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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

ECARX Holdings, Inc.engages in the design, development, and delivery of vehicle technology.Its products include infotainment head units, digital cockpits, vehicle chip-set, operating system and software stack.


The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Shanghai, China with an additional office in Europe.

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1.b. Last Insights on ECX

ECARX Holdings Inc.'s recent performance has been negatively impacted by a lack of significant short-term drivers. Despite the company's strong momentum in Q2 2025, with unaudited financial results showing continued growth, there are no apparent negative short-term drivers. However, ECARX's ASPICE v4.0 CL3 certification for its Antora 1000 Pro computing platform, received on August 27, 2025, is a notable achievement. Additionally, the company's showcase of its latest in-vehicle navigation system and intelligent driving solutions at IAA Mobility 2025, on September 10, 2025, underscores its innovative capabilities.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. ECARX's Q3 2025 Earnings: A Pivotal Turning Point

ECARX reported a strong Q3 2025, with revenue reaching $219.9 million, up 11% year-over-year and 41% quarter-over-quarter. The company achieved EBITDA breakeven, with EBITDA of $8.3 million, and became net profitable for the first time, with a breakeven net profit of $0.9 million. Gross profit was $48 million, up 39% year-over-year, with a gross margin percentage of 22%, representing a 4% improvement from the prior year period and 11% improvement from the previous quarter. The EPS was -$0.14001, missing estimates of -$0.012.

Publication Date: Nov -06

📋 Highlights
  • EBITDA & Net Profitability:: Achieved EBITDA breakeven (USD 8.3M) and first-time net profit (USD 0.9M) in Q3 2025.
  • Revenue Growth:: Total revenue reached USD 219.9M, up 11% YoY and 41% QoQ.
  • Shipments & Product Performance:: Total shipments hit 667,000 units (51% YoY), with Antora series shipments at 196,000 (record high).
  • Global Contract Pipeline:: Secured USD 2.5B in contracted lifetime revenue from European/American automakers, including a USD 400M project with a leading European OEM.
  • Gross Margin Improvement:: Hardware margins rose to 15% in Q3, up from 10% in Q2 and 9% in Q3 2024, driven by cost optimization and portfolio selling.

Operational Highlights

The company's Pikes computing platform, built on the Qualcomm 8295 Snapdragon chipset, was a key contributor to the strong performance in Q3, with shipments reaching approximately 667,000 units, up 51% year-over-year and 26% quarter-to-quarter. The Antora series shipments reached a record high of 196,000 units. According to Peter Cirino, "We secured a second project with a leading European automaker, which will add another $400 million in lifetime revenue to our pipeline."

Gross Margin Expansion

The company's hardware margins have improved to 15% in Q3, from 10% in the previous quarter and 9% last year, driven by successful portfolio selling, cost optimization, and supply chain cost management. The momentum is expected to continue into Q4 and next year, with the company anticipating double-digit revenue growth in 2025 and beyond.

Valuation Metrics

Using the current valuation metrics, the company's P/S Ratio stands at 1.21, while the EV/EBITDA ratio is -7.77. The ROE is 43.54%, indicating a strong return on equity. These metrics suggest that the market is pricing in a certain level of growth, with analysts estimating next year's revenue growth at 33.1%.

Growth Prospects

ECARX is positioning itself as a global player in the automotive technology marketplace, with a focus on scaling its technology globally and delivering mature, robust solutions to the market. The company expects 30% of its revenue to come from overseas by 2028 and 50% by 2030, with $2.5 billion in overseas revenue orders already secured.

3. NewsRoom

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Comparing ECARX (NASDAQ:ECX) & SOS (NYSE:SOS)

Dec -02

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ECARX Deepens Partnership with Volkswagen Group to Supply Digital Cockpit Solutions for Multiple Vehicle Models in Latin America

Nov -13

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Is ECARX Holdings, Inc. (ECX) Outperforming Other Business Services Stocks This Year?

Nov -07

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ECARX Holdings Inc. (ECX) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -03

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ECARX Announces Third Quarter 2025 Unaudited Financial Results

Nov -03

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ECARX Secured up to $150 Million to Advance Strategic Growth Initiatives and Strengthen Liquidity

Oct -31

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ECARX Announces Board Change

Oct -31

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ECARX Antora® and Cloupeak® Solutions Expand into UK with Launch of Geely EX5

Oct -24

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (13.05%)

6. Segments

Automotive Computing Platform

Expected Growth: 12.8%

ECARX Holdings' Automotive Computing Platform growth is driven by increasing demand for autonomous vehicles, electrification, and connected cars. The platform's scalable architecture, high-performance computing, and advanced software capabilities enable OEMs to develop intelligent vehicles. Additionally, strategic partnerships with leading automakers and suppliers, as well as investments in AI and 5G technologies, contribute to the 12.8% growth.

Automotive Computing Platform - Design and Development Service

Expected Growth: 14.03%

ECARX Holdings' Automotive Computing Platform - Design and Development Service growth is driven by increasing demand for autonomous vehicles, electrification, and connected cars. The company's expertise in software-defined vehicle architecture and its partnerships with leading OEMs are key growth catalysts. Additionally, the rising need for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication technology also contribute to the segment's 14.03% growth.

System on a Chip Core Modules

Expected Growth: 10.43%

ECARX Holdings' System on a Chip (SoC) Core Modules' 10.43% growth is driven by increasing demand for autonomous driving, electrification, and connectivity in the automotive industry. The company's focus on developing advanced SoC solutions for next-generation vehicles, coupled with its partnerships with leading OEMs, contributes to its growth momentum.

Software License

Expected Growth: 11.7%

ECARX Holdings' Software License segment growth of 11.7% is driven by increasing demand for autonomous driving solutions, expansion into new geographic markets, and strategic partnerships with leading automotive companies. Additionally, the company's focus on research and development, resulting in innovative products and features, has contributed to the growth.

Connectivity Service

Expected Growth: 24.3%

ECARX Holdings' Connectivity Service growth is driven by increasing demand for in-vehicle infotainment and telematics, rising adoption of 5G and IoT technologies, and strategic partnerships with leading automotive OEMs. Additionally, the company's focus on software-defined vehicles and autonomous driving solutions contributes to its 24.3% growth.

Automotive Merchandise and Other

Expected Growth: 9.62%

ECARX Holdings' Automotive Merchandise and Other segment growth of 9.62% is driven by increasing demand for electric vehicle (EV) solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on innovative products and services, such as battery management systems and autonomous driving solutions, contributes to its growth momentum.

Other Services

Expected Growth: 13.35%

ECARX Holdings' Other Services segment growth of 13.35% is driven by increasing demand for autonomous driving solutions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on software-defined vehicles and electrification is contributing to revenue growth. Furthermore, the rising adoption of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and vehicle electrification is also fueling growth in this segment.

7. Detailed Products

Autonomous Driving Solutions

ECARX Holdings, Inc. offers a range of autonomous driving solutions, including advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) technologies, designed to enhance safety, convenience, and driving experience.

Connected Vehicle Solutions

ECARX Holdings, Inc. provides connected vehicle solutions, including telematics, infotainment, and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) communication systems, designed to enhance vehicle connectivity and driver experience.

Electrification Solutions

ECARX Holdings, Inc. offers electrification solutions, including electric vehicle (EV) powertrains, battery management systems, and charging infrastructure, designed to support the transition to electric vehicles.

Smart Cabin Solutions

ECARX Holdings, Inc. provides smart cabin solutions, including intelligent cockpit systems, human-machine interfaces, and in-vehicle experiences, designed to enhance driver and passenger experience.

Vehicle Computing Platforms

ECARX Holdings, Inc. offers vehicle computing platforms, including automotive-grade computing hardware and software, designed to support the development of advanced vehicle systems.

8. ECARX Holdings, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for ECARX Holdings, Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative products and services in the automotive technology industry.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for ECARX Holdings, Inc. is low due to the company's strong brand reputation and limited switching costs for customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for ECARX Holdings, Inc. is medium due to the presence of multiple suppliers in the industry, but the company's large scale of operations gives it some bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for ECARX Holdings, Inc. is high due to the relatively low barriers to entry in the automotive technology industry and the attractiveness of the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for ECARX Holdings, Inc. is high due to the presence of several established competitors in the industry and the high stakes of competition.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 203.88%
Debt Cost 4.40%
Equity Weight -103.88%
Equity Cost 4.95%
WACC 3.83%
Leverage -196.26%

11. Quality Control: ECARX Holdings, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Growth: 5.1

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 7.3

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A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 9.0

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 2.5

Growth: 7.0

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

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A-Score: 3.7/10

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Growth: 2.7

Quality: 2.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 5.7

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

2.1$

Current Price

2.1$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows