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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing and commercializing therapies for patient populations in endocrinology, neurology, and gastroenterology.The company markets Gvoke, a ready-to-use liquid glucagon for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia; and Keveyis, a therapy for the treatment of hyperkalemic, hypokalemic, and related variants of primary periodic paralysis; and Recorlev, a cortisol synthesis inhibitor proved for the treatment of endogenous hypercortisolemia in adult patients with Cushing's syndrome.It also has a pipeline of development programs to extend the marketed products into new indications and uses and bring new products using its proprietary formulation technology platforms, XeriSol and XeriJect.


The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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1.b. Last Insights on XERS

Xeris Biopharma's recent performance was driven by the strong growth of its product portfolio, particularly Recorlev, which delivered record Q2 revenue. The company's Q3 earnings report showed break-even quarterly earnings per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate. A "Moderate Buy" rating from brokerages, with five issuing a buy rating, indicates a positive outlook. The company's focus on expanding its product offerings, including XP-8121, a once-weekly levothyroxine, presents significant long-term upside potential.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Xeris Biopharma's 2025 Earnings: A Strong Foundation for Future Growth

Xeris Biopharma reported a robust financial performance for 2025, with total revenue growing 44% to $292 million, driven by strong demand across its three products: Recorlev, Gvoke, and Keveyis. Recorlev, the primary growth engine, delivered revenue of $139.3 million, more than doubling its sales year-over-year. The company achieved $59.4 million in adjusted EBITDA and reported net income on a full-year basis for the first time. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.06, beating analyst estimates of $0.03.

Publication Date: Mar -09

📋 Highlights
  • 2025 Revenue Growth:: Full-year revenue surged 44% to $292 million, led by Recorlev’s $139.3 million (100% YoY growth).
  • Adjusted EBITDA Milestone:: Achieved $59.4 million in adjusted EBITDA for the first time, alongside net income.
  • 2026 Guidance:: Revenue projected to rise 30%+ to $375–$390 million, with Recorlev driving growth and Gvoke expanding in high single-digits.
  • R&D & SG&A Investments:: $25M increase in R&D for XP-8121 and $45M in SG&A to scale Recorlev operations.
  • IP Protection & Long-Term Goals:: Patents protected until 2040 via lawsuits; maintains $1B peak sales target for Recorlev by 2035.

Revenue Growth and Product Performance

The revenue growth was primarily driven by Recorlev, which is expected to continue its upward trajectory. For 2026, the company expects total revenue between $375 million and $390 million, representing over 30% growth at the midpoint. Recorlev is anticipated to remain the key growth driver, with Keveyis expected to remain steady and Gvoke growing in the high single-digit to low double-digit range. Partnership revenue is expected to contribute 5-10% to the total revenue.

Operational Highlights and Future Plans

The company is increasing investments in R&D by approximately $25 million to advance XP-8121, a promising new product, and in SG&A by approximately $45 million to support Recorlev's growth. Xeris Biopharma remains focused on driving rapid revenue growth, advancing its pipeline, and maintaining a strong balance sheet. The company is confident in its ability to remain adjusted EBITDA positive and grow on an absolute dollars basis compared to 2025.

Valuation and Growth Prospects

With a P/S Ratio of 3.3 and an expected revenue growth rate of 30% for 2026, the company's valuation appears reasonable. However, the high P/E ratio of 174.5 indicates that the market has high expectations for future growth. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 23.0%, which may not be sufficient to justify the current valuation. The company's strong balance sheet, with a Net Debt / EBITDA ratio of -2.09, provides a solid foundation for future investments and growth.

Pipeline and IP Protection

Xeris Biopharma is making progress with XP-8121, having completed interactions with the FDA and preparing for Phase III trials with a commercial-scale device and formulation. The company has also filed a patent infringement lawsuit against ANDA filers to protect its intellectual property, defending four Orange Book patents until 2040. This demonstrates the company's commitment to protecting its IP and ensuring the long-term viability of its products.

3. NewsRoom

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Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (XERS) Presents at Barclays 28th Annual Global Healthcare Conference Transcript

Mar -11

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Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. (XERS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Mar -02

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Xeris Biopharma (XERS) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Mar -02

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Xeris Biopharma (XERS) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

Mar -02

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Why Are Shares Of Xeris Biopharma Falling Friday?

Feb -27

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Unlocking Q4 Potential of Xeris Biopharma (XERS): Exploring Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Feb -26

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Xeris Biopharma: Strong Recorlev Momentum And Pipeline Opportunity

Feb -03

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Analyzing Soleno Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SLNO) & Xeris Biopharma (NASDAQ:XERS)

Jan -29

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (10.63%)

6. Segments

Gvoke, Keveyis and Recorlev

Expected Growth: 10.5%

Growing demand for convenient and effective treatments for severe hypoglycemia, periodic paralysis, and Cushing's syndrome, driven by increasing prevalence of these conditions, advancements in biotechnology, and Xeris Biopharma's innovative products, including Gvoke, Keveyis, and Recorlev, which offer improved patient outcomes and convenience.

Royalty, Contract and Other

Expected Growth: 12.4%

Xeris Biopharma's royalty fees from licensed products, contract revenue from collaborations, and other income from miscellaneous sources are expected to drive growth. Increasing demand for innovative biopharmaceuticals, strategic partnerships, and expanding product portfolios are key growth drivers.

7. Detailed Products

Gvoke

Gvoke is a ready-to-use, room-temperature stable glucagon injection for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia in people with diabetes.

Ogluo

Ogluo is a ready-to-use, room-temperature stable glucagon injection for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia in people with diabetes.

Gvoke HypoPen

Gvoke HypoPen is a ready-to-use, room-temperature stable glucagon injection for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia in people with diabetes.

XeriSol

XeriSol is a ready-to-use, room-temperature stable glucagon injection for the treatment of severe hypoglycemia in people with diabetes.

8. Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. operates in a highly competitive industry, but the threat of substitutes is mitigated by the company's focus on developing innovative and differentiated products.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers. Additionally, the company's products are often critical to customers' operations, making it difficult for them to negotiate prices.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. relies on a few key suppliers for raw materials and services. While the company has some bargaining power due to its size, suppliers may still have some leverage in negotiations.

Threat Of New Entrants

The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive, and new entrants can easily disrupt the market. Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. must continually innovate and differentiate its products to stay ahead of new competitors.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The biopharmaceutical industry is highly competitive, with many established players and new entrants vying for market share. Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. must be highly competitive in terms of pricing, product offerings, and innovation to maintain its market position.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 103.61%
Debt Cost 9.93%
Equity Weight -3.61%
Equity Cost 9.93%
WACC 9.93%
Leverage -2866.81%

11. Quality Control: Xeris Biopharma Holdings, Inc. passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Xeris Biopharma

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 7.1

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Kymera Therapeutics

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 3.1

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Actinium Pharmaceuticals

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 3.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
MannKind

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 2.5

Growth: 8.7

Quality: 7.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Syros Pharmaceuticals

A-Score: 3.2/10

Value: 8.0

Growth: 5.4

Quality: 5.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 0.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
OmniAb

A-Score: 2.7/10

Value: 7.5

Growth: 1.6

Quality: 4.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 2.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

5.44$

Current Price

5.44$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows