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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, operates system and payment platform worldwide.The company offers VPOS TOUCH that provides contactless and contact payment options; VPOS FUSION, a cashless payment card reader; ONYX, a contactless card reader and telemetry device; AMIT 3.0, a M2M vending telemetry solution; NOVA 156, a points of sale(POS)-handheld smart POS terminal; NOVA 125,a combined dual interface product with a printer and a barcode scanner; NOVA 55, an android-based that enables clearing payments using swipe, contactless, and contact payment methods, as well as accepting alternative payment methods, such as digital wallets and tap on pay; and NOVA 45 and NOVA 40, a handheld mini smart terminals for attended POS.It also provides electric vehicle charging stations; and Monyx Wallet, a digital wallet app installed on the consumer's mobile phone that enables cashless payments using only the mobile phone.


In addition, the company provides cashless payments systems; telemetry services, including remote management, monitoring, and control of the unattended POS and service; closed-circuit prepaid card solutions; and management software for unattended machines.Further, it operates marketing, loyalty, and consumer engagement platform.The company sells its products directly, as well as through resellers and distributors.


It serves various verticals, including snacks and drinks automatic vending machines, coffee machines, kiddie and amusement rides, massage chairs, laundromats, machines for selling non-prescription drugs, car wash, parking, tourist, fueling, and ticket machines, as well as kiosks, public restrooms, photo booth, donations, AIR/VAC, and ice cream vending machines.The company was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Herzliya, Israel.

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1.b. Last Insights on NYAX

Nayax Ltd.'s recent performance was driven by several positive factors. The company's Q4 earnings beat estimates, with a quarterly earnings of $0.05 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04 per share. This marks a significant improvement from the loss of $0.10 per share in the same period last year. Additionally, the company's full-year revenue reached $314.0 million, with recurring revenue growth of 47% year-over-year. On a constant currency basis, revenue was $315.2 million, a 34% increase. Adjusted EBITDA was $35.5 million, and free cash flow was $18 million for the year. The company also provided guidance for 2025, with revenue expected to be between $410 million and $425 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $65 million and $70 million. Furthermore, Nayax has maintained current hardware pricing for U.S. customers despite new tariffs, demonstrating its commitment to customer growth and operational excellence. The company has also made strategic acquisitions, including the acquisition of Inepro Pay, which consolidates its distribution channels and expands its market reach in the Benelux region.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Nayax Ltd. Delivers Strong Q3 2025 Results with 26% Revenue Growth

Nayax Ltd. reported a robust financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue increasing 26% year-over-year to $104.3 million, driven by 25% organic growth. Recurring revenue grew 29% to $77 million, representing 74% of total revenue. The company's gross margin expanded to 49.3%, driven by higher recurring and hardware margins. Adjusted EBITDA was $18.2 million, representing 17.5% of revenue. The company's net income was $3.5 million, with earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $0.09, below analyst estimates of $0.21. The company's financial performance was characterized by strong growth in key performance indicators, including a 35% increase in total transaction value to $1.8 billion and a 21% expansion in the customer base to nearly 110,000 customers.

Publication Date: Nov -30

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth Accelerates: 26% YoY revenue increase to $104.3M, with 25% organic growth and recurring revenue rising 29% to $77M (74% of total revenue).
  • Transaction and Customer Expansion: Total transaction value surged 35% to $1.8B, customer base grew 21% to 110,000, and connected devices increased 17% to 1.4M.
  • Margin and Profitability Strength: Gross margin hit 49.3%, adjusted EBITDA reached $18.2M (17.5% of revenue), and free cash flow reached $3.9M.
  • 2025 Guidance Raised: Revenue guidance updated to $400–405M (27–29% growth), with adjusted EBITDA margin targeting at least 15% ($60–65M).
  • 2028 Growth Targets: Aims for 35% annual revenue growth, 50% gross margin, 30% adjusted EBITDA margin, and $200M in inorganic growth by 2028.

Operational Highlights

The company's operational performance was marked by significant growth in its installed base of managed and connected devices, which rose 17% to over 1.4 million devices. Processing revenue increased 33% to $48 million, and hardware revenue grew 18% to $27 million. Nayax Ltd.'s strong operational performance was driven by its growing base of connected devices, recurring revenue, and strong customer retention. The company reiterated its organic revenue growth guidance of at least 25% for 2025, driven by enterprise hardware sales in the fourth quarter.

Growth Prospects and Guidance

Nayax Ltd. expects strong momentum in the fourth quarter, driven by its growing base of connected devices, recurring revenue, and strong customer retention. The company updated its revenue guidance to $400-405 million, representing 27-29% growth. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be at least 15%, with $60-65 million in adjusted EBITDA and at least 50% free cash flow conversion. The company targets an annual revenue growth of approximately 35% by 2028, driven by organic growth and strategic M&A.

Valuation and Metrics

Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 23.7%. Nayax Ltd.'s current valuation metrics include a P/E Ratio of 70.87, P/S Ratio of 4.37, and EV/EBITDA of 24.21. The company's ROE is 12.74%, and ROIC is 7.01%. With a strong growth trajectory and improving profitability, the company's valuation multiples may be justified. However, investors should monitor the company's ability to meet its growth guidance and maintain its profitability.

Strategic Initiatives

Nayax Ltd. made progress on its technology initiatives, including the rollout of Bipos Media in Australia and partnerships with Autel and LinQual. The company also signed a letter of intent to acquire Integral Vending, its exclusive distribution partner in Mexico, and completed the purchase of the remaining shares of Tigapo, bringing full ownership of its arcade gaming business. These strategic initiatives are expected to drive growth and expand the company's presence in key markets.

3. NewsRoom

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Nayax Announces Acquisition of Lynkwell

Dec -04

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Nayax: Q3 Reinforces The Bull Case

Nov -20

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Nayax Ltd. (NYAX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -19

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Nayax (NYAX) Lags Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Nov -19

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Nayax Reports Third Quarter 2025 Results

Nov -19

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Nayax Announces Connect LATAM 2025 for Regional Customers

Nov -05

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Nayax to Report 2025 Q3 Earnings on November 19, 2025

Oct -30

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Nayax and ChargeSmart EV Strategically Partner to Deliver Advanced Omnichannel Payment Solutions for U.S. EV Drivers

Oct -08

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.09%)

6. Segments

Point of Sales Devices

Expected Growth: 8.37%

Nayax Ltd.'s Point of Sales Devices growth of 8.37% is driven by increasing adoption in cashless payments, rising demand for vending machine and kiosk integrations, and expansion into new markets. Additionally, the company's focus on innovative solutions, such as mobile payments and loyalty programs, contributes to its growth momentum.

Payment Processing Fee

Expected Growth: 10.27%

Nayax Ltd's 10.27% growth in Payment Processing Fee is driven by increasing adoption of cashless payments, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's innovative solutions, such as mobile payments and loyalty programs, are attracting more merchants and consumers, leading to higher transaction volumes and revenue growth.

Software as a Service

Expected Growth: 12.47%

Nayax Ltd.'s Software as a Service (SaaS) growth of 12.47% is driven by increasing demand for cashless payment solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. The company's innovative vending technology and data analytics capabilities also contribute to its growth, as well as the rising adoption of IoT and cloud-based services in the retail and vending industries.

7. Detailed Products

Nayax Cashless Payment System

A comprehensive cashless payment system that enables consumers to make payments using various methods such as credit cards, mobile payments, and more.

Vending Management System (VMS)

A cloud-based platform that provides real-time monitoring, remote machine management, and data analytics for vending operators.

Monyx Wallet

A mobile payment app that enables users to make cashless payments, earn rewards, and track their spending habits.

Nayax API

A set of APIs that enable developers to integrate Nayax's payment and management capabilities into their own applications.

Nayax Insights

A data analytics platform that provides insights into consumer behavior, sales trends, and machine performance.

8. Nayax Ltd.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Nayax Ltd. operates in a niche market with limited substitutes, but the threat of substitutes is still present due to the increasing popularity of cashless payment systems.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Nayax Ltd. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers. Additionally, the company's products and services are tailored to meet the specific needs of its customers, making it difficult for them to switch to alternative suppliers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Nayax Ltd. relies on a few key suppliers for its hardware and software components. While the company has some bargaining power due to its volume of purchases, the suppliers still have some leverage due to the specialized nature of the components.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low due to the high barriers to entry in the cashless payment systems market. Nayax Ltd. has established a strong brand and has developed a complex technology platform, making it difficult for new entrants to replicate its offerings.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The cashless payment systems market is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Nayax Ltd. faces intense competition from companies such as USA Technologies and Cantaloupe Systems.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 34.34%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 65.66%
Equity Cost 2.10%
WACC 2.74%
Leverage 52.31%

11. Quality Control: Nayax Ltd. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Crayon

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 3.4

Growth: 6.1

Quality: 5.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Addnode Group

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 1.9

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 6.0

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Adesso

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 5.3

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 0.6

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Nagarro

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 6.3

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 1.9

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Nayax

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 0.2

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SQLI

A-Score: 2.8/10

Value: 3.3

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

47.63$

Current Price

47.63$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows