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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the Northern New Jersey and New York Metropolitan area, and South Florida market.The company offers personal and business checking, retirement, money market, and time and savings accounts.


It also provides consumer and commercial business loans on a secured and unsecured basis; revolving lines of credit; commercial mortgage loans; residential mortgages on primary and secondary residences; home equity loans; bridge loans; other personal purpose loans; and commercial construction and real estate loans.In addition, the company offers check cards, ATM cards, credit cards, wire transfers, access to automated teller services, Internet banking, treasury direct, automated clearing house origination, mobile banking by phone, safe deposit boxes, and remote deposit capture services.It operates through a network of eight banking offices in Bergen County, five banking offices in Union County, one banking office in Morris County, one office in Essex County, one office in Hudson County, one office in Monmouth County, one banking office in Manhattan in New York City, one office in Nassau County on Long Island, one in Astoria, and five branches in the Hudson Valley, as well as one financial center in West Palm Beach in Palm Beach County.


The company was formerly known as Center Bancorp, Inc.and changed its name to ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.in July 2014.


ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey.

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1.b. Last Insights on CNOB

The recent 3-month performance of ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. was negatively impacted by a decline in net interest income due to a decrease in interest rates and a rise in deposit costs. Additionally, the company's pending acquisition of First of Long Island Corporation, while expected to be accretive, may lead to some margin dilution. Furthermore, the bank's net interest margins and funding mix are still in the process of improving, which may not have a significant impact on the company's short-term performance.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. ConnectOne Bancorp's Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Driven by Merger and Margin Expansion

ConnectOne Bancorp reported a robust financial performance in Q3 2025, driven by the successful integration of its merger, expanding net interest margin, and organic balance sheet growth. The company's operating return on assets increased by over 30 basis points to 1.05%, and PPNR as a percentage of assets rose by approximately 50 basis points to 1.61%. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.7, beating estimates of $0.68. The net interest margin expanded to 3.11% from 3.06% in the sequential quarter and 2.67% a year ago, driven by the merger and loan growth. Revenue growth is expected to continue, with analysts estimating a 29.5% increase in revenues for the next year.

Publication Date: Nov -30

📋 Highlights
  • Merger Integration Success:: Completed merger with seamless operations, driven by team collaboration and solid credit quality (nonperforming assets at 0.28%).
  • Financial Performance Boost:: Operating ROA rose 30 bps to 1.05%, PPNR increased 50 bps to 1.61%, and NIM expanded to 3.11% (up from 2.67% YoY).
  • Deposit and Loan Growth:: Core deposits grew organically, $465M in new loan originations, with 85% fixed-rate loans and a 1.35% loan reserve ratio.
  • Noninterest Income Surge:: Pretax income gained >$10M from nonrecurring items ($6.6M tax credit, $3.5M pension gain), with 2026 guidance for SBA/BoeFly expansion.
  • Future Growth Strategy:: Targeting 1.61% PPNR, $1B fixed-rate repricing in 2026-2027, and capital allocation flexibility in 2026 (including share repurchases).

Balance Sheet Growth and Credit Quality

The company's balance sheet showed robust deposit growth, with core deposits continuing to grow across both established and newly acquired client relationships. Loan originations remained healthy, with over $465 million in new funding, and the loan pipeline is strong, with expectations of accelerating loan growth in the fourth quarter. Credit quality remained solid, with nonperforming assets at 0.28%, annualized net charge-offs below 0.20%, and 30-day delinquencies at 0.08% of total loans.

Noninterest Income and Capital Allocation

The company reported two nonrecurring items that boosted pretax income by more than $10 million, including a $6.6 million employee retention tax credit and a $3.5 million pension curtailment gain. Management expects noninterest income to grow, driven by gains on sales as they continue to build out SBA, BoeFly, and residential mortgage. The company's capital and tangible book value grew meaningfully, and management is well-positioned to make determinations on capital allocation in 2026, including opportunistic share repurchases.

Valuation and Outlook

Using the Price-to-Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) ratio, which is a relevant metric for banks, we can assess the company's valuation. The P/B Ratio is 0.63, indicating that the company may be undervalued. The Dividend Yield is 2.85%, providing a relatively stable source of return. With a strong outlook for loan growth and expanding net interest margin, ConnectOne Bancorp is well-positioned for continued success. Management's focus on building its SBA platform and driving opportunities from its BoeFly business is expected to continue to expand its noninterest income, driving long-term growth.

3. NewsRoom

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. $CNOB Shares Bought by Geode Capital Management LLC

Nov -29

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ConnectOne: M&A Benefits Clear In A Solid Q3 (Rating Upgrade)

Oct -30

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Oct -30

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results

Oct -30

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. to Host 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call on October 30, 2025

Oct -16

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. to Host 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call on October 30, 2025

Oct -16

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Should You Buy ConnectOne Bancorp (CNOB) After Golden Cross?

Aug -28

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ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. (CNOB) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Jul -29

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.00%)

6. Segments

Community Bank

Expected Growth: 6.0%

Community Bank's 6.0% growth is driven by strategic expansion into high-growth markets, increased commercial lending, and a focus on digital banking. Additionally, the bank's strong deposit growth, fueled by its customer-centric approach and competitive deposit rates, has enabled it to maintain a low-cost funding base and support loan growth.

7. Detailed Products

Commercial Lending

Provides financing solutions to businesses for various purposes such as expansion, acquisition, and working capital

Consumer Banking

Offers personal banking services including checking and savings accounts, credit cards, and personal loans

Mortgage Banking

Provides mortgage loans for residential and commercial properties

Treasury Management

Offers cash management services to businesses, including account management and payment processing

Wealth Management

Provides investment and wealth management services to individuals and businesses

Online Banking

Offers online banking services, including bill pay, fund transfer, and account management

8. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative financial institutions and digital banking platforms.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. is low due to the lack of concentration of buyers and the availability of multiple banking options.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. is medium due to the presence of multiple suppliers of financial services and technology.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. is high due to the low barriers to entry in the banking industry and the increasing trend of fintech startups.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. is high due to the presence of multiple competitors in the banking industry and the increasing competition for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 45.51%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 54.49%
Equity Cost 10.13%
WACC 7.32%
Leverage 83.52%

11. Quality Control: ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Bank of South Carolina

A-Score: 7.5/10

Value: 6.3

Growth: 3.9

Quality: 8.8

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Meridian

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 7.9

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
TriCo

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 8.2

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Provident Financial Services

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ESSA Bancorp

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 5.1

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ConnectOne

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 5.0

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

26.32$

Current Price

26.32$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows