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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Conagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company in North America.The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice.The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels in the United States.


The Refrigerated & Frozen segment provides temperature-controlled food products through various retail channels in the United States.The International segment offers food products in various temperature states through retail and foodservice channels outside of the United States.The Foodservice segment offers branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and various custom-manufactured culinary products packaged for restaurants and other foodservice establishments in the United States.


The company sells its products under the Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP, Duke's, Earth Balance, Gardein, and Frontera brands.The company was formerly known as ConAgra Foods, Inc.and changed its name to Conagra Brands, Inc.


in November 2016.Conagra Brands, Inc.was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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1.b. Last Insights on CAG

Conagra Brands' recent performance has been negatively impacted by a consensus "Reduce" rating from 14 brokerages, with three issuing a sell recommendation and ten a hold recommendation. The company's Q1 earnings beat expectations, but revenue declined 5.8% year-over-year, driven by lower volumes and margin contraction. Despite a stable dividend yield of 8%, the stock faces headwinds from inflation, tariffs, and political risks. Advisors Asset Management Inc. raised its stake by 23.6%, while Rep. Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. sold shares, adding to sell-side pressure.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Conagra Brands' Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings: Resilience Amidst Challenges

Conagra Brands reported organic net sales of $2.6 billion, a 0.6% decline versus the prior year. The adjusted gross margin was 24.4%, and the adjusted operating margin was 11.8%, both down versus the prior year but slightly better than initial expectations. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.39, beating estimates of $0.33, and down $0.14 versus the year ago period.

Publication Date: Oct -27

📋 Highlights
  • Resilient Top Line & Market Share Growth:: 44% of the portfolio held or gained volume share, with frozen portfolio volumes improving 3.2 points compared to Q4 FY2025.
  • Successful Divestitures & Debt Reduction:: Completed Chef Boyardee, Van de Camps, and Mrs. Paul's divestitures, reducing net debt by over $400 million.
  • Financial Performance:: Organic net sales declined 0.6% YoY to $2.6 billion, with adjusted EPS at $0.39 (down $0.14 YoY) and adjusted operating margin of 11.8%.
  • Category Strength & Strategic Recovery:: Hebrew National (Staples portfolio) showed strong recovery, gaining share in chili, tomatoes, and refrigerated whip toppings.
  • Guidance Reaffirmed:: FY2026 outlook for organic net sales growth of -1% to +1%, adjusted operating margin of 11–11.5%, and adjusted EPS of $1.70–$1.85.

Operational Highlights

The company's consumption performance improved meaningfully over Q4 fiscal 2025 levels, with 44% of its portfolio holding or gaining volume share. The frozen portfolio delivered solid progress, with volumes improving 3.2 points in Q1 compared to Q4 fiscal 2025. The snacking domain performed in line with expectations, with strong volume in strategic protein snacks categories.

Strategic Divestitures and Debt Reduction

Conagra Brands successfully completed its Chef Boyardee, Van de Camps, and Mrs. Paul's divestitures in Q1, using the proceeds to reduce net debt by more than $400 million. This move demonstrates the company's commitment to a balanced approach to capital allocation.

Guidance and Outlook

The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, expecting organic net sales growth of negative 1% to positive 1%, adjusted operating margin of approximately 11% to 11.5%, and adjusted EPS of $1.7 to $1.85. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at -3.7%, indicating a challenging environment ahead.

Valuation and Metrics

Conagra Brands' current valuation metrics include a P/E Ratio of 10.3, P/B Ratio of 0.98, and Dividend Yield of 7.65%. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio stands at 3.97, indicating a manageable debt burden. With an ROE of 9.6% and ROIC of 5.85%, the company demonstrates a reasonable return on equity and invested capital. The dividend yield is attractive, and the free cash flow yield is 13.04%, suggesting a potential upside.

3. NewsRoom

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Market Today: Deal Talks, Retail Wins, AI Chips, and Crypto Volatility

Dec -02

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Thompson, Siegel, & Walmsley Adds $36 Million of ConAgra: Is the Stock a Buy?

Dec -02

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Critical Contrast: George Weston (OTCMKTS:WNGRF) & Conagra Brands (NYSE:CAG)

Nov -29

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8 'Safer' Dividend Buys In Barron's 23 Better November Bets Than T-Bills

Nov -28

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My 3 High-Yield Outliers The Market Is Likely Mispricing

Nov -28

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Should You Buy the 3 Highest Dividend-Paying Stocks in the S&P 500?

Nov -26

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Conagra Brands (NYSE:CAG) Given Consensus Recommendation of “Reduce” by Brokerages

Nov -26

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Advisors Asset Management Inc. Raises Stake in Conagra Brands $CAG

Nov -26

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (1.04%)

6. Segments

Refrigerated & Frozen

Expected Growth: 1.2%

Conagra Brands' Refrigerated & Frozen segment growth of 1.2% is driven by increasing demand for convenient, healthy, and affordable meal solutions. Strong brands like Marie Callender's and Healthy Choice, coupled with innovative product launches, contribute to the segment's growth. Additionally, the company's focus on e-commerce and digital marketing efforts help to expand its customer base and increase sales.

Grocery & Snacks

Expected Growth: 0.8%

Conagra Brands' Grocery & Snacks segment growth of 0.8% is driven by increasing demand for convenient and affordable meal solutions, steady sales of iconic brands like Marie Callender's and Healthy Choice, and strategic pricing initiatives. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, such as the launch of new products and flavors, contributes to the segment's modest growth.

Foodservice

Expected Growth: 1.5%

Conagra Brands' Foodservice segment growth of 1.5% is driven by increasing demand for convenient and portable meals, expansion of distribution channels, and strategic partnerships with foodservice providers. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, renovation, and premiumization of its product portfolio, such as Marie Callender's and Healthy Choice, contributes to the growth.

International

Expected Growth: 0.9%

Conagra Brands' International segment growth of 0.9% is driven by increasing demand for frozen meals and snacks in emerging markets, particularly in Latin America and Asia. Additionally, the company's strategic acquisitions and partnerships have expanded its global footprint, contributing to modest growth.

7. Detailed Products

Marie Callender's

Frozen meals and desserts

Banquet

Frozen meals and desserts

Healthy Choice

Frozen meals and soups

Orville Redenbacher's

Gourmet popcorn kernels and microwave popcorn

Slim Jim

Meat snacks and beef sticks

Chef Boyardee

Canned pasta and Italian-inspired meals

PAM

Cooking sprays and oils

Snack Pack

Canned fruit and puddings

La Choy

Canned Asian-style meals and ingredients

Fernando's

Mexican-inspired frozen meals and snacks

8. Conagra Brands, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Conagra Brands, Inc. operates in the packaged food industry, where substitutes are readily available. However, the company's strong brand portfolio and product offerings mitigate the threat of substitutes to some extent.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Conagra Brands, Inc. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers. Additionally, the company's strong brand presence and product offerings give it an upper hand in negotiations with customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Conagra Brands, Inc. relies on a network of suppliers for raw materials and ingredients. While the company has some bargaining power due to its scale, suppliers also have some leverage due to the importance of their inputs in the production process.

Threat Of New Entrants

The packaged food industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles. This limits the threat of new entrants and gives Conagra Brands, Inc. a competitive advantage.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The packaged food industry is highly competitive, with many established players vying for market share. Conagra Brands, Inc. faces intense competition from rivals such as General Mills, Kellogg, and PepsiCo, which puts pressure on prices and margins.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 51.20%
Debt Cost 5.80%
Equity Weight 48.80%
Equity Cost 5.80%
WACC 5.80%
Leverage 104.90%

11. Quality Control: Conagra Brands, Inc. passed 1 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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Pilgrim's Pride

A-Score: 6.7/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Conagra Brands

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 7.9

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Flowers Foods

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 7.2

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 9.0

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Post Holdings

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 6.6

Growth: 7.6

Quality: 4.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

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Campbell Soup

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 5.9

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Central Garden & Pet

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 7.4

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

17.05$

Current Price

17.05$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows