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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Zevia PBC, a beverage company, develops, markets, sells, and distributes various carbonated and non-carbonated soft drinks in the United States and Canada.It offers soda, energy drinks, organic tea, mixers, kidz beverages, and sparkling water.The company offers its products through various retail channels, including grocery distributors, national retailers, warehouse club, and natural products retailers, as well as e-commerce channels.


It provides its products under the Zevia brand name.The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Encino, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on ZVIA

Zevia PBC's recent performance was driven by strong revenue growth, beating estimates in Q1 2025. The company's naturally delicious, zero sugar better-for-you beverages segment showed resilience, with growing demand for healthier alternatives. Additionally, Zevia's participation in conferences such as the Goldman Sachs Global Staples Forum and its scheduled presentation at 1:10 p.m. E.T. on May 13, 2025, demonstrate its increasing visibility and investor interest. Furthermore, the company's inclusion in lists of consumer staple stocks to watch, such as the one by Telsey Advisory Group, highlights its potential for growth and stability.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Zevia PBC's Q3 2025 Results: Strong Sales Growth and Expanding Distribution

Zevia PBC reported a robust Q3 2025 with net sales growing 12% to $40.8 million, while the adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to $1.7 million. The actual EPS loss was $0.04, beating estimates of a $0.06 loss. The company's revenue growth was driven by effective marketing initiatives, new product launches, and expanded distribution across various channels, including Walmart, grocery, and club stores. The company's strategy focuses on high-impact brand marketing, accelerated product innovation, and expanded distribution, which is translating into double-digit gains in brand consideration and purchase intent.

Publication Date: Nov -17

📋 Highlights
  • Net Sales Growth:: Q3 2025 net sales rose 12% to $40.8 million, with full-year guidance raised to $162–$164 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Loss:: Q3 loss of $1.7 million; full-year guidance adjusted to $5–$5.5 million loss amid focus on profitability in 2026.
  • Brand Marketing Impact:: Double-digit gains in brand consideration and purchase intent driven by high-impact campaigns and product innovation (e.g., Strawberry Lemon Burst, Peaches & Cream).
  • Distribution Expansion:: Surpassed historical peak retail distribution, with 400+ Walmart Canada stores added and expanded presence in mass, club, and convenience channels.
  • New Packaging Impact:: "Soda Made Better" design, rolling out in early 2026, boosted purchase intent 30%+ vs. prior design and competitors.

Operational Highlights

The company has made significant progress in its distribution expansion, with Zevia becoming one of the primary brands in Walmart's modern service set, driving new-to-brand users. The company has also increased its shelf presence at retailers like Albertsons and is poised to continue growing distribution in various channels. The new packaging featuring "Soda Made Better" is expected to roll out in early 2026, which has shown a significant increase in purchase intent versus prior design and competition.

Growth Prospects and Profitability

Zevia has a large runway for growth, with household penetration around 5% compared to the category's 20%. The company is focused on its soda business, aiming to become famous for being "Soda Made Better," which will create a halo effect for potential expansion into other categories like energy drinks. The company expects to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA in 2026, driven by scale and pricing opportunities, as well as $5 million in incremental savings from its productivity initiative. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 6.7%.

Valuation and Metrics

With a P/S Ratio of 1.06 and an EV/EBITDA of -12.12, the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. The company's ROE and ROIC are negative, at -23.29% and -43.13%, respectively, reflecting its current loss-making position. However, as the company moves towards profitability, these metrics are expected to improve. The current valuation multiples suggest that the market is expecting a turnaround in the company's performance.

3. NewsRoom

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Zevia PBC (ZVIA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -06

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Zevia (ZVIA) Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Nov -06

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Zevia Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results

Nov -05

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Zevia: Cheap For A Reason, But With Upside Potential

Oct -07

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5 Soft Drink Stocks Battling for Relevance Amid Consumer Taste Shift

Sep -03

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Zevia to Participate in 16th Annual Midwest IDEAS Investor Conference

Aug -19

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Zevia PBC (ZVIA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Aug -07

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Zevia (ZVIA) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Aug -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.22%)

6. Segments

Retail

Expected Growth: 5%

Zevia PBC's retail segment growth is driven by increasing consumer demand for healthier, low-calorie beverages, expanding distribution channels, and strategic partnerships. The company's unique product offerings, such as zero-calorie sodas and sparkling waters, resonate with the growing health-conscious demographic. Additionally, Zevia's e-commerce platform and strong online presence contribute to its rapid growth.

Online/E-commerce

Expected Growth: 7%

Zevia PBC's 7% online/e-commerce growth is driven by increasing health-conscious consumers seeking natural, zero-calorie beverages. Expanding product offerings, strategic partnerships, and targeted digital marketing efforts have enhanced brand visibility. Additionally, the rise of online shopping and convenient delivery options have contributed to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Zevia Soda

A line of zero-calorie, naturally sweetened sodas available in 14 flavors

Zevia Energy

A line of zero-calorie, naturally sweetened energy drinks available in 3 flavors

Zevia Mixers

A line of zero-calorie, naturally sweetened mixers available in 4 flavors

Zevia Kidz

A line of zero-calorie, naturally sweetened beverages designed for kids

Zevia Tea

A line of zero-calorie, naturally sweetened teas available in 4 flavors

8. Zevia PBC's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Zevia PBC faces moderate threat from substitutes as consumers have limited options for natural and zero-calorie beverages. However, the company's unique product offerings and brand loyalty mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Zevia PBC's customers have low bargaining power due to the company's strong brand presence and limited switching costs. Consumers are loyal to the brand, and the company's products are widely available.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Zevia PBC's suppliers have moderate bargaining power due to the company's dependence on a few key suppliers for natural ingredients. However, the company's scale and long-term contracts mitigate this risk.

Threat Of New Entrants

Zevia PBC faces a high threat from new entrants due to the growing demand for natural and zero-calorie beverages. New entrants can easily enter the market, but the company's strong brand presence and distribution network provide a barrier to entry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

Zevia PBC operates in a highly competitive market with established players like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. The company's unique product offerings and strong brand presence help it compete effectively, but the rivalry remains intense.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 2.12%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 97.88%
Equity Cost 7.20%
WACC 7.13%
Leverage 2.17%

11. Quality Control: Zevia PBC passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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A-Score: 4.9/10

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Quality: 4.5

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

2.58$

Current Price

2.58$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows