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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Australia, and internationally.It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services.The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods.


It sells its trucks through a network of independent dealers under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates.The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles.The Financial Services segment conducts full-service leasing operations under the PacLease trade name, as well as provides finance and leasing products and services to customers and dealers.


This segment also offers equipment financing and administrative support services for its franchisees; retail loan and leasing services for small, medium, and large commercial trucking companies, as well as independent owners/operators and other businesses; and truck inventory financing services to independent dealers.In addition, this segment offers loans and leases directly to customers for the acquisition of trucks and related equipment.The company also manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates.


PACCAR Inc was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington.

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1.b. Last Insights on PCAR

PACCAR Inc.'s recent performance has been positively driven by several factors. The company's Q3 earnings matched estimates, with a quarterly earnings per share of $1.12. Additionally, Advisors Asset Management Inc. raised its stake in PACCAR by 27.3%, purchasing 19,560 shares. A tariff announcement also gave the stock a lift. Furthermore, PACCAR revised its capital expenditure and research and development forecasts downward, which could indicate cost-saving measures. These developments have likely contributed to increased investor confidence.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. PACCAR's Q3 2025 Earnings: Strong Performance Amidst Tariff Headwinds

PACCAR reported revenues of $6.7 billion and net income of $590 million in the third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $1.12, slightly below estimates of $1.15. The company's parts segment achieved record quarterly revenues of $1.72 billion, up 4% from the same period last year, with a pre-tax income of $410 million. Truck parts and other gross margins were 12.5% in the third quarter. The company's financial performance was impacted by tariffs, with a headwind of $75 million in Q3, peaking in October.

Publication Date: Oct -21

📋 Highlights
  • Strong Financial Performance: Reported Q3 2025 revenues of $6.7 billion and net income of $590 million, driven by robust demand and operational efficiency.
  • Parts Segment Record: Achieved $1.72 billion in parts revenue (up 4% YoY) with $410 million pre-tax income, highlighting market share strength.
  • Financial Services Growth: PACCAR Financial Services delivered $126 million pre-tax income, a 18% increase from 2024, reflecting improved lending demand.
  • Market Outlook: Forecasted U.S./Canadian Class 8 truck market of 230,000–245,000 units in 2025 and 230,000–270,000 units in 2026, with Europe at 275,000–295,000 vehicles in 2025.
  • Margin Guidance: Q3 truck parts gross margin at 12.5%, with 12% expected in Q4, supported by Section 232 tariff clarity and $750–775 million in 2025 capital investments for tech upgrades.

Segment Performance

PACCAR Financial Services also performed well, with a pre-tax income of $126 million, an 18% increase from the previous year. The company's truck delivery numbers were 31,900 in the third quarter, with expectations to deliver around 32,000 in the fourth quarter. The parts business was impacted by tariffs, with a mix shift in proprietary versus all-makes parts and regional impact.

Market Outlook

PACCAR estimates the US and Canadian Class 8 market to be in a range of 230,000 to 245,000 trucks this year and 230,000 to 270,000 next year. In Europe, the market is expected to be between 275,000 to 295,000 vehicles this year and 270,000 to 300,000 next year. The company expects a gradual lift in demand, accelerating as the year goes on, with a positive growth profile for 2026 driven by investments in distribution and AI.

Tariff Impact and Pricing

The recent Section 232 implementation is expected to bring benefits to PACCAR's customers and the company, with a potential cost advantage as a US manufacturer. The company has a 3.75% value on trucks to offset tariffs through 2030, giving it time to plan ahead. PACCAR's pricing in the truck business was down 1.3% in Q3, with costs up 4.6%, but expects favorability to start being achieved as it moves forward.

Valuation

With a P/E Ratio of 19.51 and an EV/EBITDA of 16.11, the market seems to have priced in a reasonable growth expectation. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 4.6%. The company's Dividend Yield is 4.0%, indicating a relatively attractive return for investors. The ROIC of 28.84% and ROE of 19.76% demonstrate PACCAR's ability to generate strong returns on capital and equity.

3. NewsRoom

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Paccar (PCAR) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Know

Dec -03

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Advisors Asset Management Inc. Purchases 19,560 Shares of PACCAR Inc. $PCAR

Nov -26

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American Century Mid Cap Value Fund Q3 2025 Contributors/Detractors And Notable Trades

Nov -20

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GM or PCAR: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?

Oct -30

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Analyzing PACCAR (NASDAQ:PCAR) and Volcon (NASDAQ:EMPD)

Oct -24

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PACCAR Q3 Earnings Match Expectations, Capex Outlook Revised

Oct -22

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PACCAR Inc (PCAR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Oct -21

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Paccar (PCAR) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Oct -21

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.02%)

6. Segments

Truck

Expected Growth: 4.0%

PACCAR's truck segment growth of 4.0 is driven by increasing demand for freight transportation, expansion of e-commerce, and replacement of aging fleets. The company's innovative products, such as the Kenworth and Peterbilt brands, and its strong financial position, enable it to capitalize on these trends and invest in new technologies, like electric and autonomous vehicles.

Parts

Expected Growth: 3.5%

PACCAR Inc's parts segment growth of 3.5% is driven by increased demand for aftermarket parts, expanding global truck population, and growing sales of high-quality, profitable parts. Additionally, the company's strong relationships with OEMs and its extensive distribution network contribute to its growth.

Financial Services

Expected Growth: 5.0%

PACCAR's Financial Services segment growth of 5.0% is driven by increased demand for financing of high-quality trucks and trailers, expanded insurance offerings, and strong portfolio performance. Additionally, the segment benefits from diversified revenue streams, including fees from parts and service operations, contributing to steady growth.

Other

Expected Growth: 2.0%

PACCAR Inc's growth is driven by strong demand for trucks, increased market share, and favorable pricing. The company's innovative products, expanded dealership network, and efficient manufacturing processes contribute to its 2.0% growth rate. Additionally, a recovering global economy and infrastructure investments support the company's positive outlook.

Intersegment

Expected Growth: 0.0%

Intersegment growth of 0.0 for PACCAR Inc suggests stable segment performance. Fundamental drivers include consistent demand for trucks and parts, efficient supply chain management, and potentially, a focus on maintaining market share rather than aggressive expansion. This stability may reflect a mature market with limited growth opportunities.

7. Detailed Products

Kenworth Trucks

Heavy-duty trucks designed for on-highway and vocational applications, offering a range of models with advanced technology and fuel efficiency features.

Peterbilt Trucks

Medium and heavy-duty trucks designed for on-highway and vocational applications, offering a range of models with advanced technology and fuel efficiency features.

DAF Trucks

Medium and heavy-duty trucks designed for on-highway and vocational applications, offering a range of models with advanced technology and fuel efficiency features.

Aftermarket Parts

A comprehensive range of parts and components for PACCAR's trucks, including engines, transmissions, and axles.

Financial Services

Financial products and services, including financing, leasing, and insurance, designed to support customers in purchasing and operating PACCAR's trucks.

Technology and Innovation

Advanced technologies, including autonomous driving, connected vehicle systems, and alternative fuel solutions, aimed at improving efficiency, safety, and sustainability.

8. PACCAR Inc's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

PACCAR Inc's products are highly specialized and have a strong brand reputation, making it difficult for customers to switch to substitutes. Additionally, the company's products are often customized to meet specific customer needs, which further reduces the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

PACCAR Inc's customers are primarily large transportation companies and governments, which can exert some bargaining power. However, the company's strong brand reputation and high-quality products limit the customers' ability to negotiate prices and terms.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

PACCAR Inc has a large and diverse supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers. Additionally, the company has a strong purchasing function and is able to negotiate favorable prices and terms with its suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The truck manufacturing industry has high barriers to entry, including high capital requirements, complex manufacturing processes, and stringent regulatory requirements. These barriers make it difficult for new entrants to compete with established companies like PACCAR Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The truck manufacturing industry is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. PACCAR Inc competes with companies like Daimler AG, Volvo Group, and Navistar International Corporation, which are all well-established and have strong brand reputations.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 47.59%
Debt Cost 4.30%
Equity Weight 52.41%
Equity Cost 9.05%
WACC 6.79%
Leverage 90.79%

11. Quality Control: PACCAR Inc passed 6 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
TransDigm Group

A-Score: 6.4/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 7.9

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
PACCAR

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 3.7

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Paychex

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 1.8

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 9.0

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
REV Group

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 4.1

Growth: 6.2

Quality: 6.3

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Caterpillar

A-Score: 5.6/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 7.0

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 3.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Deere

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 6.9

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

110.17$

Current Price

110.17$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows