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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Waterdrop Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides online insurance brokerage services to match and connect users with related insurance products underwritten by insurance companies in the People's Republic of China.The company offers short-term health and long-term health and life insurance products and services.It also operates a medical crowdfunding platform.


The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

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1.b. Last Insights on WDH

Waterdrop Inc.'s recent performance was positively driven by its strong Q2 2025 financial results, with net profit rising 58.7% year-over-year. The company's insurance and healthcare services platform continues to expand, with over a third of China's population having used its services, leaving a vast pool of potential clients. Analysts estimate secular growth to be a strong tailwind for the industry, with CAGR estimations ranging from 13% to 54%. Additionally, the company's ESG report highlighted its commitment to expanding support to vulnerable groups and providing rural medical clinic access to over 500,000 beneficiaries.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Waterdrop's AI-Driven Growth Yields Strong Q2 2025 Results

Waterdrop's second-quarter 2025 financial results showcased a significant improvement in revenue and profitability, driven primarily by the successful integration of AI across its business operations. Revenue for the quarter reached $ million, marking a 23.9% year-over-year increase, with the insurance business growing by 28.7% and the digital clinical trial solutions business by 34.2%. This growth translated into an operating profit of $ million, an 85.9% year-over-year surge, resulting in an operating margin expansion of 3.9 percentage points to 23.1%. The actual EPS came out at $0.06, falling short of estimates at $0.19.

Publication Date: Sep -05

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth:: Achieved $X million revenue, up 23.9% YoY, driven by 28.7% insurance growth and 34.2% digital clinical trial solutions growth.
  • Operating Profit Surge:: Operating profit rose 85.9% YoY to $X million, with operating margin expanding to 23.1% (up 3.9 pts).
  • Insurance Premiums:: First-year premiums hit $X billion, surging 80.2% YoY due to AI-driven customer acquisition and product improvements.
  • Healthcare Expansion:: Digital clinical trials enrolled 999 patients (34.2% revenue growth); omni-channel marketing productivity increased 105% per capita.
  • AI Innovation:: Filed 60 patent applications for large language models, underscoring technological leadership and R&D focus.

Segment Performance

The insurance segment was a key contributor, with first-year premium reaching $1 billion, an 80.2% year-over-year increase, driven by AI-powered customer acquisition and enhanced product offerings. In the healthcare segment, the digital clinical trial business saw a 34.2% year-over-year revenue increase by enrolling 999 patients, while the digital omni-channel marketing business achieved a 105% increase in productivity per capita. These improvements underscore the effectiveness of AI in enhancing operational efficiency across customer acquisition, sales, service, and quality control.

AI Innovation and Shareholder Value

Waterdrop's commitment to AI innovation is evident in its filing of 60 patent applications related to large language models. Furthermore, the company announced a 50% increase in its cash dividend to $10.9 million, representing $0.3 per ordinary share and $0.3 per ADS, alongside an annual share repurchase plan, demonstrating its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Valuation Insights

With a Price-to-Sales Ratio of 0.17 and a Return on Equity (ROE) of 8.22%, the current valuation appears to reflect a moderate growth expectation. The Dividend Yield stands at 1.76%, indicating a relatively attractive return for income investors. Given the significant growth in revenue and profitability, particularly driven by AI, it remains to be seen if the current valuation adequately captures the company's future growth prospects, with analysts estimating next year's revenue growth at 9.3%.

3. NewsRoom

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Waterdrop Inc. (WDH) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Prepared Remarks Transcript

Dec -03

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Waterdrop Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2025 Unaudited Financial Results, Net profit rises 60.1% year-on-year

Dec -03

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Waterdrop Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2025 Unaudited Financial Results

Dec -03

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Waterdrop Wins 2025 Global Best Case Brands Award, Empowering Inclusive Protection Through Technological Innovation

Dec -03

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Waterdrop: Secular Growth And A Vast Pool Of Prospects

Nov -28

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Waterdrop Inc. to Report Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results on December 3, 2025

Nov -19

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Waterdrop Inc. Unsponsored ADR (NYSE:WDH) Short Interest Up 62.7% in October

Nov -02

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Waterdrop Inc. Published 2024 ESG Report: Expanding Support to Vulnerable Groups, Providing Rural Medical Clinic Access to Over 500 Thousand Beneficiaries

Sep -25

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.08%)

6. Segments

Insurance

Expected Growth: 10%

Waterdrop Inc.'s insurance segment growth is driven by increasing health awareness, rising disposable income, and a large uninsured population in China. The company's digital platform and partnerships with hospitals and pharmaceutical companies also contribute to its growth. Additionally, the Chinese government's efforts to improve healthcare infrastructure and expand insurance coverage further support the segment's growth.

Crowdfunding

Expected Growth: 12%

Waterdrop Inc.'s 12% crowdfunding growth is driven by increasing demand for medical expenses coverage, strategic partnerships with hospitals and insurance companies, and a user-friendly online platform. Additionally, the company's focus on transparency, trust, and social responsibility resonates with the growing millennial population, leading to increased adoption and retention rates.

Others

Expected Growth: 9%

Waterdrop Inc.'s 9% growth is driven by increasing demand for health insurance, expansion into new markets, strategic partnerships, and innovative digital platforms. Additionally, the company's focus on customer experience, cost-effective solutions, and diversified product offerings contribute to its growth momentum.

7. Detailed Products

Waterdrop DWP-01

A smart water purification system that removes up to 99.99% of contaminants, providing clean drinking water for households.

Waterdrop G2MNR

A high-performance water filter that reduces chlorine, lead, and other impurities, improving the taste and odor of drinking water.

Waterdrop WD-PT-01

A portable water filter pitcher that removes impurities and improves the taste of drinking water, perfect for outdoor activities or travel.

Waterdrop WD-UF-01

An under-sink water filter system that provides clean drinking water, reducing impurities and improving the taste and odor of water.

Waterdrop WD-FA-01

A faucet-mounted water filter that reduces impurities and improves the taste of drinking water, easy to install and maintain.

8. Waterdrop Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Waterdrop Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes as customers have limited alternatives for hydration and wellness products.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Waterdrop Inc. has a large customer base, but customers have significant bargaining power due to the availability of alternatives and low switching costs.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Waterdrop Inc. has a diversified supplier base, reducing the bargaining power of individual suppliers, and the company has a strong negotiating position.

Threat Of New Entrants

Waterdrop Inc. operates in a moderately competitive industry, and new entrants may face significant barriers to entry, but the company still needs to innovate to stay ahead.

Intensity Of Rivalry

Waterdrop Inc. operates in a highly competitive industry with many established players, leading to intense rivalry and a need for continuous innovation and differentiation.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 4.13%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 95.87%
Equity Cost 2.42%
WACC 2.48%
Leverage 4.31%

11. Quality Control: Waterdrop Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Mapfre

A-Score: 7.9/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Grupo Catalana Occidente

A-Score: 7.3/10

Value: 8.1

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 7.8

Yield: 5.6

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
VIG

A-Score: 7.2/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Waterdrop

A-Score: 7.1/10

Value: 9.8

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 4.2

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ASR Nederland

A-Score: 7.1/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 4.1

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 8.8

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
NN Group

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 4.3

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 8.8

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

1.8$

Current Price

1.8$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows