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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Guardant Health, Inc., a precision oncology company, provides blood tests, data sets, and analytics in the United States and internationally.The company offers Guardant360, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 CDx, and GuardantOMNI liquid biopsy-based tests for advanced stage cancer; and GuardantINFORM, an in-silico research platform that comprise a clinical-genomic liquid biopsy dataset of advanced cancer patients.It is also developing LUNAR-2 test for the early detection of colorectal cancer in asymptomatic individuals eligible; and GuardantConnect, an integrated software-based solution for clinical and biopharmaceutical customers seeking to connect patients tested with the Guardant360 assay with actionable alterations with potentially relevant clinical trials.


In addition, the company offers Guardant Reveal Test for neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment selection in early-stage cancer patients; Guardant360 tissue genotyping product; and Guardant-19 for use in the detection of the novel coronavirus.Further, it offers development services, including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, and kits fulfillment related services to biopharmaceutical companies and medical institutions.The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on GH

Breaking News: Guardant Health Inc reported a quarterly loss of $0.5 per share for Q4 2025, beating revenue estimates with $281.3 million in total revenue, a 39% increase from the same period in 2024. Oncology revenue was $189.9 million, up 30%, with approximately 79,000 oncology tests. The company reported a loss per share wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.42. Guardant Health provides 2026 outlook. Analyst Li Lu has a new position in CROX. No recommendation on GH is provided by available sources.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Guardant Health's Strong Q4 2025 Earnings: A Closer Look

Guardant Health delivered a robust Q4 2025, with total revenue increasing 39% to $281.3 million, and oncology revenue rising 30% to $189.9 million. The company's non-GAAP gross margin improved to 66% in Q4, up from 63% in the prior year. For the full year, total revenue grew 33% to $982.0 million, with oncology revenue increasing 26% to $683.6 million. The actual EPS came out at '-0.5' relative to estimates at '-0.42'. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 28.1%.

Publication Date: Feb -22

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth: Q4 revenue reached $281M (+39% YoY), with full-year revenue hitting $982M (+33% YoY).
  • Oncology Expansion: Oncology revenue grew 30% to $190M in Q4, with 79,000 tests (+38% YoY) and 30% growth in Guardant360 liquid volumes.
  • Shield Screening Success: Shield generated $35M in Q4 from 38,000 tests (ASP $850), with gross margins improving to 52% from negative levels at launch.
  • Biopharma/Data Momentum: Biopharma and data revenue rose 18% to $210M in FY2025, with 25 companion diagnostic approvals globally.
  • 2026 Guidance: Projects $1.25–1.28B revenue (+27–30% growth), driven by 25–27% oncology revenue growth and 162–174M screening revenue from 210K–225K tests.

Revenue Growth Drivers

The company's oncology business continued to drive growth, with Guardant360 liquid volumes increasing nearly 30%, and Reveal being the fastest-growing oncology product. The Smart Platform is driving a step change in oncology volumes, with new applications and Medicare reimbursement for CRC surveillance contributing to the growth. The data business also delivered strong results, with biopharma and data revenue growing 18% to $210.1 million.

Shield's Extraordinary Growth

Shield, the company's blood-based screening test, has delivered extraordinary growth since its launch, with $35 million in testing revenue in Q4, driven by approximately 38,000 tests. According to AmirAli Talasaz, "Shield is the most successful diagnostic launch in history outside of COVID testing and is positioned to be a significant multiyear growth driver." The company expects Shield revenue to be in the range of $162 million to $174 million in 2026, driven by 210,000 to 225,000 tests.

Valuation and Outlook

With a P/S Ratio of 13.64 and an EV/EBITDA of -40.24, the market is pricing in significant growth expectations for Guardant Health. The company's guidance for 2026 revenue growth of 27% to 30% is in line with analyst estimates. As the company continues to invest in R&D and expand its commercial infrastructure, it's well-positioned to drive long-term growth. The recent acquisition of MetaSight Diagnostics and the launch of a direct-to-consumer pilot for Shield are expected to contribute to the company's growth momentum.

Operational Highlights

The company is making progress in its regulatory strategy, with a potential FDA submission for ADLT pricing in the second half of 2026. The passage of the MCED legislation is a positive development for the field, and Guardant Health is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for MCED tests. With a strong track record of innovation and a robust pipeline, Guardant Health is poised for continued growth and success.

3. NewsRoom

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Guardant Health, Inc. $GH Shares Acquired by Assetmark Inc.

Feb -21

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Guardant Health, Inc. (GH) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Feb -20

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Compared to Estimates, Guardant Health (GH) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

Feb -20

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Guardant Health (GH) Reports Q4 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates

Feb -20

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Market Today: Amazon Overtakes Walmart; Blue Owl Rattles Credit; FDA Eyes Moderna Flu Shot

Feb -19

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Guardant Health Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results and Provides 2026 Outlook

Feb -19

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Guardant Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:GH) Receives Consensus Rating of “Moderate Buy” from Analysts

Feb -14

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Analyzing Profit Zones For Walmart, Quanta Services And Guardant Health Ahead Of Earnings | IBD

Feb -13

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (14.35%)

6. Segments

Precision Oncology Testing

Expected Growth: 14.0%

Guardant Health's Precision Oncology Testing growth is driven by increasing adoption of liquid biopsies, rising demand for non-invasive cancer diagnostics, and growing use of biomarkers in personalized medicine. Additionally, expanding reimbursement coverage, strategic partnerships, and investments in R&D are fueling growth, with a 14.0% growth rate.

Development Services and Other

Expected Growth: 18.0%

Guardant Health's Development Services and Other segment growth of 18.0% is driven by increasing demand for its non-invasive genomic testing and analytics services, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Additionally, the company's investments in digital health and artificial intelligence are enhancing its service offerings, contributing to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Guardant360

A comprehensive liquid biopsy test that analyzes circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to detect cancer mutations in the blood.

GuardantOMNI

A comprehensive liquid biopsy test that analyzes ctDNA to detect cancer mutations in the blood, with a broader gene panel than Guardant360.

LUNAR-1

A non-invasive, early cancer detection test that analyzes ctDNA in the blood to detect cancer at an early stage.

LUNAR-2

A non-invasive, early cancer detection test that analyzes ctDNA in the blood to detect cancer at an early stage, with a focus on multi-cancer detection.

Dx

A liquid biopsy test that analyzes ctDNA in the blood to detect cancer mutations, with a focus on companion diagnostics and clinical trials.

8. Guardant Health, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Guardant Health, Inc. has a low threat of substitutes due to its unique liquid biopsy technology and strong patent portfolio, making it difficult for competitors to replicate its products.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Guardant Health, Inc. has a medium bargaining power of customers due to the presence of a few large customers, but the company's products are highly specialized and critical to patient care, limiting the customers' bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Guardant Health, Inc. has a low bargaining power of suppliers due to its ability to negotiate prices with suppliers and its diversified supply chain, reducing dependence on any single supplier.

Threat Of New Entrants

Guardant Health, Inc. has a high threat of new entrants due to the growing demand for liquid biopsy and the increasing interest in the field, making it attractive for new companies to enter the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

Guardant Health, Inc. operates in a competitive market, but its strong brand recognition, patented technology, and established customer base help to mitigate the intensity of rivalry.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 88.04%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 11.96%
Equity Cost 8.55%
WACC 4.50%
Leverage 736.00%

11. Quality Control: Guardant Health, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Guardant Health

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 4.7

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Exact Sciences

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 6.0

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Sotera Health

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 1.1

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 4.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Revvity

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 2.9

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Illumina

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 2.6

Growth: 2.8

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Neogen

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 9.0

Growth: 1.3

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

101.08$

Current Price

101.08$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows