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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a cloud computing platform in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally.Its platform provides on-demand infrastructure and platform tools for developers, start-ups, and small and medium size businesses.The company offers infrastructure solutions across compute, storage, and networking, as well as enables developers to extend the native capabilities of its cloud with fully managed application, container, and database offerings.


Its users include software engineers, researchers, data scientists, system administrators, students, and hobbyists.The company's customers use its platform in various industry verticals and for a range of use cases, such as web and mobile applications, website hosting, e-commerce, media and gaming, personal web projects, managed services, and others.DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.


was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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1.b. Last Insights on DOCN

Breaking News: DigitalOcean Holdings Inc has been gaining attention for its AI infrastructure. The company has delivered significant investor gains. It trades at an attractive valuation with strong growth expectations. The recent focus on AI infrastructure suggests potential for further growth. Some analysts recommend buying the stock hand over fist due to its growth prospects. The company is seen as a smaller rival to Oracle but has outperformed it. Its valuation is considered attractive. A recent news article highlights the stock as a red hot AI infrastructure stock.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. DigitalOcean's Strong Q4 Earnings: A Durable Growth Engine

DigitalOcean reported a robust Q4 with 18% revenue growth, reaching $201 million, and $901 million for the full year. The company's adjusted EBITDA margins stood at 42%, and adjusted free cash flow margins at 19%. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.2436, below estimates of $0.38. The company's ARR reached $133 million, growing 123% year-over-year, driven by its 1 million customers. AI customer ARR stood at $120 million, a 150% year-over-year growth, making up 12% of total ARR.

Publication Date: Feb -25

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue & Growth:: Q4 revenue growth of 18% ($901M annualized), with 21% full-year 2026 growth expected, rising to 30% in 2027.
  • AI Customer Performance:: AI ARR reached $120M (+150% YoY), 12% of total ARR, with 70% from inference services, not just GPU rentals.
  • Profitability & Margins:: 42% adjusted EBITDA margins and 19% adjusted free cash flow margins in 2025, with 36–38% EBITDA margins projected for 2026.
  • Capacity & Infrastructure:: 31 megawatts of new capacity to launch by 2026, enabling 25%+ exit growth in 2026 and 30% in 2027, supported by NVIDIA/AMD GPU fleet and open-source model optimization.
  • Customer Base Shift:: 1M+ customers grew ARR at 123% YoY, with 50% of $1M+ low-churn customers now AI-focused, reflecting maturation beyond entry-level users.

Growth Prospects

The company expects to deliver 21% revenue growth in 2026, reaching 25% plus growth by Q4 2026, and 30% growth in 2027. This growth is driven by its focus on AI native companies, with traction from leading AI native companies like character.ai, workato, and Hippocratic AI. As Padmanabhan Srinivasan mentioned, "We're on the right side of software disruption, driven by AI, with cloud and AI native companies choosing us as their natural platform to build and scale their software."

Valuation

DigitalOcean's valuation metrics indicate a relatively high price-to-sales ratio of 6.37, and an EV/EBITDA ratio of 14.83. The company's P/E Ratio stands at 22.14, suggesting that the market has priced in a certain level of growth. With a return on equity (ROE) of -214.15%, the company's profitability is a concern. However, the company's net debt to EBITDA ratio is 1.14, indicating a manageable debt burden.

AI Customer Revenue Growth

The company is introducing a new metric, AI customer revenue, which includes revenue from customers using its AI products. In Q4 2025, AI customer ARR reached $120 million, growing 150% year-over-year. This growth is driven by the company's ability to support production-scale inferencing, with 70% of this revenue coming from inference services or general-purpose cloud products.

Capacity Expansion

The company is expanding its capacity, with 31 megawatts coming online by the end of 2026. This expansion is expected to drive revenue growth, with Matt Steinfort explaining that the capacity additions will provide a significant boost to revenue growth. The company's focus on unit economics and responsible capacity expansion is expected to drive long-term growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Meet the Red-Hot Artificial Intelligence (AI) Infrastructure Stock That Has Crushed Oracle With 115% Gains in a Year. It Is Still Worth Buying Hand Over Fist.

Mar -22

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DigitalOcean: The Profitable Alternative In The AI Infrastructure Space

Mar -19

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Why DigitalOcean Stock Soared on Wednesday

Mar -18

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Goldman Sachs Sees a "Flight to Quality" in Artificial Intelligence (AI). This Stock Fits the Bill for 2026.

Mar -14

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Brokerages Set DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DOCN) Target Price at $69.23

Mar -09

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5 AI Stocks Wall Street Is Still Missing

Mar -06

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DNB Asset Management AS Acquires New Stake in DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. $DOCN

Mar -04

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DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. (DOCN) Presents at Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference 2026 Transcript

Mar -03

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (13.00%)

6. Segments

Cloud Computing Platform

Expected Growth: 13%

DigitalOcean's 13% growth in Cloud Computing Platform is driven by increasing adoption of cloud infrastructure among SMBs, expansion into new markets, and growing demand for scalable and affordable cloud solutions. Additionally, the company's focus on simplicity, ease of use, and customer support has contributed to its growth, as well as its competitive pricing strategy and strategic partnerships.

7. Detailed Products

Droplets

Virtual private servers that provide scalable computing resources for a variety of use cases, including web development, data analytics, and more.

Kubernetes

A managed container orchestration service that automates the deployment, scaling, and management of containerized applications.

Object Storage

A scalable and durable storage solution for storing and serving large amounts of unstructured data, such as images, videos, and files.

Block Storage

A high-performance storage solution for applications that require low-latency and high-throughput storage, such as databases and file systems.

Load Balancers

A scalable and highly available load balancing solution that distributes traffic across multiple instances or regions.

Firewalls

A network security solution that provides inbound and outbound traffic filtering, ensuring secure access to resources and applications.

VPC

A virtual private cloud solution that provides isolated and secure networking for applications and resources.

Marketplace

A platform that provides pre-configured and optimized 1-click applications, including popular open-source software and frameworks.

API

A programmatic interface for automating and integrating DigitalOcean services and resources.

8. DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes due to the presence of alternative cloud computing services from established players like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. has a large customer base, but individual customers do not have significant bargaining power due to the company's competitive pricing and flexible pricing plans.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. has a diversified supplier base, and no single supplier has significant bargaining power over the company.

Threat Of New Entrants

The cloud computing market is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily enter the market, posing a significant threat to DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.'s market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The cloud computing market is highly competitive, with established players like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform, leading to a high intensity of rivalry for DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 123.38%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight -23.38%
Equity Cost 13.10%
WACC 1.81%
Leverage -527.74%

11. Quality Control: DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. passed 6 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
DigitalOcean

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 9.2

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Robinhood Markets

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 0.3

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Tenable

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 4.3

Growth: 7.7

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 6.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Toast

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 0.9

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
HashiCorp

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 3.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 5.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Affirm

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 0.7

Growth: 9.1

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

86.02$

Current Price

86.02$

Potential

0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows