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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Inseego Corp.engages in the design and development of fixed and mobile wireless solutions, industrial Internet of Things (IIoT), and cloud solutions for large enterprise verticals, service providers, small and medium-sized businesses, governments, and consumers worldwide.The company provides wireless 4G and 5G hardware products, including private LTE/5G networks, First responders network authority/Firstnet, SD-WAN, telematics, remote monitoring and surveillance, and fixed wireless access and mobile broadband devices.


Its products include 4G and 5G fixed wireless routers and gateways, mobile hotspots, and wireless gateways and routers for IIoT applications; and Gb speed 4G LTE hotspots and USB modems, integrated telematics, and mobile tracking hardware devices, which are supported by applications software and cloud services designed to enable customers to analyze data insights and configure/manage their hardware remotely.In addition, the company sells software-as-a-service (SaaS), software, and services solutions in various mobile and IIoT vertical markets comprising fleet management, vehicle telematics, stolen vehicle recovery, asset tracking, monitoring, business connectivity, and subscription management.Its SaaS delivery platforms include telematics, asset tracking, and management platforms which provide fleet, vehicle, aviation, asset, and other telematics applications; and Inseego Subscribe, a hosted SaaS platform that helps organizations in managing the selection, deployment, and spend of their customers wireless assets by helping them to save money on personnel and telecom expenses.


Inseego Corp.was founded in 1996 and is based in San Diego, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on INSG

Inseego Corp.'s recent performance was negatively impacted by a lack of carrier promotions and weakness in Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) ahead of new product introductions later this year. The company's Q1 2025 sales were within the guidance range, but profitability outperformed expectations due to favorable revenue mix and strong cost controls. Revenues were also negatively affected by the resumption of bonus payments, which resulted in a cash outlay of $4.5 million during the quarter.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Inseego Corp's Q4 2025 Earnings Exceed Guidance

Inseego Corp.'s Q4 2025 revenue was $48.4 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $6 million, both exceeding guidance. The company's revenue base is now more diversified, driven by a broader product range and increased customer diversity. For the full year 2025, total revenue was $166.2 million, with non-GAAP gross margin of 43%. The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $6 million, representing a 12.4% margin. The company's actual EPS for Q4 2025 came out at $0.12, beating estimates of $0.07.

Publication Date: Mar -08

📋 Highlights
  • Q4 2025 Revenue & EBITDA Beat Guidance: Revenue $48.4M, adjusted EBITDA $6M (12.4% margin), both exceeding guidance for third consecutive growth quarter.
  • Mobile Revenue Surges 27%: Sequential mobile revenue rose to $20.4M, driven by carrier stock volumes and channel activity.
  • Expanded Tier 1 Carrier Footprint: Secured FX4200 FWA contracts with AT&T and Verizon, joining T-Mobile.
  • Capital Structure Optimization: Retired 100% of preferred stock at 38% discount, with $24.9M cash and $41M debt balance (2x LTM adjusted EBITDA).
  • 2026 Revenue Growth Outlook: Full-year guidance targets $190M revenue, with sequential ramp to $50M+ quarterly revenue in 2026.

Revenue Growth and Diversification

The company's revenue growth was driven by a 27% sequential increase in mobile revenue to $20.4 million, driven by higher carrier stock volumes and channel activity. Inseego secured FX4200 FWA awards with AT&T and Verizon, joining T-Mobile, and expanded its Tier 1 carrier footprint. The company's diversified customer base and product portfolio are expected to drive growth in 2026.

Guidance and Outlook

For Q1 2026, the company expects total revenue in a range of $33 million to $36 million and adjusted EBITDA in a range of $1 million to $2 million. For the full year 2026, total revenue is expected to be approximately $190 million, representing a 13.6% growth from 2025. The company's guidance implies a significant step up in revenue, averaging out to $50 million a quarter.

Valuation and Metrics

The company's current valuation metrics include a P/E Ratio of 200.55, P/S Ratio of 1.08, and EV/EBITDA of 15.04. The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) is 9.8%, while its return on equity (ROE) is -9.51%. The net debt to EBITDA ratio is 1.74, indicating a relatively stable capital structure.

Growth Prospects

The company expects both mobile and FWA to grow on a revenue basis in 2026, with FWA having a larger TAM and growth potential. The MSO and distribution channel opportunities are expected to contribute to growth, with the company having made significant investments in products and cloud capabilities. Industry forecasts project North America enterprise FWA service revenue to grow at a 37% compound annual rate through 2030.

EBITDA Margin Expansion

The company's 2025 EBITDA margin was 12.1%, with plans to exit 2026 at higher levels. The growth profile for 2026 is expected to be in double digits, driven by investments in new product development and go-to-market capabilities. The company's software business, including Inseego Connect and subscriber life cycle management platform, is expected to provide additional growth opportunities.

3. NewsRoom

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Inseego (NASDAQ:INSG) Shares Pass Above 200-Day Moving Average – Here’s What Happened

Apr -08

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Analysts Set Inseego (NASDAQ:INSG) PT at $16.50

Apr -03

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Inseego Appoints Silvia Rocha-Espino as Head of People

Apr -01

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Insig AI surges 16% as CEO offers to invest at premium and company eyes Nasdaq listing

Apr -01

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Inseego CEO Pitches Turnaround at Roth Conference: More Carriers, FWA Push, Recurring Revenue Focus

Mar -26

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Inseego (NASDAQ:INSG) Receives $16.50 Consensus PT from Brokerages

Mar -09

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3 Defense Stocks Under $20 With Massive Upside

Mar -06

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Inseego Introduces MiFi® PRO M4, Redefining the Hotspot Category and Advancing Its Vision for the Managed Wireless Edge

Mar -02

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (11.26%)

6. Segments

Mobile Solutions

Expected Growth: 11.7%

Inseego Corp.'s Mobile Solutions segment growth of 11.7% is driven by increasing demand for IoT and 5G-enabled devices, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships. Additionally, the company's focus on innovation, such as its cloud-based device management platform, and growing adoption of remote work and digital transformation initiatives also contribute to its growth.

Services and Other

Expected Growth: 9.95%

Inseego Corp.'s Services and Other segment growth of 9.95% is driven by increasing demand for IoT and telematics solutions, expansion of managed services, and growth in SaaS-based offerings. Additionally, strategic partnerships and acquisitions have contributed to the segment's growth, along with the company's focus on innovation and R&D investments.

Fixed Wireless Access Solutions

Expected Growth: 12.05%

Inseego Corp.'s Fixed Wireless Access Solutions growth is driven by increasing demand for high-speed, low-latency connectivity, 5G network deployments, and government initiatives for rural broadband expansion. Additionally, the need for reliable, cost-effective alternatives to traditional fiber-based networks and the growing adoption of IoT devices are contributing to the 12.05% growth.

7. Detailed Products

MiFi 8000

A mobile hotspot device that provides fast and reliable internet connectivity on-the-go

Skyus 160

A high-performance, industrial-grade LTE router designed for IoT and M2M applications

FX200

A 5G NR mobile hotspot device that provides high-speed internet connectivity for up to 32 devices

Skyus DS 200

A dual-SIM, industrial-grade LTE router designed for IoT and M2M applications

MiFi X PRO 9020

A high-performance, mobile hotspot device that provides fast and reliable internet connectivity for up to 20 devices

8. Inseego Corp.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Inseego Corp. operates in the IoT and mobile broadband industries, where substitutes are limited. However, the increasing adoption of 5G technology and the growing demand for IoT devices may lead to the development of new substitutes, posing a moderate threat to the company.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Inseego Corp. has a diverse customer base, including telecommunications operators, enterprises, and consumers. The company's products and services are critical to its customers' operations, reducing their bargaining power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Inseego Corp. relies on a few key suppliers for components and manufacturing services. While the company has some bargaining power due to its size and reputation, suppliers may still exert some pressure on prices and delivery terms.

Threat Of New Entrants

The IoT and mobile broadband industries are rapidly evolving, with new entrants emerging regularly. Inseego Corp. faces a high threat from new entrants, particularly from companies with strong technological capabilities and innovative products.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The IoT and mobile broadband industries are highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Inseego Corp. faces intense rivalry from companies like Sierra Wireless, Cradlepoint, and Netgear, among others.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 260.59%
Debt Cost 5.21%
Equity Weight -160.59%
Equity Cost 9.86%
WACC -2.24%
Leverage -162.27%

11. Quality Control: Inseego Corp. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Franklin Wireless

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 6.7

Growth: 3.8

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 5.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Inseego

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 9.4

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Lantronix

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
NETGEAR

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 8.7

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 3.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Extreme Networks

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 2.1

Growth: 5.0

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 4.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ADTRAN Holdings

A-Score: 3.6/10

Value: 7.2

Growth: 3.4

Quality: 3.0

Yield: 1.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

13.91$

Current Price

13.91$

Potential

0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows