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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida operates as the bank holding company for Seacoast National Bank that provides financial services to retail and commercial customers in Florida.It offers commercial and retail banking, wealth management, and mortgage services; and brokerage and annuity services.The company offers noninterest and interest-bearing demand deposit, money market, savings, and customer sweep accounts; time certificates of deposit; construction and land development, commercial and residential real estate, and commercial and financial loans; and consumer loans, including installment loans and revolving lines, as well as loans for automobiles, boats, and personal or family purposes.


As of December 31, 2021, it had 54 branch and commercial lending offices.The company was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Stuart, Florida.

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1.b. Last Insights on SBCF

The recent 3 months performance of Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida was negatively impacted by a decline in investor sentiment, as evidenced by a 7.85% drop in the stock price over the past 4 weeks. The company's technical indicators suggest that it is in oversold territory, which may have exhausted the heavy selling pressure. However, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not translate into further price increase in the near term.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Seacoast Bank Posts Strong Q4 Earnings, Driven by Loan Growth and Acquisition

Seacoast Bank reported adjusted net income of $47.7 million, an 18% year-over-year increase, with earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $0.44, slightly below estimates of $0.51. Revenue growth was robust, driven by a 31% quarterly increase in net interest income to $174.6 million. The net interest margin (NIM) is expected to expand by 10 to 15 basis points in the first quarter. The company's guidance for 2026 includes adjusted revenue growth of 29% to 31% and an adjusted efficiency ratio in the 53% to 55% range.

Publication Date: Mar -05

📋 Highlights
  • Loan Growth Acceleration: Loan outstandings surged 15% annualized, driven by commercial banking and Villages mortgage volume, with organic growth contributing 15%.
  • Wealth Management Expansion: Added $550M in new AUM, boosting noninterest income across categories while onboarding new clients.
  • Profitability Metrics: Q4 ROA hit 1.22%, ROE at 15.72%, with adjusted net income up 18% YoY to $47.7M and pre-provision earnings rising 39% QoQ to $93.2M.
  • Securities Portfolio Optimization: Sold $1.5B in securities, reducing risk and improving AFS portfolio unrealized losses by $18.5M, boosting tangible book value.
  • 2026 Guidance: Targets 29-31% revenue growth, 53-55% efficiency ratio, and 1.3% adjusted ROA, with 15% banker hiring planned to fuel 2027-2028 expansion.

Loan Growth and Acquisition Impact

Loan outstandings grew at an annualized rate of 15%, driven by the commercial banking team's success and Villages mortgage volume. The Villages acquisition added high-quality residential loans with high FICOs and strong yields, expanding Seacoast's optionality for future portfolio decisions. As Charles Shaffer mentioned, the acquisition contributed around 2% to 3% of the growth, with the company planning to be aggressive in hiring bankers, expecting a 15% increase in the banker count.

Valuation and Dividend Yield

With a Price-to-Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) ratio of approximately 1.0, Seacoast Bank appears to be reasonably valued. The Dividend Yield stands at 2.32%, indicating a relatively attractive return for income-seeking investors. Considering the company's guidance and growth prospects, the current valuation metrics suggest that the stock may be poised for further upside.

Future Outlook and Guidance

Seacoast Bank expects to deliver high single-digit loan growth and low to mid-single-digit deposit growth throughout 2026. The company's long-term efficiency ratio target is around the low to mid-50s, and they aim to operate with a reasonable profitability level and efficiency level over the cycle. As Michael Young stated, the securities yield is expected to be in the 4.40% to 4.50% range in the first quarter, depending on prepayment speeds.

Fee Income and Mortgage Banking

The company's fee income exceeded guidance, driven by retained mortgage production. They expect to retain more mortgage production in the first quarter but ease off later in the year, with mortgage banking income expected to be higher than in the past due to a servicing portfolio acquisition. Early signs of revenue synergies from the Villages acquisition are evident, particularly in wealth management and mortgage businesses.

3. NewsRoom

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Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida $SBCF Holdings Reduced by Aberdeen Group plc

Apr -06

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Toth Financial Advisory Corp Purchases 21,250 Shares of Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida $SBCF

Apr -05

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Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida (NASDAQ:SBCF) vs. National Bankshares (NASDAQ:NKSH) Head-To-Head Analysis

Apr -01

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Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida Appoints Three New Independent Directors

Mar -26

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KBW Announces Index Rebalancing for First-Quarter 2026

Mar -14

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Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida (NASDAQ:SBCF) Given Average Rating of “Hold” by Analysts

Mar -05

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Seacoast Banking Corp. EVP Sells 12k Shares For $416M

Mar -01

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Envestnet Asset Management Inc. Acquires 19,558 Shares of Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida $SBCF

Feb -21

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (2.00%)

6. Segments

Banking and Related Activities

Expected Growth: 2.0%

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida's 2.0% growth in Banking and Related Activities is driven by increasing demand for commercial loans, expansion of digital banking services, and strategic acquisitions. Additionally, a strong presence in Florida's growing markets, such as Tampa and Orlando, contributes to the growth. Furthermore, the bank's focus on customer relationships and community development initiatives also supports its growth momentum.

7. Detailed Products

Personal Banking

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida offers a range of personal banking services, including checking and savings accounts, credit cards, loans, and investment services.

Business Banking

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida provides business banking services, including commercial loans, cash management, and treasury management solutions.

Wealth Management

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida offers wealth management services, including investment management, trust services, and financial planning.

Mortgage Lending

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida provides mortgage lending services, including residential and commercial mortgage loans.

Treasury Management

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida offers treasury management services, including cash management, wire transfers, and account reconciliation.

Online Banking

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida provides online banking services, including account access, bill pay, and fund transfers.

8. Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida operates in a highly competitive market, with many substitutes available to customers. However, the company's strong brand recognition and customer loyalty help to mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida's customers have some bargaining power due to the availability of alternative banking services. However, the company's strong relationships with its customers and its ability to offer personalized services help to reduce this power.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida has a diverse supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers. The company's strong financial position also gives it the ability to negotiate favorable terms with its suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The banking industry has high barriers to entry, including regulatory hurdles and significant capital requirements. While new entrants may still pose a threat, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida's established brand and customer base provide a competitive advantage.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The banking industry is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share. Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida must continually innovate and improve its services to remain competitive.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 20.12%
Debt Cost 3.95%
Equity Weight 79.88%
Equity Cost 9.80%
WACC 8.62%
Leverage 25.18%

11. Quality Control: Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
First Capital

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 6.9

Growth: 5.7

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Provident Financial Holdings

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 5.5

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 4.4

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 10.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bank of Marin

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 1.9

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Seacoast Banking

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 5.3

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
First of Long Island

A-Score: 5.1/10

Value: 5.2

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 4.2

Yield: 9.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Heartland Financial USA

A-Score: 4.2/10

Value: 3.2

Growth: 2.2

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 2.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

32.3$

Current Price

32.3$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows