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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Intuitive Machines, Inc.manufactures and supplies space products and services.It offers space products and services to support sustained robotic and human exploration to the moon, mars, and beyond.


It offers its products and services through business units: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure.The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Houston, Texas.

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1.b. Last Insights on LUNR

Intuitive Machines' recent performance was negatively impacted by execution missteps, mission delays, and cost overruns. The company's Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted these challenges, with disappointing revenues and negative margins. Despite a strong cash position, the company's operational execution has been lacking. A $250 million convertible senior notes offering, which was upsized from $175 million, also raised concerns about potential dilution. However, a recent upgrade from Deutsche Bank to Buy cites an attractive risk-reward outlook. The company's acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems for $800 million aims to expand its space business.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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Ensign Peak Advisors Inc Makes New $373,000 Investment in Intuitive Machines, Inc. $LUNR

Dec -01

Source: defenseworld.net

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Intuitive Machines (NASDAQ:LUNR) & Conrad Industries (OTCMKTS:CNRD) Head-To-Head Review

Dec -01

Source: defenseworld.net

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RKLB vs. LUNR: Which Space Player Shows Bigger Potential in 2025?

Nov -27

Source: zacks.com

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AXQ Capital LP Acquires Shares of 28,875 Intuitive Machines, Inc. $LUNR

Nov -25

Source: defenseworld.net

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Why Intuitive Machines Is Taking Off While Broader Market Sinks

Nov -19

Source: marketbeat.com

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RTX (NYSE:RTX) versus Intuitive Machines (NASDAQ:LUNR) Financial Contrast

Nov -18

Source: defenseworld.net

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Intuitive Machines Is (Almost) a Billion-Dollar Space Business

Nov -15

Source: fool.com

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Could Buying Intuitive Machines Stock Today Set You Up for Life?

Nov -15

Source: fool.com

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (11.87%)

6. Segments

Fixed Price

Expected Growth: 11.47%

Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s Fixed Price growth of 11.47% is driven by increasing demand for lunar landing services, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The company's innovative lunar access technology and cost-effective solutions also contribute to its growth. Additionally, government contracts and investments in space exploration further boost the company's revenue.

Cost Reimbursable

Expected Growth: 12.83%

Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s 12.83% growth in Cost Reimbursable segment is driven by increasing demand for lunar landing services, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on technology advancements, efficient cost management, and strong customer relationships have contributed to this growth.

Time and Materials

Expected Growth: 13.35%

Time and Materials from Intuitive Machines, Inc. growth of 13.35% driven by increasing demand for space technology and exploration, government contracts, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on lunar access and space-based services, as well as its innovative technology, contribute to its rapid expansion.

7. Detailed Products

Lunar Lander

A spacecraft designed to transport payloads to the lunar surface, providing a reliable and efficient way to access the Moon.

Nova-C Lunar Lander

A commercial lunar lander capable of carrying payloads of up to 100 kg to the lunar surface, with a focus on precision landing and sample return.

Lunar Roving Vehicle

A robotic rover designed to navigate the lunar surface, conducting scientific experiments, and transmitting data back to Earth.

Lunar Gateway Services

A suite of services providing access to the lunar surface, including payload integration, launch, and landing, as well as data transmission and analysis.

Lunar Data Analytics

A platform providing data analysis, visualization, and insights for lunar missions, enabling informed decision-making and optimized operations.

8. Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Intuitive Machines, Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative space technology companies, but the company's unique lunar landing technology provides a competitive advantage.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low for Intuitive Machines, Inc. due to the company's specialized lunar landing technology and limited competition in the space industry.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is medium for Intuitive Machines, Inc. due to the company's reliance on specialized suppliers for its lunar landing technology, but the company's strong financial position provides negotiating power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is high for Intuitive Machines, Inc. due to the growing interest in space technology and the potential for new companies to enter the market with innovative technologies.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is medium for Intuitive Machines, Inc. due to the presence of established companies in the space industry, but the company's unique technology and strong financial position provide a competitive advantage.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight -22.69%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 122.69%
Equity Cost 5.63%
WACC 6.01%
Leverage -18.49%

11. Quality Control: Intuitive Machines, Inc. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Planet Labs

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Mercury Systems

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 3.3

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Intuitive Machines

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 1.8

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Astronics

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 3.5

Growth: 4.0

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Sky Harbour

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Terran Orbital

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 9.6

Growth: 3.2

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 0.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

11.21$

Current Price

11.21$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows