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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

ARYZTA AG provides frozen B2B baking solutions in Europe, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, and South America.It offers bread rolls and artisan loaves, sweet baked and morning goods, and savory and other products.The company also provides asset management services; and distributes food products.


It serves large retail, convenience, and independent retailers, as well as quick service restaurants and other foodservice customers.The company has 32 bakeries in 28 countries.ARYZTA AG was founded in 1897 and is based in Schlieren, Switzerland.

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1.b. Last Insights on ARYN

Aryzta AG's recent performance was driven by its robust Q4 2024 earnings, marked by significant debt reduction and innovation-driven growth. The company's strong financial performance was achieved despite facing global economic challenges. Aryzta's focus on innovation, driven by its recent acquisitions and investments, has paid off, resulting in increased sales and revenue growth. Additionally, the company's debt reduction efforts have improved its financial flexibility, enabling it to invest in growth initiatives. Aryzta's management has also committed to a share buyback program, further enhancing shareholder value.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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What Is ARYZTA AG's (VTX:ARYN) Share Price Doing?

Oct -12

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Aryzta CEO Michael Schai steps down

Oct -08

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ARYZTA AG (VTX:ARYN) is a favorite amongst institutional investors who own 51%

Sep -01

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Frozen Baked Goods Market Forecast Report 2025-2034: Industry Trends, Key Growth Drivers, Challenges, Future Opportunities, and Regulatory Landscape

Jun -20

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Aryzta AG (ARZTF) (Q4 2024) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial Performance and ...

Mar -04

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Aryzta over worst but new CEO still faces challenges

Jul -18

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Aryzta names former executive Michael Schai as new CEO

Jul -15

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ARYZTA (VTX:ARYN) rallies 4.4% this week, taking three-year gains to 59%

Apr -08

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4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (2.61%)

6. Segments

ARYTZA Europe

Expected Growth: 2.5%

ARYTZA Europe's 2.5% growth is driven by increasing demand for artisanal bread and pastry products, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, quality, and customer service has led to market share gains and pricing power. Furthermore, the region's growing foodservice industry and rising consumer spending on premium baked goods also contribute to the segment's growth.

ARYTZA Rest of World

Expected Growth: 3.5%

ARYTZA Rest of World's 3.5% growth is driven by increasing demand for artisanal bakery products, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the segment benefits from a growing middle class and urbanization in emerging markets, leading to increased consumption of premium baked goods.

7. Detailed Products

Bread

ARYZTA AG offers a wide range of bread products, including artisan bread, baguettes, ciabatta, and more, catering to various tastes and preferences.

Pastries

ARYZTA AG's pastry portfolio includes croissants, Danish pastries, muffins, and more, offering a variety of sweet and savory options.

Cakes and Desserts

ARYZTA AG's cake and dessert range includes cheesecakes, tortes, and other sweet treats, catering to various tastes and dietary requirements.

Savory Products

ARYZTA AG's savory product range includes quiches, tartes, and other savory items, offering a variety of flavors and textures.

Thaw-and-Serve Products

ARYZTA AG's thaw-and-serve products include a range of frozen baked goods, such as croissants, Danish pastries, and bread, offering convenience and flexibility.

8. ARYZTA AG's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

ARYZTA AG operates in the baked goods industry, where substitutes are available, but the company's strong brand presence and product offerings mitigate the threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

ARYZTA AG's customers are primarily retailers and wholesalers, who have limited bargaining power due to the company's strong market position and diversified customer base.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

ARYZTA AG relies on various suppliers for ingredients and raw materials, but the company's scale and negotiating power help to mitigate the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The baked goods industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles, making it difficult for new entrants to challenge ARYZTA AG's market position.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The baked goods industry is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share, which increases the intensity of rivalry and puts pressure on ARYZTA AG's pricing and market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 34.84%
Debt Cost 6.50%
Equity Weight 65.16%
Equity Cost 12.00%
WACC 10.09%
Leverage 53.46%

11. Quality Control: ARYZTA AG passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Fine Foods & Pharmaceuticals N.T.M.

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 8.4

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Bonduelle

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 10.0

Growth: 1.2

Quality: 2.7

Yield: 3.8

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Greencore

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.6

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Aker BioMarine

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 2.9

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
ARYZTA

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Stock-Card
Unibel

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 2.8

Yield: 1.2

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

51.4$

Current Price

51.4$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows