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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Marpai, Inc., a technology-driven healthcare payer, focuses on providing services to the self-insured employer market in the United States and Israel.The company offers ancillary services, such as care management, case management, actuarial services, health savings account administration, and cost containment services.It also develops artificial intelligence and healthcare technology that enables the analysis of data to predict and prevent events related to diagnostic errors, hospital visits, and administrative issues.


The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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1.b. Last Insights on MRAI

Marpai, Inc.'s recent performance was driven by a series of positive developments. The company's Q1 2025 earnings release showcased a turnaround momentum, with financial results exceeding expectations. Additionally, Marpai's decision to host a webcast on May 15, 2025, to discuss its first-quarter financial results demonstrates transparency and commitment to shareholder engagement. Furthermore, the appointment of Dallas Scrip as Chief Operating Officer and President of MarpaiRx on May 13, 2025, bolsters the company's leadership team, positioning it for high-growth strategy execution.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Marpari's Q3 2025 Earnings: A Step Closer to Sustainable Growth

Marpari's financial performance in Q3 2025 was marked by a significant decline in net revenues, which came in at $4 million, a 42% decrease from Q3 2024. Operating expenses, however, showed a 24% improvement, resulting in an operating loss of $3.5 million, a 2% improvement from the same period last year. The net loss was $3 million, with basic and diluted loss per share at $0.20, missing analyst estimates of -$0.09. The company's actual EPS was -$0.20, indicating a challenging quarter.

Publication Date: Nov -23

📋 Highlights
  • Market Growth Potential:: TPA industry total addressable market exceeds $150B, expected to grow 123% by 2031, driven by healthcare inflation and self-funded plan adoption
  • Revenue Decline with Expense Efficiency:: Q3 2025 net revenues fell 42% to $4M, while operating expenses dropped 24% to $3.9M, narrowing operating loss to $3.5M (2% improvement)
  • Cash Position Strengthened:: Unrestricted cash rose to $450K, supported by a $3.9M PIPE investment, providing liquidity for turnaround execution
  • Operational Streamlining:: Claims processing consolidation into a single system aims to unlock cost savings, complementing high double-digit new client deals booked for 2026
  • Leadership Confidence:: CEO invested $1.7M in Q3, signaling commitment to hypergrowth strategy, with Empara client tool rollout complete in Q4 2025

Operational Progress Amidst Financial Challenges

Despite the decline in revenues, Marpai made significant progress in reducing its cash burn, with $450,000 in unrestricted cash on hand at the end of Q3. The recent $3.9 million private investment in public equity (PIPE) transaction is expected to provide the necessary financial strength to fund the final stages of its turnaround plan. CEO Damien Lamendola's investment of $1.7 million in Q3 reflects his confidence in the company's hypergrowth strategy and potential for sustainable profitability.

Growth Prospects and Valuation

Analysts estimate Marpai's revenues to grow by 98.2% next year, indicating a strong potential for recovery. With a current P/S Ratio of 0.58, the market seems to be pricing in a significant improvement in revenues. Additionally, the EV/EBITDA ratio stands at -1.25, suggesting that the market expects the company to return to profitability. The company's ROE stands at 41.26%, indicating a strong potential for returns on equity. As Marpai continues to drive new efficiencies and roll out its Empara client experience tool, the stage is set for a pivot from recovery to an aggressive sustainable growth phase.

Key Takeaways and Future Outlook

Marpai's Q3 2025 earnings report highlights the company's ongoing efforts to reduce costs and improve operational efficiency. With a strong total addressable market in the TPA industry and a growing demand for self-funded plans, Marpai is well-positioned to capitalize on the trend. As the company completes its rollout of the Empara client experience tool and drives new efficiencies, investors can expect a more sustainable growth trajectory in the future.

3. NewsRoom

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MARPAI ANNOUNCES 2026 MOMENTUM AND KEY PARTNERSHIP EXPANSION

Dec -01

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Marpai, Inc. (MRAI) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -13

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MARPAI REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2025 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Nov -12

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MARPAI TO HOST WEBCAST ON NOVEMBER 13, 2025 TO DISCUSS THIRD QUARTER 2025 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Nov -06

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MARPAI RECOGNIZED AS 2025 TOP THIRD PARTY ADMINISTRATOR

Oct -14

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MARPAI, INC. RECEIVES ADDITIONAL $200,000 INVESTMENT FROM DAMIEN LAMENDOLA'S HILLCOUR INVESTMENT FUND

Oct -06

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Marpai, Inc. (MRAI) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Aug -14

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MARPAI REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2025 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Aug -13

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.47%)

6. Segments

Third Party Administrator Services

Expected Growth: 10.47%

Marpai, Inc.'s 10.47% growth in Third Party Administrator Services is driven by increasing demand for cost-effective healthcare management, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's innovative technology and data analytics capabilities have improved operational efficiency, enabling it to attract and retain clients.

Captive Insurance

Expected Growth: 11.47%

Marpai's Captive Insurance growth of 11.47% is driven by increasing adoption of alternative risk management strategies, expansion into new industries, and rising demand for customized insurance solutions. Additionally, Marpai's data-driven approach and AI-powered underwriting capabilities are attracting mid-sized businesses seeking more efficient and cost-effective risk management solutions.

7. Detailed Products

Marpai Health

A healthcare management platform that provides a comprehensive suite of tools for healthcare providers to manage patient care, claims, and billing.

Marpai Insurance

A health insurance platform that offers customizable insurance products and risk management solutions for employers and individuals.

Marpai Analytics

A data analytics platform that provides insights and predictive modeling for healthcare providers, payers, and employers.

Marpai Care

A care management platform that provides personalized care coordination and navigation services for patients with complex needs.

8. Marpai, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Marpai, Inc. operates in a niche market with limited substitutes, but the threat of substitutes is still present due to the evolving nature of the healthcare industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Marpai, Inc.'s customers are primarily self-insured employers and health plans, which have limited bargaining power due to the company's specialized services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Marpai, Inc. relies on a network of healthcare providers and suppliers, which have some bargaining power due to the company's dependence on their services.

Threat Of New Entrants

The healthcare industry is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily disrupt the market, posing a significant threat to Marpai, Inc.'s market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The healthcare industry is highly competitive, and Marpai, Inc. faces intense rivalry from established players and new entrants, which can lead to pricing pressures and market share erosion.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight -45.40%
Debt Cost 30.70%
Equity Weight 145.40%
Equity Cost 30.70%
WACC 30.70%
Leverage -31.23%

11. Quality Control: Marpai, Inc. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Marpai

A-Score: 4.7/10

Value: 9.4

Growth: 3.9

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Alignment Healthcare

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 3.4

Growth: 6.8

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Xoma

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 2.0

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
AirSculpt Technologies

A-Score: 3.7/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 2.5

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Altimmune

A-Score: 3.3/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Anika Therapeutics

A-Score: 2.8/10

Value: 8.8

Growth: 1.3

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

0.8$

Current Price

0.8$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows