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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

CONSOL Energy Inc.produces and exports bituminous coal in the United States.It operates through PAMC, CONSOL Marine Terminal, and Other segments.


The company engages in the mining, preparation, and marketing of bituminous coal to power generators, industrial end-users, and metallurgical end-users; and provision of coal export terminal services, as well as development of the Itmann Mine and the Greenfield reserves.It owns and operates the Pennsylvania Mining Complex (PAMC), which includes the Bailey Mine, the Enlow Fork Mine, the Harvey Mine, and the Central Preparation Plant; and CONSOL Marine Terminal located in the port of Baltimore.As of December 31, 2021, the company had 612.1 million tons of proven and probable coal reserves at PAMC.


It also owns approximately 1.4 billion tons of Greenfield reserves located in the Northern Appalachian, Central Appalachian, and Illinois basins.The company was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.

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1.b. Last Insights on CEIX

Here is a 90-word analysis of the negative drivers behind Consol Energy's recent stock performance: CONSOL Energy's stock has been negatively impacted by the pending merger with Arch Resources, which has led to uncertainty and volatility. The acquisition, expected to be completed soon, may divert attention from CONSOL's core operations. Additionally, investors are cautious about the integration process and potential cost synergies. Furthermore, the company's recent rating upgrade to Strong Buy may have already been priced in, leaving limited upside potential. The investigation into the proposed sale of Arch Resources by Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC may also be weighing on investor sentiment.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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Consol Energy: Demand Resilience Against General Opinion Meets Low-Cost Producer With Multi-Year Contracts

Jan -14

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Arch Resources and CONSOL Energy Announce Stockholder Approvals in Respect of Pending Merger

Jan -09

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Maplebear Set to Join S&P MidCap 400; Enovis to Join S&P SmallCap 600

Jan -07

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This Warren Buffett Disciple Dumped Arch Coal for These 2 Stocks Instead

Jan -06

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Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in CONSOL Energy (CEIX) Stock?

Jan -02

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Is Consol Energy (CEIX) Stock Outpacing Its Oils-Energy Peers This Year?

Dec -30

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All You Need to Know About Consol Energy (CEIX) Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy

Dec -10

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ARCH RESOURCES INVESTOR ALERT by the Former Attorney General of Louisiana: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Arch Resources, Inc. - ARCH

Dec -06

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (4.59%)

6. Segments

Pennsylvania Mining Complex

Expected Growth: 4.63%

CONSOL Energy's Pennsylvania Mining Complex growth is driven by increasing demand for metallurgical coal, strategic location enabling low-cost transportation, and operational efficiencies from longwall mining. Additionally, the complex's high-quality coal reserves and proximity to export markets support growth. These factors contribute to the 4.63% growth rate.

CONSOL Marine Terminal

Expected Growth: 4.83%

CONSOL Marine Terminal's 4.83% growth is driven by increasing demand for coal exports, strategic location on the Ohio River, and investments in infrastructure expansion. Additionally, growing metallurgical coal demand from Asian markets and CONSOL Energy's focus on operational efficiency contribute to the terminal's growth.

Other, Corporate and Eliminations

Expected Growth: 3.5%

For CONSOL Energy Inc., the 3.5% growth in Other, Corporate and Eliminations segments is driven by increased coal demand, improved operational efficiency, and cost savings initiatives. Additionally, strategic investments in growth projects and a favorable pricing environment contribute to this growth.

7. Detailed Products

Thermal Coal

CONSOL Energy Inc. produces high-quality thermal coal used for electricity generation and industrial applications.

Metallurgical Coal

CONSOL Energy Inc. produces metallurgical coal used in steel production and other industrial applications.

Natural Gas

CONSOL Energy Inc. explores, develops, and produces natural gas from its Appalachian Basin assets.

Coal Bed Methane (CBM)

CONSOL Energy Inc. produces coal bed methane, a type of natural gas, from its coal deposits.

Land and Mineral Management

CONSOL Energy Inc. manages and leases its land and mineral assets for oil and gas exploration and production.

8. CONSOL Energy Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

CONSOL Energy Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes due to the availability of alternative energy sources such as solar and wind power.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

CONSOL Energy Inc. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

CONSOL Energy Inc. relies on a few major suppliers for equipment and services, giving them moderate bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The energy industry has high barriers to entry, making it difficult for new entrants to compete with CONSOL Energy Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The energy industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share, leading to a high intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 13.65%
Debt Cost 12.84%
Equity Weight 86.35%
Equity Cost 12.84%
WACC 12.84%
Leverage 15.80%

11. Quality Control: CONSOL Energy Inc. passed 8 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Alliance Resource Partners

A-Score: 7.4/10

Value: 8.6

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 8.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Natural Resource Partners

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 7.7

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Chord Energy

A-Score: 6.5/10

Value: 8.1

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 6.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Arch Resources

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 4.3

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Peabody Energy

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 3.8

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CONSOL Energy

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 4.9

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

84.16$

Current Price

84.16$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows