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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of producing and nonproducing natural gas and crude oil royalty, net profit, and leasehold interests in the United States.Its royalty properties consist of producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, and overriding royalty interests located in 582 counties and parishes in 26 states; and net profits interests represent net profits overriding royalty interests in various properties owned by the operating partnership.Dorchester Minerals Management LP serves as the general partner of Dorchester Minerals, L.P. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

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1.b. Last Insights on DMLP

Dorchester Minerals, L.P.'s recent performance was negatively driven by a 26% decline in quarterly distribution from Q3 2024 to Q4 2024, mainly due to lower sales volumes. The Q4 2024 distribution of $0.74 per unit was below expectations, and the company's sales volumes may not sustain the large increase seen in Q3 2024, where oil sales volumes rose 52% compared to Q2 2024. With the current oil and gas prices, the company's quarterly distribution may average around $0.80 per unit, but this is slightly lower than the outlier Q3 2024 distribution.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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Dorchester Minerals (NASDAQ:DMLP) Sets New 12-Month Low – Here’s Why

Nov -30

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Dorchester Minerals (NASDAQ:DMLP) Reaches New 1-Year Low – Should You Sell?

Nov -23

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Dorchester Minerals: Double-Digit Dividend Yield, Zero Debt, And Big Upside Potential

Nov -13

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Dorchester Minerals, L.P. Announces the Passing of C.W.

Nov -04

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Dorchester Minerals: A Strong Rebound In Oil Sales Volumes Is Likely

Oct -27

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Dorchester Minerals, L.P. Announces Its Third Quarter Distribution

Oct -23

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Dorchester Minerals: Very High-Yield Oil Royalty With Zero Debt

Oct -11

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Dorchester Minerals: Market Variables Are Still Soft, But Growth Prospects Are Solid

Sep -12

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.50%)

6. Segments

Royalties

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Increasing global energy demand, advancements in extraction technologies, and rising oil and gas prices drive growth in royalties from Dorchester Minerals, L.P. The partnership's diverse portfolio of properties and strategic partnerships also contribute to its growth.

Profits Interests

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Increasing demand for oil and gas, coupled with rising energy prices, drives growth in profits interests from Dorchester Minerals, L.P. Additionally, the partnership's diversified portfolio of oil and gas assets and strategic acquisitions contribute to its growth prospects.

Lease Bonus

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Increasing demand for oil and gas, coupled with rising energy prices, drives growth in the mineral leasing market. Dorchester Minerals' Lease Bonus offers landowners upfront capital, incentivizing them to lease their mineral rights, thereby fueling market expansion.

Other

Expected Growth: 4.5%

Dorchester Minerals, L.P.'s non-operating income, primarily consisting of interest income and other miscellaneous income, is expected to grow driven by increasing interest rates, diversification of investments, and a stable economic environment.

7. Detailed Products

Royalty Interests

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. acquires and manages royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties, providing a steady stream of revenue without the burden of operational costs.

Net Profits Interests

The company acquires and manages net profits interests in oil and natural gas properties, providing a share of the profits from production.

Working Interests

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. participates in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties, providing a potential for higher returns.

Mineral Interests

The company acquires and manages mineral interests in oil and natural gas properties, providing a potential for long-term appreciation in value.

Non-Operated Working Interests

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. participates in the development and production of oil and natural gas properties, without operational responsibilities.

8. Dorchester Minerals, L.P.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is medium due to the availability of alternative investment options in the energy sector.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is low due to the company's diversified customer base and lack of dependence on a single customer.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is medium due to the company's reliance on a few key suppliers for drilling and extraction services.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is high due to the relatively low barriers to entry in the oil and gas industry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Dorchester Minerals, L.P. is high due to the highly competitive nature of the oil and gas industry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 0.70%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 99.30%
Equity Cost 9.33%
WACC 9.30%
Leverage 0.71%

11. Quality Control: Dorchester Minerals, L.P. passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Dorchester Minerals

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 9.2

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MorningStar Partners

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 5.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SandRidge Energy

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 7.4

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 7.9

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
VAALCO Energy

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 8.1

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
PrimeEnergy Resources

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 6.3

Growth: 8.9

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Berry

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

22.99$

Current Price

22.99$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows