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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Five Point Holdings, LLC, through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, owns and develops mixed-use and planned communities in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County.The company operates in four segments: Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Commercial.It sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers; operates and owns a commercial office, medical campus, and other properties; and provides development and property management services.


The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016.Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on FPH

Five Point Holdings, LLC's recent performance was positively driven by its Q3 2025 earnings call, which highlighted the company's strong operational progress. The company announced a proposed offering of $450.0 million of senior notes due 2030, which will be guaranteed by Five Point Operating Company, LP and Five Point Capital Corp. This move aims to optimize its capital structure and reduce interest expenses. Additionally, the company's cash tender offer for its 10.500% Initial Rate Senior Notes due 2028 was well-received, reflecting investors' confidence in the company's financial health.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Five Point Holdings' Q3 Earnings: A Strong Performance Amidst Strategic Growth Initiatives

Five Point Holdings reported a consolidated net income of $55.7 million for Q3, driven by the strong performance of its Great Park Venture, which sold 326 homesites for $257.7 million, resulting in net income of $201.6 million. The company's share of these earnings was $69.5 million. For the nine months ended September 30, the company recognized $124 million of net income, comprising equity and earnings from unconsolidated entities, including $157.1 million from the Great Park Venture. The earnings per share (EPS) came in at -$0.07, missing estimates of $0.12.

Publication Date: Nov -12

📋 Highlights
  • Q3 Net Income Surge: Consolidated net income reached $55.7M, driven by $201.6M net income from 326 homesite sales at Great Park Venture.
  • Hearthstone Acquisition & Debt Refinancing: Acquired 75% stake in Hearthstone for $57.6M and issued $450M in 8% senior notes to redeem $523.5M of 10.5% debt, improving credit ratings to B2 (Moody’s).
  • Liquidity Strengthened: Total liquidity of $47.6M, including $351.1M cash and $125M borrowing availability, post-transaction adjustments.
  • Strategic Growth Outlook: Anticipates $216M in Great Park Venture distributions and expects 2025 net income near $176.3M, with Hearthstone’s $1M segment profit to grow by year-end.
  • Book Value Correction: Clarified book value per share at ~$15.50 ($2.2–2.3B equity ÷ 149M shares), exceeding prior $8–$10 estimate.

Strategic Acquisition and Capital Structure

The company made significant strides in strengthening its capital structure and positioning itself for long-term growth. It acquired a 75% ownership interest in Hearthstone Residential Holdings for $57.6 million, issued $450 million in new 8% senior notes due 2030, and repurchased its prior $523.5 million senior notes due 2028. Moody's upgraded the company's corporate credit rating and senior notes rating to B2, underscoring its financial resilience. The acquisition of Hearthstone is expected to drive growth, with the company already seeing meaningful discussions to expand assets under management.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a Price-to-Book Ratio of 0.2 and a Price-to-Sales Ratio of 2.23, the market appears to be pricing in a relatively conservative valuation. Analysts estimate revenue growth of 10.9% for next year, suggesting a positive outlook. The company's Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 19.07%, indicating a strong ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The Free Cash Flow Yield is 34.79%, suggesting a significant potential for returns. As the company continues to execute its strategic priorities, it is well-positioned for long-term growth and value creation.

Operational Highlights and Outlook

The company remains cautiously optimistic about the market, expecting a gradual rebound in home sales activity as mortgage rates normalize. The acquisition of Hearthstone Residential Holdings is seen as a significant milestone, providing an established national platform for capital solutions to homebuilders. The company's underwriting discipline is considered one of the best in the industry, with no issues expected with existing contracts. As the company navigates the current market landscape, it is focused on optimizing the value of its home sites, maintaining a lean operating structure, and pursuing selective growth opportunities.

3. NewsRoom

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Third Avenue Management Exits Deutsche Bank AG, Impacting Portfolio by -6.22%

Nov -14

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Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Oct -30

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Five Point Announces Expiration and Results of Cash Tender Offer for Any and All Outstanding 10.500% Initial Rate Senior Notes Due 2028

Sep -20

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Five Point Announces Pricing Terms of Cash Tender Offer for Any and All Outstanding 10.500% Initial Rate Senior Notes Due 2028

Sep -19

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Five Point Announces Proposed Offering of $450.0 Million of Senior Notes by Five Point Operating Company, LP

Sep -15

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Five Point Announces Cash Tender Offer for Any and All Outstanding 10.500% Initial Rate Senior Notes Due 2028

Sep -15

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Five Point Q2 Revenue Drops 85 Percent

Jul -25

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Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Jul -25

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.45%)

6. Segments

Great Park

Expected Growth: 6.37%

Great Park's 6.37% growth is driven by increasing demand for housing in Irvine, California, fueled by job growth, limited supply, and proximity to major employers. The master-planned community's amenities, schools, and outdoor spaces also attract families and young professionals, contributing to its growth.

Reconciling Items

Expected Growth: 7.05%

Five Point Holdings, LLC's 7.05% growth is driven by increasing demand for master-planned communities, strategic land acquisitions, and effective cost management. Additionally, the company's focus on high-growth markets, such as California and Florida, contributes to its growth. Furthermore, the company's ability to deliver high-quality homes and amenities, resulting in strong sales and revenue growth, also supports its growth momentum.

Valencia

Expected Growth: 4.65%

Valencia's 4.65% growth is driven by increasing demand for new homes in California, fueled by job growth, low unemployment, and limited housing supply. Additionally, Five Point Holdings' strategic land banking and entitlement process, as well as its focus on community development, contribute to the segment's growth.

Commercial

Expected Growth: 6.48%

Strong demand for residential and commercial properties in California, driven by job growth, limited housing supply, and favorable demographics. Five Point Holdings' strategic land holdings and entitlements in high-growth areas, such as San Francisco and Los Angeles, position the company for continued growth. Additionally, the company's focus on mixed-use development and master-planned communities enhances its growth potential.

San Francisco

Expected Growth: 4.65%

San Francisco's growth is driven by Five Point Holdings' strategic land acquisition and development in high-demand areas, coupled with the region's thriving tech industry, limited housing supply, and strong job market. Additionally, the city's desirability and proximity to Silicon Valley attract high-income earners, fueling demand for luxury housing and driving growth.

7. Detailed Products

New Home Sales

Five Point Holdings, LLC develops and sells new homes in master-planned communities, offering a range of residential products, including single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums.

Land Development

The company acquires, develops, and sells land to homebuilders, providing a range of lot sizes and product types to meet the needs of various builders and buyers.

Commercial Development

Five Point Holdings, LLC develops and sells commercial properties, including retail, office, and industrial spaces, within its master-planned communities.

Resort and Hospitality

The company develops and operates resort-style amenities, including hotels, golf courses, and recreational facilities, within its master-planned communities.

Land Banking

Five Point Holdings, LLC acquires and holds land for future development, providing a strategic pipeline of opportunities for future growth.

8. Five Point Holdings, LLC's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Five Point Holdings, LLC is medium due to the availability of alternative land development companies and homebuilders in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Five Point Holdings, LLC is low due to the company's strong brand reputation and limited alternatives for customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Five Point Holdings, LLC is medium due to the company's dependence on a few key suppliers for materials and services.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Five Point Holdings, LLC is high due to the relatively low barriers to entry in the land development and homebuilding industry.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Five Point Holdings, LLC is high due to the competitive nature of the land development and homebuilding industry, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 50.13%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 49.87%
Equity Cost 11.02%
WACC 7.47%
Leverage 100.52%

11. Quality Control: Five Point Holdings, LLC passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Ellington Financial

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 3.0

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Saul Centers

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 3.6

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CTO Realty Growth

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
American Assets Trust

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Five Point Holdings

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 7.3

Growth: 7.0

Quality: 5.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Belpointe PREP

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

5.82$

Current Price

5.82$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows