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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Kura Sushi USA, Inc.operates technology-enabled Japanese restaurants in the United States.The company's restaurants provide Japanese cuisine through an engaging revolving sushi service model, which is known as ‘Kura Experience'.


As of August 31, 2021, it operated 33 restaurants in nine states and Washington DC.The company was formerly known as Kula Sushi USA, Inc.and changed its name to Kura Sushi USA, Inc.


in October 2017.The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.Kura Sushi USA, Inc.


is a subsidiary of Kura Sushi, Inc.

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1.b. Last Insights on KRUS

Kura Sushi USA, Inc.'s recent performance was negatively impacted by increasing costs, although specifics are not detailed. However, the company reported strong Q4 earnings, with quarterly earnings of $0.2 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.17 per share. This represents a significant year-over-year increase from $0.09 per share. The company's management participated in investor conferences, potentially boosting investor confidence. No information on share buybacks, new product launches, or legal issues was available.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Kura Sushi USA's Q1 Earnings: A Closer Look at Performance and Growth Prospects

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. reported its fiscal first quarter 2026 earnings, with total sales of $73.5 million, representing a comparable sales growth of negative 2.5%. The company outperformed expectations, with a sequential improvement in sales at the end of the quarter that continued into November. Adjusted EBITDA was $2.4 million, compared to $3.6 million in the prior year quarter. The actual EPS came out at '-0.25266' relative to estimates at '-0.17'. Food and beverage costs as a percentage of sales were 29.9%, compared to 29% in the prior year quarter, due to tariffs on imported ingredients.

Publication Date: Jan -08

📋 Highlights
  • Decline in Comparable Sales Growth: Total sales of $73.5 million with comparable sales growth of -2.5%, though sequential improvement in sales was observed in November.
  • Cost Pressure from Tariffs: Food and beverage costs rose to 29.9% (from 29%), while labor costs slightly decreased to 32.5% (from 32.9%) in Q1 2026.
  • Aggressive Expansion Plans: Opened 4 new units in Q1, with 10 under construction, targeting 16 new units in 2026 to drive annual unit growth above 20%.
  • Robust Liquidity and Guidance: $78.5 million in cash and investments with no debt, and maintained FY 2026 sales guidance of $330–$334 million.
  • Margin and Labor Efficiency Goals: Achieved 18% restaurant-level operating profit margins, with 100 basis points of labor leverage expected from initiatives like touch panels and reservations systems.

Operational Highlights and Growth Initiatives

The company opened four new restaurants in the first quarter and currently has 10 restaurants under construction. Kura Sushi USA, Inc. expects to open 16 new units in fiscal 2026, maintaining an annual unit growth rate above 20%. The company plans to decouple its reservation system from its loyalty program to encourage more users and sees potential for increased reservations and sales growth. Management expects positive comps in Q2 2026, driven by improving trends in November and December.

Margin Pressures and Cost Management

Labor and related costs as a percentage of sales were 32.5%, compared to 32.9% in the prior year quarter. The company expects G&A expenses as a percentage of sales to be between 12-12.5% and full-year restaurant level operating profit margins to be approximately 18%. The company feels it has no further expectations to take price in fiscal 2026, and the flow-through from pricing taken in November is better than expected.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/S Ratio of 2.31 and an EV/EBITDA of 75.35, the market seems to be pricing in a certain level of growth for Kura Sushi USA. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 20.1%. Given the company's plans for expansion and its confidence in achieving flat to slightly positive comps for the full year, it's worth monitoring whether the company can meet these expectations. The company's long-term growth target of 100 units in the US remains unchanged, and its marketing efforts have been focused on social media and influencers, with a return on ad spend being exceptional.

Competitive Landscape and Future Plans

The company discussed the competitive environment, noting that independent competitors may be absorbing 300-400 basis points of tariff pressure, potentially leading to more mom-and-pop closures. However, the company believes it can capture traffic due to its value offering, and its recent 3.5% pricing step-up has not deterred traffic and mix growth. Future planned promotions include Sanrio in February and Jujutsu Kaisen in March and April, which could drive sales and attract new customers.

3. NewsRoom

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Kura Sushi Hangs On to Diners Despite Price Increases

Feb -09

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Kura Sushi: Mountain Of Problems, No Easy Fix

Jan -08

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Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Jan -08

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Kura Sushi Likely To Report Q1 Loss; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call

Jan -02

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Kura Sushi USA, Inc. (KRUS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -07

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Kura Sushi (KRUS) Surpasses Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Nov -07

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The Ultimate Growth Stock to Buy With $1,000 Right Now

Oct -02

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Kura Sushi USA to Participate in Two Investor Conferences in September

Sep -02

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.27%)

6. Segments

Technology-enabled Japanese Restaurant

Expected Growth: 10.27%

Kura Sushi USA's 10.27% growth is driven by increasing popularity of technology-enabled dining experiences, rising demand for convenient and affordable Japanese cuisine, successful implementation of conveyor belt sushi concept, strategic expansion into new markets, and effective marketing strategies targeting health-conscious millennials and Gen Z consumers.

7. Detailed Products

Sushi

A variety of traditional and innovative sushi rolls, sashimi, and nigiri made with fresh, sustainable ingredients

Hot Food

Japanese-inspired hot dishes, including udon, ramen, and tempura, made with high-quality ingredients

Beverages

A selection of Japanese beers, sake, and specialty drinks, including Ramune and Mugicha

Desserts

Traditional Japanese-style desserts, such as mochi and manju, as well as unique fusion desserts

Catering

Customizable catering services for events and parties, featuring Kura Sushi's signature dishes

8. Kura Sushi USA, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. faces moderate threat from substitutes, as customers have alternative dining options such as other sushi restaurants and food delivery services.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. has a high bargaining power of customers, as customers have many options and can easily switch to competitors, making it essential for the company to maintain high-quality products and services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. has a low bargaining power of suppliers, as the company has multiple suppliers for its ingredients and materials, reducing the dependence on a single supplier.

Threat Of New Entrants

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. faces a moderate threat of new entrants, as entering the sushi restaurant market requires significant investment and expertise, but new entrants can still pose a threat to the company's market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

Kura Sushi USA, Inc. operates in a highly competitive market, with many established players, making it essential for the company to differentiate itself through its unique revolving sushi bar concept and high-quality products.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 42.07%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 57.93%
Equity Cost 13.88%
WACC 9.70%
Leverage 72.62%

11. Quality Control: Kura Sushi USA, Inc. passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Potbelly

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 2.4

Growth: 6.0

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ONE Group Hospitality

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 9.8

Growth: 6.4

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Portillo's

A-Score: 3.7/10

Value: 8.5

Growth: 5.0

Quality: 4.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 3.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Good Times Restaurants

A-Score: 3.2/10

Value: 8.7

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 2.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Red Robin

A-Score: 3.1/10

Value: 8.2

Growth: 1.4

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Kura Sushi USA

A-Score: 2.7/10

Value: 3.8

Growth: 6.3

Quality: 2.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

69.85$

Current Price

69.85$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows