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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Lumentum Holdings Inc.manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.The company operates in two segments, Optical Communications (OpComms) and Commercial Lasers (Lasers).


The OpComms segment offers components, modules, and subsystems that enable the transmission and transport of video, audio, and data over high-capacity fiber optic cables.It offers tunable transponders, transceivers, and transmitter modules; tunable lasers, receivers, and modulators; transport products, such as reconfigurable optical add/drop multiplexers, amplifiers, and optical channel monitors, as well as components, including 980nm, multi-mode, and Raman pumps; and switches, attenuators, photodetectors, gain flattening filters, isolators, wavelength-division multiplexing filters, arrayed waveguide gratings, multiplex/de-multiplexers, and integrated passive modules.This segment also provides Super Transport Blade, which integrates optical transport functions into a single-slot blade; vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers; directly modulated and electro-absorption modulated lasers; and laser illumination sources for 3D sensing systems.


It serves customers in telecommunications, data communications, and consumer and industrial markets.The Commercial Lasers segment offers diode-pumped solid-state, fiber, diode, direct-diode, and gas lasers for use in original equipment manufacturer applications.It serves customers in markets and applications, such as sheet metal processing, general manufacturing, biotechnology, graphics and imaging, remote sensing, and precision machining.


Lumentum Holdings Inc.was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

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1.b. Last Insights on LITE

Breaking News: Lumentum Holdings Inc. recently presented at the UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025. The company's stock has surged 219% in a year driven by strong AI demand earnings beats and revenue growth. Lumentum's momentum is expected to continue in FY26. No recent earnings release data is available. Analysts at UBS are likely to provide insights on the company's prospects. Recommendation to buy or hold the stock comes from various analysts. Lumentum's growth strategy focuses on AI driven demand. Future outlook remains positive according to industry experts.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Lumentum's Q1FY26 Earnings: A Strong Start to the Year

Lumentum Holdings reported a robust first quarter fiscal year 2026, with revenue surging 58% year-over-year to $533.8 million, exceeding the high end of their guidance range. Non-GAAP EPS came in at $1.10, also above expectations of $1.03. The company's non-GAAP gross margin expanded by 660 basis points year-on-year to 39.4%, while non-GAAP operating margin increased by 1,570 basis points to 18.7%. The strong financial performance was driven by robust demand for the company's laser chips and optical transceivers, particularly in the cloud and AI infrastructure segments.

Publication Date: Nov -14

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Surge and Margin Expansion: Q1 revenue surged 58% YoY to $533.8M, with operating margins expanding 1,500 bps to 18.7%.
  • Components Growth: Components revenue hit $379M (+64% YoY), driven by AI/data center demand, with record EML laser shipments (100G/200G).
  • Q2 Guidance and Record Forecast: Q2 revenue guidance of $630–670M implies a new quarterly revenue record, with non-GAAP operating margin projected at 20–22%.
  • Capacity & Product Mix Shift: 40% indium phosphide capacity increase supports 200G EML laser adoption (10% mix in early 2026), boosting margins.
  • OCS & Transceiver Growth: Optical Circuit Switch (OCS) revenue to reach $100M/quarter by December 2026, while transceivers target $250M/quarter within 4–5 quarters.

Segment Performance

The components segment was a key growth driver, with revenue increasing 64% year-over-year to $379 million. The company's EML laser shipments achieved another record, driven primarily by 100-gig line speeds and supported by an increase in 200-gig shipments. The systems segment also saw strong growth, with revenue up sequentially, driven by cloud transceivers and progress in the early phases of the optical circuit switch ramp.

Guidance and Outlook

Lumentum provided a positive outlook for the second quarter, with revenue expected to range from $630 million to $670 million, representing a new all-time quarterly revenue record. The company also expects non-GAAP operating margin to expand to 20-22% and diluted net income per share to range from $1.30 to $1.50. The guidance suggests continued strong demand for the company's products, particularly in the cloud and AI infrastructure segments.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/E Ratio of 141.76 and an EV/EBITDA of 99.91, the market appears to have priced in significant growth expectations for Lumentum. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 58.4%, driven by the company's strong position in the laser chip and optical transceiver markets. The company's efforts to expand its capacity, improve execution, and drive new product ramps, such as the 1.6T transceivers and optical circuit switches, are expected to contribute to its growth prospects. As the company continues to execute on its growth strategy, investors will be watching to see if Lumentum can meet or exceed expectations.

Operational Highlights

The company's operational performance was highlighted by the successful ramp of its EML laser shipments, with a 40% increase in indium phosphide capacity expected to drive further growth. The company is also making progress in its optical circuit switch business, with a potential $100 million quarterly revenue target by December 2026. As Lumentum continues to execute on its operational priorities, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for its products in the cloud and AI infrastructure segments.

3. NewsRoom

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LITE Stock Jumps 219% in a Year: Will the Momentum Continue in FY26?

Dec -04

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Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Dec -04

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The AI Boom Is Powering an Unexpected Stock Surge—And These 3 Companies Are Winning Big

Dec -03

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Lumentum Shares Rise 4% To Intraday High After Key Trading Signal

Dec -02

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BitMine, Rocket Companies, And Symbotic Are Among the Top 10 Large-Cap Gainers Last Week (Nov. 24-Nov. 28): Are the Others in Your Portfolio?

Nov -30

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Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for Nov. 10

Nov -28

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Meta Throws Billions at Google AI Chips -- The Winners and Losers

Nov -28

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Ameritas Investment Partners Inc. Has $2.89 Million Stock Position in Lumentum Holdings Inc. $LITE

Nov -25

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.24%)

6. Segments

Optical Communications

Expected Growth: 10%

Lumentum's Optical Communications segment growth is driven by increasing demand for high-speed data transmission, 5G network deployments, and cloud infrastructure expansion. Additionally, growing adoption of remote work and online learning fuels demand for reliable and fast internet connectivity, further boosting segment growth.

Lasers

Expected Growth: 12%

Lumentum's laser segment growth is driven by increasing demand for 3D sensing technology in smartphones, adoption of cloud-based infrastructure, and rising use of lasers in industrial manufacturing processes. Additionally, growing investments in 5G infrastructure and data centers, as well as increasing demand for high-speed optical interconnects, contribute to the 12% growth rate.

7. Detailed Products

Optical Communications

Lumentum's Optical Communications segment provides a range of products for the optical communications market, including optical transceivers, optical transmission products, and subsystems.

Commercial Lasers

Lumentum's Commercial Lasers segment offers a range of laser products, including diode lasers, fiber lasers, and ultrafast lasers, for industrial, medical, and consumer applications.

3D Sensing

Lumentum's 3D Sensing segment provides laser-based 3D sensing products for applications such as facial recognition, augmented reality, and gesture recognition.

8. Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Lumentum Holdings Inc. operates in the optical and photonic industry, which is characterized by rapid technological advancements. While there are substitutes available, the company's focus on innovation and R&D helps it stay ahead of the competition.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Lumentum Holdings Inc. has a diverse customer base, including leading companies in the telecommunications, data communications, and consumer electronics industries. While customers have some bargaining power, the company's strong relationships and customized solutions help mitigate this risk.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Lumentum Holdings Inc. relies on a network of suppliers for components and materials. While the company has some bargaining power due to its size and scale, suppliers also have some leverage due to the specialized nature of the components.

Threat Of New Entrants

The optical and photonic industry has high barriers to entry, including significant R&D investments and specialized manufacturing capabilities. While new entrants are possible, they would face significant challenges in competing with established players like Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The optical and photonic industry is highly competitive, with several established players competing for market share. Lumentum Holdings Inc. faces intense competition from companies like II-VI Incorporated, Finisar Corporation, and Oclaro Inc.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 67.94%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 32.06%
Equity Cost 9.39%
WACC 5.69%
Leverage 211.96%

11. Quality Control: Lumentum Holdings Inc. passed 2 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 2.2

Growth: 4.0

Quality: 2.3

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

331.41$

Current Price

331.41$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows