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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Leonardo DRS, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides defense products and technologies in the land, air, sea, space, cyber and security, and commercial domains for military applications.It operates in two segments, Advanced Sensing and Computing, and Integrated Mission Systems.The company offers advanced sensor technologies, including infrared systems and sensors for threat detection and situational awareness; uncooled infrared systems and brownout solutions; airborne, ground vehicle mounted, and dismounted soldier electronic warfare (EW) systems; and EW software and training systems, and intelligence solutions.


It also provides computing systems for ground vehicles, ships, and submarines; network and data distribution applications; sensor systems; and networked computing infrastructure on military platform.In addition, the company offers force protection systems, such as solutions for counter-unmanned aerial systems, short-range air defense systems, and active protection systems; and power control, distribution, conversion, and propulsion systems, as well as hybrid electric drive propulsion systems, energy storage, gas turbine packages, nuclear instrumentation and controls, and thermal management and refrigeration equipment.It serves the U.S. military, aerospace and defense prime contractors, government intelligence agencies, and international military customers.


The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.

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1.b. Last Insights on DRS

Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s recent performance faced challenges despite strong quarterly earnings. The company reported Q3 earnings of $0.29 per share, beating estimates, but its growth prospects are impacted by rising costs. A significant partnership with Hofmann Engineering Pty. Ltd. to advance global maritime defense projects may drive future growth. With a solid backlog and organic revenue growth, the company is on track to deliver double-digit revenue growth in 2025. However, increasing competition and costs may affect its performance. (Source: company reports, earnings calls)

1.c. Company Highlights

2. DRS Technologies' Q3 Earnings: A Strong Performance

DRS Technologies reported a robust financial performance in Q3, with revenue growing 18% year-over-year to $960 million, driven by strong demand for its counter UAS, advanced infrared sensing, naval network computing, and electric power and propulsion technologies. Adjusted EBITDA was up 17%, although margin slightly lagged behind prior year levels due to increased investment in internal research and development. Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 21% to $0.29, beating estimates of $0.28.

Publication Date: Nov -02

📋 Highlights
  • Record Total Backlog:: Quarterly bookings of $1.3 billion lifted total backlog to $8.9 billion, up 8% YoY and 20% in funded backlog growth.
  • Revenue and EPS Growth:: Revenue reached $960 million (+18% YoY), with adjusted diluted EPS rising 21% and full-year revenue guidance raised to 10–11% growth.
  • EBITDA and Free Cash Flow:: Adjusted EBITDA grew 17%, though margins lagged due to R&D investments; free cash flow surpassed prior-year levels significantly.
  • Counter-UAS Demand:: $250 million in counter-UAS/SRAD contracts secured, with 18–20% of revenue tied to C-UAS programs, reflecting high demand across U.S. and international markets.
  • Germanium Supply Strategy:: Stabilized pricing for 2025, buffer stock, recycling, and partnerships outside China to address supply risks impacting ASC margins in 2026.

Bookings and Backlog

The company secured $1.3 billion of bookings in the quarter, resulting in a 1.4x book-to-bill ratio, and a record total backlog of $8.9 billion, up 8% year-over-year. Funded backlog also saw remarkable year-over-year growth of 20% in the quarter. According to Michael Dippold, the increase in bookings was driven by demand for counter UAS and short-range air defense programs.

Guidance and Outlook

DRS Technologies increased its full-year revenue growth expectations to 10% to 11%. The company expects Q4 to reflect comparable patterns as last year, with a step down in growth from the first 9 months of the year. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to remain between $437 million and $453 million, with adjusted diluted EPS between $1.07 and $1.12 a share.

Valuation

With a P/E Ratio of 36.79 and an EV/EBITDA of 28.48, the market appears to be pricing in significant growth expectations. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 6.8%. The company's ROE of 10.22% and ROIC of 8.8% indicate a relatively healthy profitability profile. The dividend yield of 0.74% and free cash flow yield of 2.72% provide some income support.

Investment Highlights

The company's investment in Hoverfly and its focus on counter UAS and unmanned surface vessels are expected to drive growth. DRS Technologies is also exploring alternative materials to replace germanium, such as glass-based solutions. With a strong backlog and increasing demand for its technologies, the company is well-positioned for future growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Axon Vision Announce Strategic Cooperation Agreement with Leonardo DRS to Deliver AI-Enhanced Counter-UAS Solutions for U.S. Market

Dec -03

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Leonardo DRS: 22% Stock Price Drop Supports Strong Buy Rating (Upgrade)

Nov -21

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Connor Clark & Lunn Investment Management Ltd. Has $1.73 Million Position in Leonardo DRS, Inc. $DRS

Nov -17

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Leonardo DRS and Chaiseri Defense Strengthen Partnership with New Battle Management System Contract to Support Royal Thai Army

Nov -13

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Teacher Retirement System of Texas Cuts Stock Holdings in Leonardo DRS, Inc. $DRS

Nov -06

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Spire Wealth Management Purchases Shares of 2,000 Leonardo DRS, Inc. $DRS

Nov -06

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Leonardo DRS Signs Agreement with Australian Heavy Engineering Company with Intent to Advance Global Maritime Defense Projects

Nov -04

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State of New Jersey Common Pension Fund D Purchases New Position in Leonardo DRS, Inc. $DRS

Oct -30

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.80%)

6. Segments

Advanced Sensing and Computing

Expected Growth: 6.5%

Advanced Sensing and Computing from Leonardo DRS, Inc. is driven by increasing demand for autonomous systems, cyber security, and advanced sensing technologies in the defense and commercial markets, coupled with the company's investments in R&D, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships, resulting in a growth rate of 6.5%.

Integrated Mission Systems

Expected Growth: 7.5%

Leonardo DRS's Integrated Mission Systems growth is driven by increasing demand for advanced military communications, electronic warfare, and network-centric warfare capabilities. The company's expertise in systems integration, cybersecurity, and C4ISR (Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance) solutions also contributes to its growth. Additionally, the rising need for modernization and upgrades of existing military systems fuels the segment's 7.5% growth.

Corporate and Eliminations

Expected Growth: 0.0%

For Corporate and Eliminations from Leonardo DRS, Inc., the 0.0% growth is attributed to stagnant top-line performance, lack of significant acquisitions, and absence of cost savings initiatives. Additionally, the segment's limited scalability and lack of diversification hinder its growth potential.

7. Detailed Products

Integrated Sensing Systems

Advanced sensing systems for military and commercial applications, including radar, electronic warfare, and signals intelligence

Force Protection Systems

Advanced systems for force protection, including counter-IED, counter-UAS, and active protection systems

Network Computing and Cyber

Advanced network computing and cyber solutions for military and commercial applications, including cloud computing, cybersecurity, and data analytics

Electro-Optical/Infrared (EO/IR) Systems

Advanced EO/IR systems for military and commercial applications, including sensors, cameras, and targeting systems

Advanced Military Communications

Advanced communication systems for military applications, including satellite communications, tactical radios, and network infrastructure

Land Electronics

Advanced electronic systems for military and commercial applications, including vetronics, C4ISR, and electronic warfare

Naval Electronics

Advanced electronic systems for naval applications, including radar, electronic warfare, and communication systems

Airborne Electronics

Advanced electronic systems for airborne applications, including avionics, radar, and electronic warfare

8. Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Leonardo DRS, Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative defense contractors and technology providers.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is low due to the specialized nature of Leonardo DRS, Inc.'s products and services, which limits the ability of customers to negotiate prices.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is medium due to the presence of multiple suppliers for raw materials and components, but the specialized nature of some components limits the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the defense industry, including the need for significant capital investment and specialized expertise.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high due to the presence of several established competitors in the defense industry, leading to intense competition for contracts and market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 12.36%
Debt Cost 8.02%
Equity Weight 87.64%
Equity Cost 8.02%
WACC 8.02%
Leverage 14.11%

11. Quality Control: Leonardo DRS, Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Spirit AeroSystems

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 9.6

Growth: 1.1

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
BWXT

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 0.2

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Leonardo DRS

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 5.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Axon Enterprise

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 0.0

Growth: 9.6

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
AAR

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 3.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 5.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Kratos Defense

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 2.2

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

33.9$

Current Price

33.9$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows