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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Grenke AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides a range of banking and financial services to small and medium-sized (SME) enterprises in Germany, France, Italy, and internationally.It operates through three segments: Leasing, Banking, and Factoring.The company is involved in the leasing activities, such as financing to commercial lessees, leasing, service, protection, and maintenance offerings, as well as disposal of used equipment; and small-ticket leasing of IT products, such as PCs, notebooks, servers, monitors, peripheral equipment, software, telecommunication and copying and medical technology, as well as other IT products.


It also provides banking products and services, such as fixed deposits to private and business customers through its Website; financing services to business start-ups, as well as development loans to SMEs and self-employed professionals; and small-ticket factoring services.Grenke AG operates a total of 154 locations.The company was formerly known as GrenkeLeasing AG and changed its name to Grenke AG in May 2016.


Grenke AG was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Baden-Baden, Germany.

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1.b. Last Insights on GLJ

Negative drivers behind Grenke AG's recent performance include a reduced dividend payout, which has been decreased to €0.40 from last year's payment. This reduction may indicate concerns about the company's financial stability and ability to maintain its dividend payments. Additionally, the company's leasing new business growth, although positive at 10.6% in Q1 2025, may not be sufficient to offset the macroeconomic challenges and increased competition in the sector. Furthermore, the recent factoring acquisition by Teylor may not have a significant impact on Grenke's short-term performance, and the financial terms of the acquisition remain undisclosed.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Grenke 2024 Earnings Report Analysis

Grenke delivered a mixed performance in 2024, marked by operational strengths and lingering macroeconomic headwinds. The company reported group earnings of €70.2 million, in line with adjusted guidance, reflecting its ability to navigate a challenging environment. Key highlights include exceeding the €3 billion target for leasing new business, achieving a 17% contribution margin, and maintaining a cost-income ratio of 59.2%. However, the year also saw increased risk provisions due to higher insolvencies, which weighed on overall profitability. The company's cash flow improved to €394 million, driven by refinancing efforts and deposit growth, underscoring its liquidity position despite broader economic uncertainties.

Publication Date: Mar -15

📋 Highlights
  • Exceeded Leasing Target and Margin Performance: The company achieved a €3 billion target for leasing new business, a 17% contribution margin, and a cost-income ratio of 59.2%, reflecting strong operational efficiency despite challenges.
  • Strategic Focus on Growth and Efficiency: The CEO emphasized simplifying operations, enhancing efficiency, and prioritizing sustainable growth, with a particular focus on new business as a driver of future earnings.
  • Impact of Rising Insolvencies: Higher risk provisions due to increased insolvencies negatively impacted earnings guidance, highlighting the need for robust risk management strategies.
  • Strong Capital Structure and Cash Flow: The company maintained a diversified capital structure and achieved a cash flow of €394 million, driven by refinancing and deposit growth, despite challenges.
  • 2025 Financial Targets: The company aims to grow its leasing business to €3.2–€3.4 billion, with group earnings projected at €71–€81 million and an equity ratio of 16%, reflecting confidence in future performance.

Financial Performance and Strategic Initiatives

Sebastian Hirsch, CEO of Grenke, emphasized the company's strategic focus on simplifying operations, enhancing efficiency, and prioritizing sustainable growth. The 17% contribution margin and improved cost management, with operating costs per new business dropping to 11.2%, highlight the effectiveness of these initiatives. The company's ability to maintain a strong funding mix, including senior unsecured bonds and deposits, reflects its prudent capital management. Hirsch noted, "Our focus on new business as a driver of future earnings remains unchanged, with a strategic emphasis on digitalization and customer-centric services." This aligns with the company's goal of achieving double-digit growth in new business, targeting €3.2–€3.4 billion for 2025.

Valuation and Financial Metrics

Grenke's financial metrics suggest a company balancing growth with risk management. The price-to-book ratio of 0.47 indicates a discount to peers, potentially reflecting market skepticism about near-term profitability. However, the company's strong cash flow yield of 68.64% underscores its ability to generate cash, while the return on equity (ROE) of 6.92% highlights moderate profitability relative to equity. The net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 25.67% suggests manageable leverage, supporting its growth initiatives without overextending its balance sheet.

Risks and Opportunities

Grenke faces headwinds from rising insolvencies, which increased risk provisions by €40 million in 2024. However, the company remains optimistic about 2025, with a target of €3.2–€3.4 billion for leasing new business and group earnings of €71–€81 million. The planned expansion into international markets, particularly through partnerships and new branches, offers long-term growth potential. Additionally, the company's digitalization program, expected to cost €12–13 million annually, aims to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience. While macroeconomic risks persist, Grenke's focus on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) positions it to capitalize on strong demand for leasing solutions in this segment.

Valuation and Future Outlook

Grenke's valuation metrics suggest a company undervalued relative to its peers, with a price-to-sales ratio of 0.82 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.48. The dividend yield of 3.38% provides downside protection, while the equity ratio of 16% for 2025 underscores its capital strength. Analysts project a 14.3% revenue growth for 2025, reflecting confidence in the company's ability to rebound from 2024's challenges. With a focus on cost management, digitalization, and strategic partnerships, Grenke is well-positioned to achieve its long-term goal of double-digit return on equity (ROE), despite near-term headwinds.

3. NewsRoom

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3 European Stocks That Could Be Undervalued By Up To 37.7%

Nov -27

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Grenke AG (WBO:GLJ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Leasing Growth Amidst Challenging ...

Nov -18

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Grenke AG (WBO:GLJ) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Leasing Performance and Strategic ...

Aug -15

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Grenke H1 2025: Leasing growth steadies

Aug -14

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Investors in Grenke (ETR:GLJ) have unfortunately lost 73% over the last five years

Aug -09

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Grenke becomes 40th member of Acquis Lumia platform

Jul -17

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Grenke logs 9.8% growth in leasing new business in Q2 2025

Jul -07

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Insiders were the biggest winners as Grenke AG's (ETR:GLJ) market cap grew by €81m last week

Jun -29

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (8.39%)

6. Segments

Leasing

Expected Growth: 8.5%

Grenke AG's 8.5% leasing growth driven by increasing demand for flexible financing solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's diversified product portfolio, efficient risk management, and strong brand reputation contribute to its growth momentum.

Bank

Expected Growth: 7.3%

Grenke AG's 7.3% growth is driven by its diversified leasing portfolio, strong demand for IT and industrial equipment, and expansion into new markets. Additionally, the bank's focus on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and its efficient cost structure contribute to its growth momentum.

Factoring

Expected Growth: 9.33%

Grenke AG's 9.33% growth in factoring is driven by increasing demand for working capital solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's digitalization efforts and efficient risk management have contributed to its growth. Furthermore, the rise of e-invoicing and automation in the industry has also fueled the growth of Grenke AG's factoring business.

7. Detailed Products

Leasing

Grenke AG offers leasing services for businesses, allowing them to acquire equipment, vehicles, and other assets without having to purchase them outright.

Factoring

Grenke AG's factoring service enables businesses to receive immediate payment for outstanding invoices, improving cash flow and reducing the risk of bad debt.

Banking Services

Grenke AG offers a range of banking services, including accounts, credit cards, and loans, designed to meet the financial needs of businesses and individuals.

Digital Platforms

Grenke AG's digital platforms provide businesses with a range of tools and services, including e-commerce solutions, online marketplaces, and digital payment systems.

8. Grenke AG's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Grenke AG operates in the leasing and factoring industry, which has a moderate threat of substitutes. While there are alternative financing options available, Grenke's diversified product portfolio and strong market presence mitigate the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Grenke AG's customers are primarily small and medium-sized enterprises, which have limited bargaining power. The company's strong market position and diversified customer base reduce the bargaining power of customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Grenke AG relies on a network of suppliers for its leasing and factoring services. While suppliers have some bargaining power, the company's strong relationships and diversified supplier base mitigate this threat.

Threat Of New Entrants

The leasing and factoring industry has high barriers to entry, including regulatory requirements and the need for significant capital investments. This limits the threat of new entrants and provides a competitive advantage to established players like Grenke AG.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The leasing and factoring industry is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Grenke AG's strong market position and diversified product portfolio help the company to maintain its competitive edge.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 82.81%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 17.19%
Equity Cost 11.52%
WACC 5.25%
Leverage 481.66%

11. Quality Control: Grenke AG passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Resurs Holding

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 3.9

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MutuiOnline

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 3.5

Growth: 8.3

Quality: 5.8

Yield: 0.6

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Intrum

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 9.1

Growth: 2.1

Quality: 2.8

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Grenke

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 7.1

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 3.8

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Funding Circle

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 4.8

Growth: 2.1

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Hypoport

A-Score: 2.3/10

Value: 2.3

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

15.02$

Current Price

15.02$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows