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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Monro, Inc.provides automotive undercar repair, and tire sales and services in the United States.It offers replacement tires and tire related services; routine maintenance services on passenger cars, light trucks, and vans; products and services for brakes; mufflers and exhaust systems; and steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment.


The company also provides automotive undercar repair services, including tire replacement sales, and tire related service.The company operates its stores under the brand names of Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towery's Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, Tire Barn Warehouse, and Free Service Tire & Auto Centers.As of March 26, 2022, it operated 1,304 company-operated stores, 76 Car-X franchised locations, seven wholesale locations, and three retread facilities in 32 states.


The company was formerly known as Monro Muffler Brake, Inc.and changed its name to Monro, Inc.in August 2017.


Monro, Inc.was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.

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1.b. Last Insights on MNRO

Monro, Inc.'s recent performance was negatively impacted by a decline in sales, with a 3.7% year-over-year decrease in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. Comparable store sales also declined 0.8% during the same period. The company's earnings per share of $0.19 missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.28, further exacerbating the negative sentiment.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Monro's Fiscal Q3 Earnings Show Progress in Performance Improvement Plan

Monro, Inc.'s fiscal third-quarter results show sales of $293.4 million, a 4% decrease primarily driven by the closure of 145 underperforming stores. Comparable store sales increased by 1.2%, gross margin expanded by 60 basis points to 34.9%, and operating income was $18.6 million, or 6.3% of sales. Adjusted operating income was $10.3 million, or 3.5% of sales. Net income came in at $11.1 million, with diluted earnings per share of $0.35, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.16, beating analyst estimates of $0.12.

Publication Date: Feb -09

📋 Highlights
  • Comparable Store Sales Recovery:: Achieved 1.2% growth in Q3, marking the first positive comp on a two-year stack in over two years, with continued momentum into fiscal January (up 1%).
  • Sales Decline Due to Store Closures:: Total sales fell 4% to $293.4M, primarily from the closure of 145 underperforming stores.
  • Gross Margin Expansion:: Improved 60 basis points to 34.9%, driven by lower material (80 bps) and occupancy costs (30 bps), offset by higher labor costs (50 bps).
  • Strong Cash Flow Position:: Generated $48M in operating cash flow YTD, with $425M credit facility availability and net bank debt of just $40M.
  • Winter Storm Impact:: Expected to boost sales in coming months as customers seek vehicle repairs, supporting Q4 gross margin above prior year targets.

Cash Flow and Financial Position

The company generated $48 million of cash from operations during the first nine months of fiscal 2026 and maintained a strong financial position, with net bank debt of $40 million, availability under its credit facility of approximately $425 million, and cash and equivalents of approximately $5 million.

Guidance and Outlook

For the full year of fiscal 2026, Monro expects to deliver year-over-year comparable store sales growth, with gross margin consistent with fiscal 2025. The company continues to expect to generate sufficient cash flow to maintain a strong financial position and fund its capital allocation priorities, including its dividend. Capital expenditures are expected to be between $25 million and $35 million.

Operational Highlights

The company reported continued growth in comp store sales and gross margin dollars, driven by digital marketing efforts, CRM, and call center support. The collective impact of these efforts is expected to drive incremental comp store sales. On gross margin, the company saw a 60 basis points improvement year-over-year, reaching 34.9%, driven by lower material costs and occupancy costs.

Valuation Metrics

With a P/E Ratio of -50.35, P/B Ratio of 1.04, and P/S Ratio of 0.54, the market appears to be pricing in some level of distress. However, the Dividend Yield is a healthy 5.33%, and the Free Cash Flow Yield is 7.87%, suggesting that the stock may be attractive to income investors. The EV/EBITDA ratio is 17.15, indicating that the company's enterprise value is relatively high compared to its EBITDA.

Long-term Prospects

Long-term, the company expects comp store sales growth, solid gross margin, and operating leverage benefits as marketing and store improvement efforts continue to take hold. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 1.6%, indicating a positive outlook for the company's top-line growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Monro Muffler Brake (NASDAQ:MNRO) Shares Cross Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average – Here’s Why

Feb -21

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Analysts Set Monro Muffler Brake, Inc. (NASDAQ:MNRO) PT at $23.25

Feb -14

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Monro, Inc. Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

Feb -13

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Here Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: BP Plc., Cloudflare, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Mattel, Noble Corp., Qualcomm, Tyler Technologies, XPO, and More

Feb -11

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Monro Muffler Brake Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Jan -30

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Monro, Inc. (MNRO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Jan -28

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Monro Muffler Brake (MNRO) Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates

Jan -28

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Monro, Inc. Announces Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results

Jan -28

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.82%)

6. Segments

Tires

Expected Growth: 4.83%

Monro, Inc.'s tire segment growth of 4.83% is driven by increasing demand for vehicle maintenance and repair services, expansion of company-owned stores, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, growing average ticket size, improved product offerings, and effective marketing strategies contribute to the segment's growth.

Maintenance

Expected Growth: 4.83%

Monro, Inc.'s 4.83% maintenance growth is driven by increasing vehicle age, rising average repair cost, and growing demand for routine maintenance services. Additionally, the company's expanded service offerings, strategic acquisitions, and effective cost management contribute to its growth momentum.

Brakes

Expected Growth: 4.83%

Monro's brake segment growth of 4.83% is driven by increasing vehicle miles traveled, rising average vehicle age, and growing demand for brake repairs. Additionally, Monro's expanded service offerings, strategic acquisitions, and effective marketing strategies contribute to the growth. Furthermore, the company's focus on providing high-quality products and services, along with its strong brand reputation, also support the segment's growth.

Steering

Expected Growth: 4.77%

Monro, Inc.'s 4.77% growth is driven by increasing demand for automotive repair services, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the company's focus on providing high-quality services, investing in technology, and building strong relationships with customers and suppliers contribute to its growth momentum.

Exhaust

Expected Growth: 4.65%

Monro, Inc.'s 4.65% growth is driven by increasing demand for vehicle maintenance and repair services, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the company's focus on providing a wide range of services, including tires, brakes, and oil changes, has contributed to its growth. Furthermore, Monro's strong brand recognition and customer loyalty have also played a significant role in driving sales.

Other

Expected Growth: 4.77%

Monro, Inc.'s 4.77% growth is driven by increasing demand for automotive repair services, expansion of company-owned stores, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the company's focus on providing a wide range of services, including routine maintenance and complex repairs, has contributed to its growth. Furthermore, Monro's efforts to enhance the customer experience through digital initiatives and loyalty programs have also supported its growth momentum.

7. Detailed Products

Tires

Monro, Inc. offers a wide range of tires from top brands, including Goodyear, Michelin, and BFGoodrich, catering to various vehicle types and driving conditions.

Batteries

Monro, Inc. provides a variety of batteries from trusted brands, including Interstate Batteries and AC Delco, designed for different vehicle types and applications.

Brakes

Monro, Inc. offers brake pads, rotors, and other brake components from reputable brands, ensuring safe and reliable braking performance.

Alignment and Suspension

Monro, Inc. provides alignment and suspension services, including wheel alignments, strut replacements, and shock absorber installations.

Oil Changes and Fluid Services

Monro, Inc. offers oil changes, fluid checks, and top-offs, using high-quality oils and fluids from trusted brands.

Inspections and Diagnostics

Monro, Inc. provides vehicle inspections and diagnostic services, identifying potential issues and recommending necessary repairs.

8. Monro, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Monro, Inc. is medium because while there are some alternatives to tire and automotive services, they are not highly attractive to customers.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Monro, Inc. is low because individual customers have limited negotiating power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Monro, Inc. is medium because while suppliers have some negotiating power, Monro's large scale of operations gives it some bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Monro, Inc. is low because of the high barriers to entry in the tire and automotive services industry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Monro, Inc. is high because of the competitive nature of the tire and automotive services industry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 21.48%
Debt Cost 5.18%
Equity Weight 78.52%
Equity Cost 9.64%
WACC 8.68%
Leverage 27.36%

11. Quality Control: Monro, Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Douglas Dynamics

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 4.8

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Standard Motor Products

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Strattec Security

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 8.3

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Dana

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 3.1

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Monro

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 2.4

Quality: 2.9

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Holley

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 6.5

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 2.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

22.79$

Current Price

22.79$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows