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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

SkyWater Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor development and manufacturing services.The company offers engineering and process development support services to co-create technologies with customers; and semiconductor manufacturing services for various silicon-based analog and mixed-signal, power discrete, microelectromechanical systems, and rad-hard integrated circuits.It serves customers operating in the computation, aerospace and defense, automotive and transportation, bio-health, consumer, and industrial/internet of things industries.


The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Bloomington, Minnesota.

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1.b. Last Insights on SKYT

Here is a 90-word analysis of the positive drivers behind SkyWater Technology's recent stock performance: SkyWater Technology's strong Q4 earnings beat, with a profit of $0.04 per share versus an expected loss of $0.07, has boosted investor confidence. The company's ability to surpass revenue estimates and report a year-over-year improvement in earnings has likely driven optimism. Additionally, the company's long-term prospects appear strong, despite near-term macroeconomic challenges and valuation concerns. The recent earnings surprise has likely offset these concerns, positioning the company for potential future growth.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. SkyWater Technology's Q3 2025 Earnings: A Strong Beat Across All Metrics

SkyWater Technology reported record Q3 revenues of $150.7 million, exceeding the midpoint of their guidance range by $15 million. The company's EPS came in at $0.24, significantly beating estimates of -$0.172. The strong revenue performance was driven by the acquisition of Fab 25 in Texas, which contributed nearly $87 million of wafer services revenue, and the ATS business, which saw revenues come in above expectations at over $54 million. The consolidated gross margin for the quarter was not explicitly stated, but the guidance for Q4 is expected to be in the range of 17% to 20%.

Publication Date: Nov -23

📋 Highlights
  • Record Q3 Revenue:: SkyWater reported $151 million in revenue, $9 million above the high end of guidance, driven by Fab 25 ($87 million) and ATS ($54 million) performance.
  • ATS Revenue Outlook:: Q4 ATS revenue expected at $48–52 million (vs. $50M guidance), with full-year 2025 ATS revenue projected at $105 million (unchanged).
  • Fab 25 Contribution:: Texas operations delivered $87 million in Q3 wafer services revenue, $9 million above expectations, with Q4 guidance of $84–88 million before normalizing in 2026.
  • Quantum Computing Growth:: 4 new customer engagements (SQC, QuamCore) and a 30% CAGR expected in 2026, driven by the Technology-as-a-Service model supporting diverse architectures.
  • Q4 Financial Guidance:: Total revenue forecast at $155–165 million, adjusted EBITDA of $16–22 million, and gross margin of 17–20% (200 bps drag from tools).

Segment Performance

The ATS business is driven by strategic multiyear development programs with the government, and the company now expects Q4 ATS revenues of approximately $50 million. The Quantum computing market continues to be a growth area, with the company signing 4 new customer engagements since Q2, including Silicon Quantum Computing (SQC) and QuamCore. As Thomas Sonderman noted, "We see ourselves operating across all modalities, including ion trap. This allows us to earn Advanced Technology System (ATS) dollars and consolidate value chains."

Outlook and Guidance

The company expects Q4 revenues to reach a new record between $155 million and $165 million, driven by continued growth in wafer services and tools revenue. The guidance for adjusted EBITDA in Q4 is expected to be in the range of $16 million to $22 million. For 2026, analysts estimate revenue growth at 41.3%, indicating a strong outlook for the company's continued expansion.

Valuation

Using the current valuation metrics, SkyWater Technology has a P/S Ratio of 1.93 and an EV/EBITDA of 6.19. These metrics suggest that the company's stock may be reasonably valued, considering its growth prospects. However, the ROE of 144.4% indicates a highly efficient use of equity, which may be a positive indicator for investors. As the company continues to grow and expand its operations, it will be essential to monitor its valuation metrics to determine if the current price is justified.

3. NewsRoom

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SkyWater Technology Announces Participation in 14th Annual NYC Summit

Dec -01

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Analyzing Rambus (NASDAQ:RMBS) & SkyWater Technology (NASDAQ:SKYT)

Dec -01

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Miss These Genesis Mission Stocks, and You’ll Regret It for a Decade

Dec -01

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SkyWater Technology and Silicon Quantum Computing Team to Advance Hybrid Quantum-Classical Computing

Nov -20

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SkyWater Technology and QuamCore Announce Collaboration to Advance Scalable Superconducting Quantum Computing

Nov -06

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SkyWater Technology and QuamCore Announce Collaboration to Fabricate Digital Superconducting Controller for Scalable Quantum Computing

Nov -06

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SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -06

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SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Nov -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.20%)

6. Segments

Semiconductors

Expected Growth: 10.2%

Growing demand for custom and radiation-hardened ICs in aerospace and defense, coupled with increasing adoption in commercial applications, drives the market growth. Advancements in technology and increasing investments in R&D are also expected to fuel growth.

7. Detailed Products

Rad-Hard By Design (RHBD) Technology

SkyWater's Rad-Hard By Design (RHBD) technology provides a comprehensive approach to radiation-hardened design, ensuring high-reliability and fault-tolerant performance in extreme environments.

Mixed-Signal and Analog Technology

SkyWater's mixed-signal and analog technology offers a broad range of process nodes and design capabilities for high-performance, low-power applications.

High-Performance Computing (HPC) Technology

SkyWater's HPC technology enables the development of high-performance, low-power computing solutions for datacenter and edge applications.

Custom Foundry Services

SkyWater's custom foundry services provide a flexible and scalable platform for designing and manufacturing custom integrated circuits (ICs) for various applications.

Design Enablement Services

SkyWater's design enablement services provide a comprehensive suite of tools, IP, and design support for efficient and effective IC design and development.

8. SkyWater Technology, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

SkyWater Technology, Inc. has a low threat of substitutes due to its unique technology and high barriers to entry in the semiconductor industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers is moderate for SkyWater Technology, Inc. as they have some negotiating power due to the presence of other foundry players, but the company's specialized technology and high switching costs reduce this power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers is low for SkyWater Technology, Inc. as the company has a diversified supply chain and is not heavily dependent on any single supplier.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is high for SkyWater Technology, Inc. due to the increasing demand for semiconductor technology and the presence of new players entering the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry is high for SkyWater Technology, Inc. as the company operates in a highly competitive industry with established players and new entrants vying for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 8.09%
Debt Cost 14.38%
Equity Weight 91.91%
Equity Cost 18.56%
WACC 18.22%
Leverage 8.81%

11. Quality Control: SkyWater Technology, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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EMCORE

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 9.6

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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indie Semiconductor

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SkyWater Technology

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 3.7

Growth: 6.1

Quality: 1.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Atomera

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 0.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SMART Global Holdings

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Mobix Labs

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 6.9

Quality: 3.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 0.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

12.29$

Current Price

18.12$

Potential

-32.17%

Expected Cash-Flows