Timberland Bancorp, Inc. (TSBK) | Investment Case

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Timberland Bancorp, Inc.operates as the bank holding company for Timberland Bank that provides various community banking services in Washington.It offers various deposit products, including money market deposit, checking, and regular savings accounts, as well as certificates of deposit.

The company also provides one-to four-family residential, multi-family, commercial real estate, construction, custom and owner/builder construction, speculative one- to four-family construction, commercial construction, multi-family construction, land development construction, and land development loans.In addition, it offers consumer loans comprising home equity lines of credit and second mortgage loans; and automobile loans, boat loans, motorcycle loans, recreational vehicle loans, savings account loans, and unsecured loans, as well as commercial business loans.As of September 30, 2021, the company operated 24 branches located in Grays Harbor, Pierce, Thurston, Kitsap, King, and Lewis counties in Washington; and operated 25 proprietary automated teller machines.

Timberland Bancorp, Inc.was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Hoquiam, Washington.

Show Full description

1.b. Last Insights on TSBK

Timberland Bancorp's recent momentum is driven by its shares crossing above the 200-day moving average, a bullish technical indicator. The company's financial health is also being scrutinized, with comparisons to peers such as Citizens Community Bancorp and Northeast Bancorp, highlighting its relative strength in profitability and dividends. According to recent surveys, Timberland Bancorp's institutional ownership and earnings are being closely watched by analysts, with its dividend payout being a key factor in its attractiveness to investors.

1.c. Company Highlights

Last Price	41.4
Change Percentage	0.02%
Open	41.74
Previous Close	41.39
Market Cap ( Millions)	326
Volume	29776
Year High	43.55
Year Low	28.94
M A 50	39.31
M A 200	35.26

FCF Yield	12.28%
Dividend Yield	2.63%
ROE	11.73%
Debt / Equity	9.70%
Net Debt / EBIDTA	7.16%
Price To Book	1.22
Price Earnings Ratio	10.7
Price To FCF	8.14
Price To sales	2.88
EV / EBITDA	8.26

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

Head-To-Head Contrast: Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK) versus First Bancorp of Indiana (OTCMKTS:FBPI)

Apr -15

Source: defenseworld.net

Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK) Share Price Passes Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average – Here’s Why

Apr -08

Source: defenseworld.net

Citizens Community Bancorp (NASDAQ:CZWI) vs. Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK) Head to Head Survey

Mar -28

Source: defenseworld.net

Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK) Shares Pass Above 200-Day Moving Average – What’s Next?

Mar -27

Source: defenseworld.net

Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK) Stock Price Passes Above 200-Day Moving Average – Here’s What Happened

Mar -19

Source: defenseworld.net

Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK) Stock Crosses Above 200-Day Moving Average – Should You Sell?

Mar -11

Source: defenseworld.net

Reviewing Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK) and Broadway Financial (NASDAQ:BYFC)

Mar -08

Source: defenseworld.net

Reviewing Northeast Bancorp (NASDAQ:NBN) & Timberland Bancorp (NASDAQ:TSBK)

Feb -18

Source: defenseworld.net

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.50%)

6. Segments

Community Banking

Expected Growth: 5.5%

Growing demand for personalized banking services, increasing small business formations, and a strong Washington state economy drive growth in community banking. Timberland Bancorp's focus on customer relationships and community involvement also contributes to its growth.

7. Detailed Products

Personal Banking

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. offers a range of personal banking services, including checking and savings accounts, credit cards, personal loans, and home loans.

Business Banking

The company provides business banking services, including commercial loans, lines of credit, cash management, and merchant services.

Mortgage Lending

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. offers a variety of mortgage loan options, including fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages, construction loans, and home equity loans.

Investment Services

The company provides investment services, including brokerage services, retirement accounts, and wealth management.

Treasury Management

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. offers treasury management services, including cash management, wire transfers, and account reconciliation.

Online Banking

The company provides online banking services, including bill pay, fund transfers, and account management.

8. Timberland Bancorp, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for Timberland Bancorp, Inc. is medium due to the presence of alternative banking services and financial institutions.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for Timberland Bancorp, Inc. is low due to the lack of concentration of buyers and the presence of multiple banking options.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for Timberland Bancorp, Inc. is medium due to the presence of multiple suppliers and the moderate level of concentration in the industry.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for Timberland Bancorp, Inc. is low due to the high barriers to entry in the banking industry, including regulatory hurdles and capital requirements.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for Timberland Bancorp, Inc. is high due to the presence of multiple competitors in the banking industry, leading to a highly competitive market.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

	Value
Debt Weight	13.97%
Debt Cost	7.84%
Equity Weight	86.03%
Equity Cost	7.84%
WACC	7.84%
Leverage	16.24%

11. Quality Control: Timberland Bancorp, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

Strong Liquidity

Low Debt

Strong Interest Coverage

Healthy Cash Flow

Operating Efficiency

Strong Return On Equity

Consistent Revenue Growth

Consistent Operating Cash Flow Growth

Margin Improvement

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Timberland Bancorp

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 7.5

Growth: 5.2

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 7.0

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 8.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Midland States Bancorp

A-Score: 6.2/10

Value: 8.4

Growth: 5.6

Quality: 7.0

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peoples Bancorp

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

CNB Financial

A-Score: 5.9/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Premier Financial

A-Score: 5.0/10

Value: 4.5

Growth: 3.2

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 6.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Evans Bancorp

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 4.8

Growth: 1.9

Quality: 6.0

Yield: 6.0

Momentum: 4.5

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring ^Insights

12.f DCF ^BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

-4.69%

Short term Time

10.0

Long-Term Growth

2.00%

WACC

7.84%

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. - US8870981011

1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

1.b. Last Insights on TSBK

1.c. Company Highlights

Better Quality

Average Yield

Medium Volatility

Fairly Valued

Weak Momentum

Stable Momentum

Average Growth

Average Quality

2. Transcript Summary

3. NewsRoom

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (5.50%)

6. Segments

Community Banking

Expected Growth: 5.5%

7. Detailed Products

Personal Banking

Business Banking

Mortgage Lending

Investment Services

Treasury Management

Online Banking

8. Timberland Bancorp, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Threat Of New Entrants

Intensity Of Rivalry

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

11. Quality Control: Timberland Bancorp, Inc. passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

41.4$

Current Price

41.4$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows

12.e Scoring ^Insights

12.f DCF ^BETA