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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Inseego Corp.engages in the design and development of fixed and mobile wireless solutions, industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), and cloud solutions for large enterprise verticals, service providers, small and medium-sized businesses, governments, and consumers worldwide.The company provides wireless 4G and 5G hardware products, including private LTE/5G networks, First responders network authority/Firstnet, SD-WAN, telematics, remote monitoring and surveillance, and fixed wireless access and mobile broadband devices.


Its products include 4G and 5G fixed wireless routers and gateways, mobile hotspots, and wireless gateways and routers for IIoT applications; and Gb speed 4G LTE hotspots and USB modems, integrated telematics, and mobile tracking hardware devices, which are supported by applications software and cloud services designed to enable customers to analyze data insights and configure/manage their hardware remotely.In addition, the company sells software-as-a-service (SaaS), software, and services solutions in various mobile and IIoT vertical markets comprising fleet management, vehicle telematics, stolen vehicle recovery, asset tracking, monitoring, business connectivity, and subscription management.Its SaaS delivery platforms include telematics, asset tracking, and management platforms which provide fleet, vehicle, aviation, asset, and other telematics applications; and Inseego Subscribe, a hosted SaaS platform that helps organizations in managing the selection, deployment, and spend of their customers wireless assets by helping them to save money on personnel and telecom expenses.


Inseego Corp.was founded in 1996 and is based in San Diego, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on INSG

Inseego Corp.'s recent performance was negatively impacted by a lack of carrier promotions and weakness in Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) ahead of new product introductions later this year. The company's Q1 2025 sales were within the guidance range, but profitability outperformed expectations due to favorable revenue mix and strong cost controls. Revenues were also negatively affected by the resumption of bonus payments, which resulted in a cash outlay of $4.5 million during the quarter.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Inseego Corp's Q3 2025 Earnings: A Strong Quarter with Growth Momentum

Inseego Corp reported a robust third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $45.9 million and adjusted EBITDA of $5.8 million, both exceeding guidance and marking the second consecutive quarter of sequential growth. The company's gross margin stood at 41.8%, reflecting a favorable product mix year-over-year, particularly in its FWA business. However, the earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.12, below the estimated $0.28.

Publication Date: Nov -26

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue & EBITDA Beat Guidance: Q3 revenue of $45.9M and adjusted EBITDA of $5.8M exceeded forecasts, reflecting sequential growth for two consecutive quarters.
  • FWA Portfolio Expansion: Launched FX4200 to elevate TAM and create a premium tier, enhancing market opportunities while maintaining reliability.
  • Inseego Connect Growth: New software release expanded SaaS attach opportunities, supporting recurring revenue and carrier network management scalability.
  • Leadership & Debt Reduction: Added C-level executives and board members; reduced $130M in debt over the past year, strengthening financial flexibility.
  • 2026 Growth Outlook: Anticipates FWA and MiFi volume growth, leveraging domestic supply chain advantages and FCC-driven demand against foreign competition.

Revenue Growth Drivers

The FWA business was the primary driver of growth, with the FX4100 and the newly introduced premium FX4200, which expands the company's Total Addressable Market (TAM). As Juho Sarvikas, CEO, highlighted, "Inseego's FWA business drove growth with the FX4100 and expanded its portfolio with the premium FX4200, which extends the company's Total Addressable Market (TAM)." This growth is expected to continue, with the company guiding for sequential revenue growth in Q4 2025.

Software Services Revenue and Margin Expectations

Software services revenue is expected to remain consistent at approximately $12 million. However, non-GAAP gross margin is expected to be modestly lower in Q4 2025 due to a greater proportion of mobile hotspot revenue, consistent with historical levels in the high 30s on a percentage basis.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/S Ratio of 0.98 and an expected revenue growth of 13.5% next year, the stock appears to be reasonably valued. However, the P/E Ratio stands at -151.56, largely due to the EPS miss. The company's ROE (%) is 9.63%, and ROIC (%) is 11.84%, indicating a decent return on equity and invested capital. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is -6.88, reflecting the company's strong balance sheet and reduced debt.

Outlook and Opportunities

Inseego is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for FWA and is expected to benefit from its diversified revenue streams and channels. The company's Inseego Connect solution is also expected to drive growth, with the potential to establish partnerships with new carriers. As Juho Sarvikas noted, "We're excited to establish partnerships with new carriers." With a strong leadership team in place, Inseego is poised to drive significant share gains and continue to grow its MiFi and FWA businesses.

3. NewsRoom

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Inseego to Ring The Nasdaq Stock Market Closing Bell on Monday, December 8, 2025

Dec -04

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Wireless Broadband Leader Inseego Provides 5G FWA for the Kajeet SmartFailover Service

Dec -03

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Inseego Corp. (INSG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -07

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Inseego (INSG) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Nov -07

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Inseego (INSG) Lags Q3 Earnings Estimates

Nov -07

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Inseego Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Nov -06

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Inseego Strengthens Board of Directors with Experienced Operational Leaders in Carrier, AI, and SaaS

Nov -03

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NexQloud Technologies Appoints Robert Barbieri as Chief Executive Officer to Accelerate Next Growth Phase

Oct -31

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (11.26%)

6. Segments

Mobile Solutions

Expected Growth: 11.7%

Inseego Corp.'s Mobile Solutions segment growth of 11.7% is driven by increasing demand for IoT and 5G-enabled devices, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, such as its cloud-based device management platform, and growing adoption of remote work and digital transformation initiatives also contribute to its growth.

Services and Other

Expected Growth: 9.95%

Inseego Corp.'s Services and Other segment growth of 9.95% is driven by increasing demand for IoT and telematics solutions, expansion of managed services, and growth in SaaS-based offerings. Additionally, strategic partnerships and acquisitions have contributed to the segment's growth, along with the company's focus on innovation and R&D investments.

Fixed Wireless Access Solutions

Expected Growth: 12.05%

Inseego Corp.'s Fixed Wireless Access Solutions growth is driven by increasing demand for high-speed, low-latency connectivity, 5G network deployments, and government initiatives for rural broadband expansion. Additionally, the need for reliable, cost-effective alternatives to traditional fiber-based networks and the growing adoption of IoT devices are contributing to the 12.05% growth.

7. Detailed Products

MiFi 8000

A mobile hotspot device that provides fast and reliable internet connectivity on-the-go

Skyus 160

A high-performance, industrial-grade LTE router designed for IoT and M2M applications

FX200

A 5G NR mobile hotspot device that provides high-speed internet connectivity for up to 32 devices

Skyus DS 200

A dual-SIM, industrial-grade LTE router designed for IoT and M2M applications

MiFi X PRO 9020

A high-performance, mobile hotspot device that provides fast and reliable internet connectivity for up to 20 devices

8. Inseego Corp.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Inseego Corp. operates in the IoT and mobile broadband industries, where substitutes are limited. However, the increasing adoption of 5G technology and the growing demand for IoT devices may lead to the development of new substitutes, posing a moderate threat to the company.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Inseego Corp. has a diverse customer base, including telecommunications operators, enterprises, and consumers. The company's products and services are critical to its customers' operations, reducing their bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Inseego Corp. relies on a few key suppliers for components and manufacturing services. While the company has some bargaining power due to its size and reputation, suppliers may still exert some pressure on prices and delivery terms.

Threat Of New Entrants

The IoT and mobile broadband industries are rapidly evolving, with new entrants emerging regularly. Inseego Corp. faces a high threat from new entrants, particularly from companies with strong technological capabilities and innovative products.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The IoT and mobile broadband industries are highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Inseego Corp. faces intense rivalry from companies like Sierra Wireless, Cradlepoint, and Netgear, among others.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 260.59%
Debt Cost 5.21%
Equity Weight -160.59%
Equity Cost 9.86%
WACC -2.24%
Leverage -162.27%

11. Quality Control: Inseego Corp. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
NETGEAR

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 3.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Franklin Wireless

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 7.8

Growth: 3.8

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 5.3

1-Year Total Return ->

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Extreme Networks

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 1.8

Growth: 5.1

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ADTRAN Holdings

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 2.4

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Lantronix

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 6.1

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Inseego

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 5.7

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 6.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

11.76$

Current Price

11.76$

Potential

0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows