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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Conagra Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer packaged goods food company in North America.The company operates in four segments: Grocery & Snacks, Refrigerated & Frozen, International, and Foodservice.The Grocery & Snacks segment primarily offers shelf stable food products through various retail channels in the United States.


The Refrigerated & Frozen segment provides temperature-controlled food products through various retail channels in the United States.The International segment offers food products in various temperature states through retail and foodservice channels outside of the United States.The Foodservice segment offers branded and customized food products, including meals, entrees, sauces, and various custom-manufactured culinary products packaged for restaurants and other foodservice establishments in the United States.


The company sells its products under the Birds Eye, Duncan Hines, Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, Reddi-wip, Slim Jim, Angie's BOOMCHICKAPOP, Duke's, Earth Balance, Gardein, and Frontera brands.The company was formerly known as ConAgra Foods, Inc.and changed its name to Conagra Brands, Inc.


in November 2016.Conagra Brands, Inc.was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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1.b. Last Insights on CAG

Conagra Brands' recent performance has been positively driven by increased institutional ownership, with several firms growing their stakes in the company. AE Wealth Management LLC boosted its stake by 13.7%, while Cerity Partners LLC and Gilman Hill Asset Management LLC also raised their positions. Additionally, the company's recent earnings release beat expectations, with Q2 earnings of $0.45 per share exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Conagra Brands' presentation at the 2026 CAGNY Conference and its commitment to payout increases have also contributed to its positive momentum.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Conagra Brands' Q3 Earnings: A Closer Look

Conagra Brands reported an actual EPS of $0.45, beating estimates of $0.436. Although the company lowered Ardent's expectations by $30 million, it reiterated its annual sales and operating margin outlook. The company's gross margin in Q3 is expected to be similar to Q2, while SG&A as a percentage of net sales will be higher due to increased A&P spending. With a current P/E Ratio of 124.92 and an EV/EBITDA of 8.48, the market seems to be pricing in a certain level of growth.

Publication Date: Dec -20

📋 Highlights
  • Outlook Adjustments: Annual sales and margin guidance maintained despite $30M Ardent shortfall, translating to ~$0.05 EPS impact.
  • Sales Momentum: Organic net sales growth expected in H2, with Q3-Q4 balance; Q3 margins pressured by >3% A&P spend and inventory absorption.
  • Cost Dynamics: Chicken inflation favorability offset by rising beef/pork costs; <50% tariff exposure on tinplate with no rate changes.
  • Margin Recovery: Gross margin to trend toward historical levels via productivity, pricing, and supply chain resilience by 2024.
  • Strategic Moves: $100M+ impairment charge taken due to stock price decline; debt reduction focus, with no active M&A pursuit but selective value-creating opportunities considered.

Operational Performance

The company has seen some favorability in chicken inflation but expects increased costs in beef and pork. Tariff timing has also provided some favorability, although over 50% of its tariff exposure is on tinplate, where there has been no change to tariff levels. Conagra Brands has not seen shoppers waiting to buy more on promotion, unlike some other food companies, and has kept pricing steady in some categories to drive volume growth.

Growth Prospects

Conagra Brands expects good momentum in frozen and snacks, with a strong marketing plan in place. The company is also working on Project Catalyst, a reengineering of core business processes using technology to drive more efficiency and effectiveness. With a strong lineup of new products and a good balance of value and premium offerings, the company feels good about its innovation performance.

Margin Expansion

The company expects to claw its way back up to historical gross margin levels, driven by productivity, inflation relief, supply chain resiliency investments, and pricing actions. The company aims to achieve at least the same level of performance as the previous year, if not grow, during the seasonal period, which includes promotions and inventory builds.

Outlook and Valuation

Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at -3.8%. Given the current valuation metrics, including a P/S Ratio of 0.6 and a Dividend Yield of 8.07%, the stock appears to be attractive. The company's focus on debt reduction and its history of M&A are also positive factors. However, the wide EPS outlook range and the impairment charge taken in the quarter due to a sustained decline in its stock price and market cap are concerns that need to be monitored.

3. NewsRoom

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CONAGRA BRANDS ANNOUNCES DETAILS OF 2026 CAGNY CONFERENCE PRESENTATION WEBCAST

12:30

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BANQUET® MEGA™ BREAKFAST BOWLS DELIVER BIG PROTEIN FOR YOUR MORNING

Feb -02

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5 'Safer' Dividend Buys In Barron's 23 Better January Bets Than T-Bill

Jan -31

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Why Dividend Stocks Are Essential For What Comes Next

Jan -30

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Is Conagra Brands an Underrated Dividend Stock for Patient Investors?​

Jan -30

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AE Wealth Management LLC Boosts Stake in Conagra Brands $CAG

Jan -30

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Market Today: Fed Hold Looms; UPS Cuts, Amazon Grocery Shift

Jan -27

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MOKAN Wealth Management Inc. Sells 2,137 Shares of Conagra Brands Inc (CAG)

Jan -26

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (1.04%)

6. Segments

Refrigerated & Frozen

Expected Growth: 1.2%

Conagra Brands' Refrigerated & Frozen segment growth of 1.2% is driven by increasing demand for convenient, healthy, and affordable meal solutions. Strong brands like Marie Callender's and Healthy Choice, coupled with innovative product launches, contribute to the segment's growth. Additionally, the company's focus on e-commerce and digital marketing efforts help to expand its customer base and increase sales.

Grocery & Snacks

Expected Growth: 0.8%

Conagra Brands' Grocery & Snacks segment growth of 0.8% is driven by increasing demand for convenient and affordable meal solutions, steady sales of iconic brands like Marie Callender's and Healthy Choice, and strategic pricing initiatives. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, such as the launch of new products and flavors, contributes to the segment's modest growth.

Foodservice

Expected Growth: 1.5%

Conagra Brands' Foodservice segment growth of 1.5% is driven by increasing demand for convenient and portable meals, expansion of distribution channels, and strategic partnerships with foodservice providers. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, renovation, and premiumization of its product portfolio, such as Marie Callender's and Healthy Choice, contributes to the growth.

International

Expected Growth: 0.9%

Conagra Brands' International segment growth of 0.9% is driven by increasing demand for frozen meals and snacks in emerging markets, particularly in Latin America and Asia. Additionally, the company's strategic acquisitions and partnerships have expanded its global footprint, contributing to modest growth.

7. Detailed Products

Marie Callender's

Frozen meals and desserts

Banquet

Frozen meals and desserts

Healthy Choice

Frozen meals and soups

Orville Redenbacher's

Gourmet popcorn kernels and microwave popcorn

Slim Jim

Meat snacks and beef sticks

Chef Boyardee

Canned pasta and Italian-inspired meals

PAM

Cooking sprays and oils

Snack Pack

Canned fruit and puddings

La Choy

Canned Asian-style meals and ingredients

Fernando's

Mexican-inspired frozen meals and snacks

8. Conagra Brands, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Conagra Brands, Inc. operates in the packaged food industry, where substitutes are readily available. However, the company's strong brand portfolio and product offerings mitigate the threat of substitutes to some extent.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Conagra Brands, Inc. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers. Additionally, the company's strong brand presence and product offerings give it an upper hand in negotiations with customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Conagra Brands, Inc. relies on a network of suppliers for raw materials and ingredients. While the company has some bargaining power due to its scale, suppliers also have some leverage due to the importance of their inputs in the production process.

Threat Of New Entrants

The packaged food industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles. This limits the threat of new entrants and gives Conagra Brands, Inc. a competitive advantage.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The packaged food industry is highly competitive, with many established players vying for market share. Conagra Brands, Inc. faces intense competition from rivals such as General Mills, Kellogg, and PepsiCo, which puts pressure on prices and margins.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 51.20%
Debt Cost 5.80%
Equity Weight 48.80%
Equity Cost 5.80%
WACC 5.80%
Leverage 104.90%

11. Quality Control: Conagra Brands, Inc. passed 1 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Conagra Brands

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Pilgrim's Pride

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Flowers Foods

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Campbell Soup

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 6.0

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Post Holdings

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 3.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Central Garden & Pet

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

19.11$

Current Price

19.11$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows