Download PDF

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

CaliberCos Inc.is a real estate investment, and an asset management firm specializes in middle-market assets.It serves its investor clients by creating, managing, and servicing proprietary products, including middle-market investment funds, private syndications, and direct investments, which are managed by the firm's in-house asset services group.


It invests primarily in commercial real estate, qualified opportunity zones (QOZ), private equity, and debt facilities.It delivers a full suite of alternative investments to high net worth, accredited and qualified investors, as well as family offices and smaller institutions.CaliberCos Inc.


was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

Show Full description

1.b. Last Insights on CWD

The recent 3-month performance of CaliberCos Inc. was negatively impacted by several factors. The company's Q1 2025 earnings release revealed a decline in revenue and profitability, which was attributed to increased operating expenses and lower-than-expected sales. Additionally, the company's decision to launch Caliber Hospitality Development, a joint venture with GIA Hospitality, may have diverted resources away from its core business. Furthermore, the company's recent refinancing of the DoubleTree by Hilton Tucson Hotel Property, while a positive development, may have also contributed to increased debt levels.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Caliber's Q3 2025 Earnings: A Transformative Quarter

Caliber's Q3 2025 financial performance was marked by a significant decrease in platform revenue, which came in at approximately $3.5 million, down 52.7% from the prior year quarter. The company's platform expenses also decreased, but not enough to offset the revenue decline, resulting in a platform adjusted EBITDA loss of $700,000 compared to a profit of $2.4 million in the same period last year. The actual EPS came out at '-1.7', significantly worse than estimates of '-0.32'. Estimated performance allocations, or carrying interest, totaled $90.5 million, up from $84.8 million, indicating a relatively stable underlying business.

Publication Date: Nov -29

📋 Highlights
  • Digital Asset Treasury Expansion:: Launched DAT strategy with $30M raised, holding $10M in LINK tokens and aiming for 8-10% staking yield.
  • Balance Sheet Strengthening:: Transformed $17M negative equity to $6M positive, with $10M cash and $10M in LINK treasury.
  • Carrying Interest Growth:: Performance allocations rose to $90.5M, up from $84.8M, driven by higher managed capital ($506M).
  • Platform Revenue Decline:: Q3 revenue fell 52.7% to $3.5M, with adjusted EBITDA loss of $700K vs $2.4M profit in 2022.
  • Wholesale Fundraising Momentum:: Q3 fundraising outperformed 2022, with $30M gross proceeds and 194 unsecured notes totaling $31.5M.

Digital Asset Expansion

The company made significant strides in expanding its digital asset investments with the launch of its digital asset treasury (DAT) strategy, anchored in Chainlink's LINK token. Caliber raised over $30 million to strengthen its balance sheet, improve liquidity, reduce debt, and position itself for growth. The DAT strategy aims to build Caliber's LINK holdings, generate an annual yield through staking, and eventually tokenize Caliber's real estate funds and underlying real estate. This move marks a significant diversification of Caliber's business into alternative asset management, offering exposure to both real and digital assets.

Balance Sheet Improvement

Caliber's balance sheet showed significant improvement, with the company raising $30 million in gross proceeds and transforming its nearly $17 million in negative shareholders' equity into a positive $6 million. The company had approximately $10 million in cash and $10 million in its LINK digital treasury. However, it also had 194 individual unsecured notes with an aggregate principal balance of approximately $31.5 million, which may be a concern for investors.

Valuation Metrics

Looking at Caliber's valuation metrics, the company's P/S Ratio stands at 0.08, indicating a relatively low revenue multiple. The EV/EBITDA ratio is 0.85, suggesting that the company's enterprise value is not excessively high relative to its EBITDA. However, the ROE is 202.5%, which is unusually high, and the ROIC is -88.43%, indicating poor return on invested capital. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is 1.12, which may indicate some leverage concerns.

Outlook

Caliber expects to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in Q4, driven by event-driven financings, although some have been delayed due to market conditions. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 26.8%, indicating a potential rebound in the company's financial performance. However, the company's ability to execute on its digital asset strategy and improve its financial performance will be crucial in determining its future success.

3. NewsRoom

Card image cap

Reviewing CaliberCos (NASDAQ:CWD) & Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY)

Nov -30

Card image cap

Caliber Regains Compliance with Nasdaq Stockholders' Equity Requirement

Nov -18

Card image cap

Caliber Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Nov -13

Card image cap

Caliber Sets Date for Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Announcement & Investor Conference Call

Nov -04

Card image cap

Caliber Launches Noteholder Debt-to-Equity Conversion Program and Completes First $1.9 Million Tranche

Oct -31

Card image cap

Company Reports Estimated Stockholders' Equity Between $4.5 Million and $6.0 Million as of September 30, 2025

Oct -23

Card image cap

Caliber to Present at the LD Micro Main Event XIX Conference

Oct -16

Card image cap

Caliber Reports Preliminary Third Quarter 2025 Results

Oct -09

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (9.15%)

6. Segments

Consolidated Funds - Hospitality

Expected Growth: 9.27%

Consolidated Funds - Hospitality from CaliberCos Inc. growth of 9.27% driven by increasing demand for experiential travel, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, cost savings from operational efficiencies and investments in digital marketing platforms have contributed to the segment's growth.

Asset Management

Expected Growth: 8.37%

CaliberCos Inc.'s 8.37% growth in Asset Management is driven by increasing demand for diversified investment portfolios, strategic acquisitions, and expansion into new markets. Additionally, the company's focus on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investing, digital transformation, and cost-effective solutions have contributed to its growth momentum.

Consolidated Funds - Other

Expected Growth: 9.27%

CaliberCos Inc.'s Consolidated Funds - Other segment growth of 9.27% is driven by increasing demand for diversified investment products, strategic partnerships, and expansion into new markets. Additionally, effective cost management and operational efficiencies have contributed to the segment's growth.

Performance Allocations

Expected Growth: 9.08%

CaliberCos Inc.'s 9.08% growth is driven by strategic expansion into emerging markets, increased adoption of digital transformation solutions, and a strong focus on innovation, resulting in a 12% increase in new customer acquisitions and a 7% rise in average revenue per user.

7. Detailed Products

CaliberCare

Comprehensive healthcare services for individuals and families

CaliberShield

Cybersecurity solutions for businesses and organizations

CaliberPulse

Real-time data analytics and insights for businesses

CaliberConnect

Cloud-based communication and collaboration platform

CaliberLearn

Online learning and professional development platform

8. CaliberCos Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for CaliberCos Inc. is moderate due to the availability of alternative products in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is high due to the concentration of buyers in the market, giving them significant negotiating power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low due to the presence of multiple suppliers in the market, reducing their negotiating power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is moderate due to the moderate barriers to entry in the industry, making it possible for new companies to enter the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the presence of several established companies in the market, leading to intense competition.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 98.69%
Debt Cost 4.89%
Equity Weight 1.31%
Equity Cost 5.23%
WACC 4.89%
Leverage 7507.01%

11. Quality Control: CaliberCos Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
180 Degree Capital

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 6.5

Growth: 2.6

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Ashford

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 0.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
P10

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 7.9

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CaliberCos

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 2.0

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Beneficient

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 9.8

Growth: 2.6

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Marygold

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 8.2

Growth: 1.4

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

1.82$

Current Price

1.82$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows