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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and internationally.It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services.The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods.


It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates.The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles.The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers.


This segment also offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and large commercial trucking companies, as well as independent owners/operators and other businesses; and truck inventory financing services to independent dealers.In addition, this segment offers loans and leases directly to customers for the acquisition of trucks and related equipment.The company also manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates.


PACCAR Inc was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.

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1.b. Last Insights on PCAR

PACCAR Inc.'s recent performance has been positively driven by several factors. The company's Q3 earnings matched estimates, with a quarterly earnings per share of $1.12. Additionally, Advisors Asset Management Inc. raised its stake in PACCAR by 27.3%, purchasing 19,560 shares. A tariff announcement also gave the stock a lift. Furthermore, PACCAR revised its capital expenditure and research and development forecasts downward, which could indicate cost-saving measures. These developments have likely contributed to increased investor confidence.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. PACCAR's Strong 2025 Earnings: A Bright Outlook for 2026

PACCAR reported annual revenues of $28.4 billion and adjusted net income of $2.64 billion, the fourth highest profit year in company history. The company's earnings per share (EPS) came in at $1.06, in line with analyst estimates. The company's gross margin for truck parts and other was 12% in the fourth quarter, with an expected increase to 12.5%-13% in the first quarter of 2026 due to the Section 232 tariff, cost reductions, and local for local manufacturing benefits, as noted by Preston Feight, "the margin improvement from Q4 to Q1 is due to the Section 232 tariff going into effect, cost reductions, and the benefit of local for local manufacturing."

Publication Date: Feb -02

📋 Highlights
  • 2025 Annual Performance:: Achieved $28.4 billion revenues and $2.64 billion adjusted net income, marking the fourth-highest profit year in company history.
  • Parts & Financial Services Growth:: PACCAR Parts and Financial Services recorded revenue records, with Financial Services reporting 11% annual pretax income growth.
  • Class 8 Market Share:: Kenworth and Peterbilt captured 30% of the 233,000-unit US/Canada Class 8 truck market in 2025, with 2026 forecasts at 230,000–270,000 units.
  • European Market Advantages:: DAF secured 13.5% heavy-duty truck market share in Europe, leveraging aerodynamic design and winning the International Truck of the Year award for electric models.
  • Gross Margin Expansion:: Q4 truck parts gross margins hit 12%, with Q1 guidance at 12.5–13% driven by Section 232 tariffs, cost reductions, and localized production.

Segment Performance

PACCAR Parts achieved quarterly and annual revenue records, while PACCAR Financial Services earned record annual revenues with an 11% growth in pretax income. The company's independent Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF dealers continued to invest in their businesses, enhancing the industry-leading distribution network. Kenworth and Peterbilt delivered a market share of 30% in the US and Canadian Class 8 truck market, which was 233,000 units in 2025.

Market Outlook

The 2026 US and Canadian Class 8 truck market is forecast to be in a range of 230,000 to 270,000 vehicles, driven by economic growth, regulatory clarity, and improving freight conditions. PACCAR's European above 16-ton truck market was 298,000 units, where DAF trucks have a competitive advantage due to their innovative aerodynamic design. The company's deliveries are forecast to be at a comparable level in 2026, with a focus on accelerating growth for its customers, dealers, and PACCAR.

Valuation

With a P/E Ratio of 27.21 and an EV/EBITDA of 17.04, the market is pricing in a certain level of growth for PACCAR. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 9.0%. The company's ROE is 12.57%, and ROIC is 23.19%, indicating a strong return on equity and invested capital. The Dividend Yield is 2.21%, providing a relatively stable income stream for investors.

3. NewsRoom

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Principal Financial Group Inc. Lowers Stock Position in PACCAR Inc. $PCAR

Feb -02

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National Pension Service Grows Position in PACCAR Inc. $PCAR

Feb -01

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PACCAR Inc. $PCAR Shares Bought by Bank of New York Mellon Corp

Jan -30

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F or PCAR: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Jan -29

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PACCAR (NASDAQ:PCAR) Sets New 1-Year High Following Analyst Upgrade

Jan -29

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PACCAR Q4 Earnings Match Estimates, Revenues Decline Y/Y

Jan -28

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PACCAR Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

Jan -28

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PACCAR Inc (PCAR) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenues and Strategic Advancements Amid Market Challenges

Jan -27

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.02%)

6. Segments

Truck

Expected Growth: 4.0%

PACCAR's truck segment growth of 4.0 is driven by increasing demand for freight transportation, expansion of e-commerce, and replacement of aging fleets. The company's innovative products, such as the Kenworth and Peterbilt brands, and its strong financial position, enable it to capitalize on these trends and invest in new technologies, like electric and autonomous vehicles.

Parts

Expected Growth: 3.5%

PACCAR Inc's parts segment growth of 3.5% is driven by increased demand for aftermarket parts, expanding global truck population, and growing sales of high-quality, profitable parts. Additionally, the company's strong relationships with OEMs and its extensive distribution network contribute to its growth.

Financial Services

Expected Growth: 5.0%

PACCAR's Financial Services segment growth of 5.0% is driven by increased demand for financing of high-quality trucks and trailers, expanded insurance offerings, and strong portfolio performance. Additionally, the segment benefits from diversified revenue streams, including fees from parts and service operations, contributing to steady growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 2.0%

PACCAR Inc's growth is driven by strong demand for trucks, increased market share, and favorable pricing. The company's innovative products, expanded dealership network, and efficient manufacturing processes contribute to its 2.0% growth rate. Additionally, a recovering global economy and infrastructure investments support the company's positive outlook.

Intersegment

Expected Growth: 0.0%

Intersegment growth of 0.0 for PACCAR Inc suggests stable segment performance. Fundamental drivers include consistent demand for trucks and parts, efficient supply chain management, and potentially, a focus on maintaining market share rather than aggressive expansion. This stability may reflect a mature market with limited growth opportunities.

7. Detailed Products

Kenworth Trucks

Heavy-duty trucks designed for on-highway and vocational applications, offering a range of models with advanced technology and fuel efficiency features.

Peterbilt Trucks

Medium and heavy-duty trucks designed for on-highway and vocational applications, offering a range of models with advanced technology and fuel efficiency features.

DAF Trucks

Medium and heavy-duty trucks designed for on-highway and vocational applications, offering a range of models with advanced technology and fuel efficiency features.

Aftermarket Parts

A comprehensive range of parts and components for PACCAR's trucks, including engines, transmissions, and axles.

Financial Services

Financial products and services, including financing, leasing, and insurance, designed to support customers in purchasing and operating PACCAR's trucks.

Technology and Innovation

Advanced technologies, including autonomous driving, connected vehicle systems, and alternative fuel solutions, aimed at improving efficiency, safety, and sustainability.

8. PACCAR Inc's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

PACCAR Inc's products are highly specialized and have a strong brand reputation, making it difficult for customers to switch to substitutes. Additionally, the company's products are often customized to meet specific customer needs, which further reduces the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

PACCAR Inc's customers are primarily large transportation companies and governments, which can exert some bargaining power. However, the company's strong brand reputation and high-quality products limit the customers' ability to negotiate prices and terms.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

PACCAR Inc has a large and diverse supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers. Additionally, the company has a strong purchasing function and is able to negotiate favorable prices and terms with its suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The truck manufacturing industry has high barriers to entry, including high capital requirements, complex manufacturing processes, and stringent regulatory requirements. These barriers make it difficult for new entrants to compete with established companies like PACCAR Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The truck manufacturing industry is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. PACCAR Inc competes with companies like Daimler AG, Volvo Group, and Navistar International Corporation, which are all well-established and have strong brand reputations.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 47.59%
Debt Cost 4.30%
Equity Weight 52.41%
Equity Cost 9.05%
WACC 6.79%
Leverage 90.79%

11. Quality Control: PACCAR Inc passed 6 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
TransDigm Group

A-Score: 7.0/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 8.0

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
REV Group

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 3.8

Growth: 8.2

Quality: 6.3

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
PACCAR

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 4.1

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Paychex

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 2.1

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 9.0

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Caterpillar

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 6.9

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Deere

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 2.9

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

124.61$

Current Price

124.61$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows