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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Invitation Homes is the nation's premier single-family home leasing company, meeting changing lifestyle demands by providing access to high-quality, updated homes with valued features such as close proximity to jobs and access to good schools.The company's mission, "Together with you, we make a house a home," reflects its commitment to providing homes where individuals and families can thrive and high-touch service that continuously enhances residents' living experiences.

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1.b. Last Insights on INVH

Invitation Homes Inc.'s recent performance faces challenges due to increasing economic uncertainty. Despite the company's solid Q2 2025 results, with a 4.3% year-over-year increase in total revenues to $681 million, concerns arise from the options market, which suggests a potential spike in stock volatility. Additionally, while the company maintains strong FY2025 guidance, projecting stable growth in core revenues and NOI, rising interest rates and a strong slate of economic data may impact its performance. A $600 million Senior Notes offering due 2033 may also influence investor sentiment.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Invitation Homes' Q3 2025 Earnings: A Resilient Platform Drives Growth

Invitation Homes reported a strong third quarter of 2025, with same-store renewal rate growth of 4.5%, up 30 basis points from the previous year, and blended rent growth of 3%. The company's same-store core revenue growth was 2.3%, while same-store NOI growth was 1.1%. The actual EPS came out at $0.22, which was lower than the estimated $0.47. The company's available liquidity stood at $1.9 billion, and its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio was 5.2x. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 3.4%.

Publication Date: Nov -02

📋 Highlights
  • Strong Renewal Growth & Resident Retention:: 4.5% same-store renewal rate growth (Y/Y +30 bps) with average resident tenure rising to 41 months
  • Steady Revenue & Operational Growth:: Blended rent growth of 3%, same-store core revenue growth of 2.3%, and same-store NOI growth of 1.1%
  • Liquidity & Capital Strength:: $1.9B in available liquidity and net debt/EBITDA of 5.2x, supported by $600M bond offering and $500M share repurchase program
  • Guidance Upside:: Raised 2025 core FFO to $1.92/share and AFFO to $1.62/share, with same-store NOI growth target increased to 2.25%
  • Strategic Acquisitions:: Acquired 2,493 homes (70% via forward purchase, 30% at 20%+ discounts to market value) with cap rates of 6% for new investments

Financial Performance

The company's financial performance was driven by its resilient platform and steady demand for single-family rentals. The average resident tenure increased to 41 months, indicating a stable customer base. Invitation Homes completed a $600 million bond offering in August and announced a share repurchase program of up to $500 million, demonstrating its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Growth Strategy

Invitation Homes outlined its growth strategy through four channels: homebuilder partnerships, homebuilder month-end inventory, construction lending, and third-party management. The company's capital allocation framework prioritizes funding organic growth, investing in long-term total returns, and maintaining a strong balance sheet. With a stable portfolio and healthy demographics, Invitation Homes remains confident in the durability of demand for well-located single-family rentals.

Valuation and Outlook

With a P/E Ratio of 29.43 and an EV/EBITDA of 9.16, the market seems to be pricing in a certain level of growth for Invitation Homes. The company's Dividend Yield stands at 4.12%, making it an attractive option for income-seeking investors. As the company looks to drive shareholder value through strategic acquisitions and share buybacks, its ROIC of 145.81% indicates a strong ability to generate returns on invested capital.

Operational Highlights

The company acquired 2,493 homes during the quarter, with 70% coming from forward purchase deliveries and 30% from opportunistic one-off purchases from homebuilders at discounted prices. Invitation Homes offered targeted specials in October and November to boost traffic and generate leasing momentum, which have been successful. The loss to lease is low to mid-single digits, and turnover is expected to return to a long-term average of around 25%.

3. NewsRoom

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Buy The Dip: 2 Blue-Chip Dividend Growth Stocks Getting Way Too Cheap

Dec -03

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Franklin Resources Inc. Lowers Position in Invitation Home $INVH

Dec -02

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Invitation Homes Inc. (INVH) Analyst/Investor Day Transcript

Nov -21

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Trump's 50-Year Mortgage Idea Could Be A Big Gift To REITs

Nov -20

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Candriam S.C.A. Has $1 Million Stock Holdings in Invitation Home $INVH

Nov -18

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9,061 Shares in Invitation Home $INVH Purchased by Campbell & CO Investment Adviser LLC

Nov -18

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Invitation Homes to Host Investor & Analyst Day

Nov -11

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Analyzing Equity Lifestyle Properties (NYSE:ELS) and Invitation Home (NYSE:INVH)

Nov -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.00%)

6. Segments

Single-family Homes

Expected Growth: 6.0%

Invitation Homes Inc.'s single-family home segment growth of 6.0% is driven by increasing demand for rental properties, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, who prefer flexibility and affordability over homeownership. Additionally, the company's strategic acquisitions, efficient property management, and focus on high-growth markets contribute to its growth momentum.

7. Detailed Products

Single-Family Rental Homes

Invitation Homes offers a wide range of single-family rental homes, providing residents with a comfortable and convenient living experience.

Lease-to-Own Options

Invitation Homes provides lease-to-own options, allowing residents to rent a home with the option to purchase in the future.

Property Management Services

Invitation Homes offers property management services, including maintenance, repairs, and customer support, to ensure a seamless living experience.

Home Renovation and Rehabilitation

Invitation Homes provides home renovation and rehabilitation services, restoring homes to a high standard of quality and safety.

Resident Services

Invitation Homes offers a range of resident services, including online rent payment, maintenance requests, and community events.

8. Invitation Homes Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes is low for Invitation Homes Inc. as the company operates in a niche market of single-family home rentals, making it difficult for substitutes to emerge.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is medium as Invitation Homes Inc. operates in a competitive market, but the company's scale and brand recognition help to mitigate this power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low as Invitation Homes Inc. is a large company with significant purchasing power, allowing it to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is high as the single-family home rental market is attractive and has low barriers to entry, making it vulnerable to new competitors.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is medium as Invitation Homes Inc. operates in a competitive market, but the company's scale and brand recognition help to mitigate the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 47.51%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 52.49%
Equity Cost 8.66%
WACC 6.42%
Leverage 90.50%

11. Quality Control: Invitation Homes Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Invitation Homes

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Essex Property Trust

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 3.3

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
American Homes

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 2.9

Growth: 6.2

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Mid-America Apartment Communities

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 3.2

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Camden Property

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 2.1

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Apartment Income REIT

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

27.27$

Current Price

27.27$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows