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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Kelsian Group Limited provides land and marine transport and tourism services in Australia, Singapore, and the United Kingdom.It operates through Marine & Tourism, Australian Bus, and International Bus segments.The Marine & Tourism segment operates vehicle and passenger ferry services, barging, coach tours and package holidays, lunch, dinner, charter cruises, and accommodation facilities.


The Australian Bus segment operates metropolitan public bus services on behalf of governments in Sydney, Melbourne, Perth, Adelaide, and Darwin.The International Bus segment operates metropolitan public bus services on behalf of governments in London and Singapore.The company also provides finance, sales and marketing, information and technology, business development, fleet management, health and safety, and administration and risk management support services.


It operates 4,134 buses, 115 vessels, and 24 light rail vehicles, as well as 1,125 buses comprising 297 electric vehicles in London.The company was formerly known as SeaLink Travel Group Limited and changed its name to Kelsian Group Limited in November 2021.Kelsian Group Limited was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Adelaide, Australia.

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1.b. Last Insights on CY4

Kelsian Group Limited's recent struggles can be attributed to concerns over its operational efficiency and profitability. The company's recent earnings release highlighted rising costs and softening demand in its ferry and bus divisions. Additionally, the integration of recent acquisitions, such as the purchase of Wightlink, may be weighing on margins. Despite insider buying activity, including CEO Neil Smith's AU$940k stock purchase, the company's near-term outlook remains uncertain.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Transcript Summary

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3. NewsRoom

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Is Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Worth AU$4.8 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?

Nov -11

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Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Kelsian Group Limited's (ASX:KLS) Stock Up Recently?

Oct -28

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At AU$4.97, Is It Time To Put Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) On Your Watch List?

Sep -15

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Kelsian Group Full Year 2024 Earnings: EPS: AU$0.35 (vs AU$0.34 in FY 2023)

Aug -26

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With 36% stake, Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) seems to have captured institutional investors' interest

Aug -24

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Capital Allocation Trends At Kelsian Group (ASX:KLS) Aren't Ideal

Aug -06

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Kelsian Group Limited (ASX:KLS) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

May -19

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Jacqueline McArthur Bought 250% More Shares In Kelsian Group

May -04

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4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (11.00%)

6. Segments

Cyber Intelligence and Cyber Security Products

Expected Growth: 11%

Kelsian Group's 11% growth in Cyber Intelligence and Cyber Security Products is driven by increasing demand for threat detection and response, rising cyber-attacks, and growing adoption of cloud-based services. Additionally, government regulations and compliance requirements, such as GDPR and HIPAA, are fueling demand for robust cyber security solutions.

7. Detailed Products

Ferry Services

Kelsian Group Limited operates ferry services that connect people and communities, providing a vital transportation link for both passengers and freight.

Bus Services

Kelsian Group Limited provides bus services that connect people to their destinations, offering a convenient and affordable mode of transportation.

Coach Services

Kelsian Group Limited operates coach services that cater to groups and individuals, offering a comfortable and convenient way to travel.

Tour and Charter Services

Kelsian Group Limited offers customized tour and charter services that cater to specific needs and itineraries.

Logistics and Freight Services

Kelsian Group Limited provides logistics and freight services that cater to the transportation needs of businesses and industries.

8. Kelsian Group Limited's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Kelsian Group Limited operates in a niche market with limited substitutes, but there are some alternatives available to customers.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Kelsian Group Limited has a diverse customer base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Kelsian Group Limited has a moderate level of dependence on its suppliers, but it has implemented strategies to mitigate supplier risks.

Threat Of New Entrants

The market in which Kelsian Group Limited operates is attractive, and there are low barriers to entry, making it easier for new entrants to join the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The market in which Kelsian Group Limited operates is highly competitive, with many established players competing for market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

Strength

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 46.61%
Debt Cost 4.40%
Equity Weight 53.39%
Equity Cost 10.02%
WACC 7.40%
Leverage 87.31%

11. Quality Control: Kelsian Group Limited passed 0 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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BW LPG

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Value: 7.0

Growth: 8.6

Quality: 5.4

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 9.0

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China Yuchai

A-Score: 6.6/10

Value: 6.8

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 6.1

Yield: 5.0

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Kelsian

A-Score: 6.1/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 7.2

Quality: 5.0

Yield: 5.8

Momentum: 7.0

Volatility: 7.3

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A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 8.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 6.7

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Getlink

A-Score: 5.3/10

Value: 1.8

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 3.8

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 10.0

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Stadler Rail

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 5.1

Growth: 2.8

Quality: 3.4

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 5.7

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Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

2.48$

Current Price

2.48$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows