 33.07, EV/EBITDA of 11.61, and a Free Cash Flow Yield of 6.38%. These metrics suggest that the company's strong growth prospects are partially priced in, but the cash flow yield remains attractive. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 6.0%, which may not be sufficient to justify the current P/E multiple, but the company's improving profitability and cash generation capabilities support the valuation.

3. NewsRoom

Card image cap

Forget CVS, Buy This Healthcare Stock Instead

Nov -28

Card image cap

Trump ACA Plan Lifts S&P 500 Health Insurance Stocks. How It Would Work — Or Not.

Nov -24

Card image cap

Commonwealth of Pennsylvania Public School Empls Retrmt SYS Grows Position in Arcosa, Inc. $ACA

Nov -24

Card image cap

Creative Planning Boosts Holdings in Arcosa, Inc. $ACA

Nov -24

Card image cap

Comparing Knife River (NYSE:KNF) & Arcosa (NYSE:ACA)

Nov -22

Card image cap

Is Arcosa (ACA) Stock Outpacing Its Construction Peers This Year?

Nov -20

Card image cap

ACA or IBP: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Nov -18

Card image cap

Chuck Royce's Strategic Moves: Significant Reduction in Air Lease Corp

Nov -12

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (8.94%)

6. Segments

Construction Products

Expected Growth: 8%

Arcosa's Construction Products segment growth is driven by increasing infrastructure spending, strong demand for aggregates, and growing adoption of recycled materials. Additionally, the company's strategic acquisitions, expanded product offerings, and operational efficiencies contribute to its 8% growth rate.

Engineered Structures

Expected Growth: 9%

Arcosa's Engineered Structures segment growth is driven by increasing demand for wind turbine foundations, expansion in the utility and telecom markets, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, growing investments in renewable energy and infrastructure development are fueling growth. The company's focus on innovation, operational efficiency, and customer relationships also contribute to its 9% growth rate.

Transportation Products

Expected Growth: 11%

Arcosa's Transportation Products segment growth is driven by increasing demand for railcars and tank containers, supported by a strong North American energy market and growing need for crude oil transportation. Additionally, the company's strategic acquisitions and expansion into new markets, such as Mexico, contribute to its 11% growth rate.

Eliminations

Expected Growth: 0%

Arcosa, Inc.'s eliminations segment shows 0% growth, driven by stagnant demand in the construction and infrastructure industries, lack of new project awards, and intense competition in the materials and equipment markets, resulting in flat revenue and no eliminations.

7. Detailed Products

Inland Barges

Arcosa's inland barges are designed for transporting dry bulk commodities such as grains, coal, and aggregates across inland waterways.

Tank Barges

Arcosa's tank barges are designed for transporting liquid cargo such as petroleum products, chemicals, and other hazardous materials.

Covered Hoppers

Arcosa's covered hoppers are designed for transporting dry bulk commodities such as grains, minerals, and other dry goods.

Gondola Cars

Arcosa's gondola cars are designed for transporting bulk commodities such as coal, aggregates, and other heavy materials.

Construction Materials

Arcosa's construction materials include aggregates, ready-mix concrete, and other building materials.

Energy Equipment

Arcosa's energy equipment includes wind towers, oil and gas equipment, and other energy-related products.

8. Arcosa, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Arcosa, Inc. is medium due to the availability of alternative products and services in the construction materials industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Arcosa, Inc. is low due to the company's strong brand reputation and diversified customer base.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Arcosa, Inc. is medium due to the company's dependence on a few key suppliers for raw materials.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Arcosa, Inc. is low due to the high barriers to entry in the construction materials industry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Arcosa, Inc. is high due to the competitive nature of the construction materials industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 19.66%
Debt Cost 5.70%
Equity Weight 80.34%
Equity Cost 7.68%
WACC 7.29%
Leverage 24.48%

11. Quality Control: Arcosa, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Donaldson

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Griffon

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 3.4

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Trinity Industries

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Acuity Brands

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 6.8

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Verra Mobility

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 2.2

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 7.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Arcosa

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 4.1

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

107.29$

Current Price

107.29$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows