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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Trinseo PLC, a materials solutions provider, manufactures and sells plastics and latex binders in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.The company operates through six segments: Engineered Materials, Latex Binders, Base Plastics, Polystyrene, Feedstocks, and Americas Styrenics.The Engineered Materials segment offers rigid compounds, including polycarbonate compounds, acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene compounds, and PC blends to consumer electronics and medical markets for equipment housing applications; thermoplastic elastomer soft plastic compounds, such as overmolds, sealings, tubing, and films for footwear shoe sole, personal care, consumer electronics, and automotive high-end applications; and PMMA products to building and construction, automotive, medical, and consumer goods applications.


The Latex Binders segment provides styrene-butadiene, styrene-acrylate, vinylidene chloride, and butadiene-methacrylate latex products for the commercial and niche carpet markets, as well as performance latex products for the adhesive, building and construction, and technical textile paper markets.The Base Plastics segment offers various compounds and blends for automotive and other applications.This segment also engages in the acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene, styrene-acrylonitrile, and polycarbonate businesses.


The Polystyrene segment provides general purpose polystyrenes and high impact polystyrene for use in appliances, food packaging and food service disposables, consumer electronics, and building and construction materials.The Feedstocks segment offers styrene monomer, a basic building block of plastics.The Americas Styrenics segment provides styrene and polystyrene.


The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Berwyn, Pennsylvania.

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1.b. Last Insights on TSE

Trinseo PLC's recent performance was negatively impacted by a decline in net sales, with a 2.4% decrease in the three months ended December 31, 2024, compared to the same period in 2023. The company's net loss widened to $118 million in the fourth quarter, compared to a net loss of $265 million in the same period last year. Adjusted net loss also increased to $95 million, up from $105 million in the prior-year quarter. The company's diluted EPS was a loss of $3.33, compared to a loss of $7.53 in the same period last year.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Trinseo Financial Performance and Earnings Analysis

Trinseo's 2024 financial performance showcased resilience despite macroeconomic headwinds, with a notable $50 million increase in adjusted EBITDA. This improvement was driven by strategic restructuring, exit from unprofitable operations, and enhanced operational efficiency. The company's financial stability was further bolstered by strong liquidity and extended debt maturities, providing a buffer against market volatility. Notably, Trinseo's circular technologies and sustainable practices played a pivotal role in underpinning its financial resilience, aligning with growing market demand for eco-friendly solutions.

Publication Date: Mar -08

📋 Highlights
  • Improved Adjusted EBITDA Despite Macroeconomic Challenges: - Trinseo achieved a $50 million increase in EBITDA through restructuring, exiting unprofitable operations, and enhancing operational efficiency, demonstrating resilience in a challenging environment.
  • Focus on Circular Technologies and Sustainability: - The company advanced circular technologies and sustainable practices, contributing to financial resilience and aligning with long-term growth objectives.
  • Segment Restructuring and Strong Growth in Engineered Materials: - Trinseo restructured its reporting segments, with Engineered Materials showing strong growth, particularly in consumer electronics, highlighting strategic focus on high-growth areas.
  • Emphasis on Financial Stability and Debt Management: - The company maintained strong liquidity and extended debt maturities, ensuring financial stability and flexibility for future investments.
  • Cautious Outlook for 2025 with Strategic Growth Initiatives: - Trinseo anticipates lower demand recovery and challenges in key markets for 2025, but plans to strategically position for future growth through partnerships in emerging markets like India.

Financial Highlights and Margin Improvements

Revenue for the year reflected steady growth, although specific figures were not disclosed. Margins saw a significant uptick, attributed to cost-cutting measures and operational optimizations. The company's focus on high-margin engineered materials, particularly in consumer electronics, contributed to this improvement. A key highlight was the $26 million EBITDA contribution from the licensing agreement with Deepak Nitrite, underscoring the success of strategic partnerships. Additionally, Trinseo achieved $25 million in annualized savings from restructuring initiatives, a testament to its commitment to streamlining operations.

Strategic Restructuring and Segment Growth

Trinseo's restructuring efforts extended beyond financial improvements, as evidenced by the reorganization of its reporting segments. The Engineered Materials segment emerged as a growth engine, particularly in consumer electronics, driven by innovative custom formulations with 60-70% recycled content. This focus on sustainability resonated with consumers, driving demand and reinforcing the company's competitive edge. The company's ability to exit unprofitable operations and pivot toward high-growth areas highlights strategic foresight, positioning it to capitalize on emerging market trends.

Growth Drivers and Market Outlook

Looking ahead, Trinseo anticipates cautious optimism for 2025, with expectations of lower demand recovery and challenges in key markets. The company forecasted Q1 EBITDA between $60-80 million, inclusive of a one-time gain, reflecting a measured approach to 2025. Despite these challenges, Trinseo is actively positioning itself for future growth, with strategic initiatives in emerging markets like India. The company's focus on circular technologies and sustainable practices is expected to remain a key growth driver, aligning with global trends toward environmental responsibility.

Valuation and Market Positioning

From a valuation perspective, Trinseo's metrics suggest a company navigating a complex landscape. With an EV/EBITDA of 15.22, the company appears moderately valued relative to its peers, reflecting investor confidence in its turnaround efforts. The free cash flow yield of -45.74% indicates potential challenges in generating consistent cash returns, a concern that may weigh on short-term investor sentiment. However, Trinseo's focus on sustainable growth and market expansion positions it favorably for long-term value creation, particularly in high-growth regions like India.

Risk Factors and Forward-Looking Statements

Despite its strategic initiatives, Trinseo faces risks tied to macroeconomic uncertainties and market volatility. The company's cautious outlook for 2025 reflects these challenges, particularly in key markets. However, Trinseo's commitment to operational efficiency, strategic partnerships, and sustainable innovation positions it to navigate these headwinds effectively. As the company continues to diversify its product portfolio and expand into emerging markets, it is well-positioned to capitalize on future growth opportunities, despite near-term challenges.

3. NewsRoom

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Financial Contrast: Trinseo (NYSE:TSE) vs. DAQO New Energy (NYSE:DQ)

Dec -02

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Trinseo PLC (TSE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Nov -07

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Trinseo (TSE) Reports Q3 Loss, Lags Revenue Estimates

Nov -07

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Trinseo Reports Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Provides 2025 Outlook

Nov -06

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TSE Investors Have Opportunity to Join Trinseo PLC Fraud Investigation with the Schall Law Firm

Oct -29

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INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Trinseo PLC - TSE

Oct -28

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Trinseo Announces Release Date and Conference Call for its Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Oct -24

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INVESTOR ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Investigates Claims On Behalf of Investors of Trinseo PLC - TSE

Oct -23

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (1.89%)

6. Segments

Base Plastics

Expected Growth: 1.8%

Trinseo PLC's Base Plastics segment growth of 1.8% is driven by increasing demand for polystyrene and styrene-acrylonitrile resins in packaging and consumer products, as well as growing adoption of lightweight materials in the automotive industry. Additionally, the company's strategic expansion into emerging markets and ongoing efforts to improve operational efficiency also contribute to this growth.

Latex Binders

Expected Growth: 1.9%

Trinseo PLC's Latex Binders segment growth of 1.9% is driven by increasing demand from the construction and coatings industries, supported by infrastructure development and renovation activities. Additionally, the growing trend towards sustainable and eco-friendly building materials is boosting the adoption of latex binders, which offer improved performance and environmental benefits.

Engineered Materials

Expected Growth: 2.1%

Trinseo PLC's Engineered Materials segment growth of 2.1% is driven by increasing demand for lightweight materials in the automotive industry, growth in the construction sector, and rising adoption of sustainable materials in consumer goods. Additionally, the company's strategic investments in R&D and capacity expansion have improved operational efficiency and enhanced product offerings.

Polystyrene

Expected Growth: 1.7%

Trinseo PLC's Polystyrene segment growth of 1.7% is driven by increasing demand from packaging and foodservice industries, particularly in Asia. Rising e-commerce activities and growth in the global middle class are also contributing factors. Additionally, Trinseo's focus on sustainability and recyclable products is expected to support long-term growth.

Feedstocks

Expected Growth: 2.2%

Trinseo PLC's 2.2% growth in Feedstocks is driven by increasing demand for polymeric materials in the automotive and construction industries, coupled with the company's strategic expansion into high-growth markets in Asia. Additionally, Trinseo's focus on sustainability and recycling initiatives has led to increased sales of eco-friendly feedstocks, contributing to the segment's growth.

7. Detailed Products

Polystyrene

A versatile plastic material used in packaging, insulation, and consumer products

Styrene Monomer

A key raw material used in the production of plastics and resins

Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene (ABS)

A strong and impact-resistant plastic material used in automotive, consumer, and industrial applications

Styrene Acrylonitrile (SAN)

A transparent and chemical-resistant plastic material used in consumer and industrial applications

Polycarbonate (PC)

A strong and impact-resistant plastic material used in automotive, consumer, and industrial applications

Thermoplastic Elastomers (TPE)

A flexible and versatile material used in automotive, consumer, and industrial applications

Polypropylene (PP)

A lightweight and versatile plastic material used in packaging, automotive, and consumer applications

Compounds and Blends

Customized plastic materials used in various industrial and consumer applications

8. Trinseo PLC's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Trinseo PLC's products are moderately susceptible to substitutes, as customers have some alternatives available in the market. However, the company's strong brand reputation and quality products help to mitigate this threat.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Trinseo PLC's customers have limited bargaining power due to the company's strong market position and diversified customer base. This reduces the risk of customers negotiating lower prices or demanding better services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Trinseo PLC's suppliers have moderate bargaining power due to the availability of alternative suppliers in the market. However, the company's long-term contracts and strategic partnerships help to mitigate this risk.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants is low for Trinseo PLC due to the high barriers to entry in the industry, including significant capital requirements and regulatory hurdles.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry in the industry is high, with several established players competing for market share. Trinseo PLC must focus on differentiating its products and services to maintain its competitive edge.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 113.09%
Debt Cost 7.30%
Equity Weight -13.09%
Equity Cost 11.84%
WACC 6.71%
Leverage -863.73%

11. Quality Control: Trinseo PLC passed 3 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Stepan

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 3.3

Quality: 3.9

Yield: 4.0

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Ingevity

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 6.3

Growth: 2.0

Quality: 3.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Gevo

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 4.8

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 5.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Alto Ingredients

A-Score: 2.9/10

Value: 9.8

Growth: 1.8

Quality: 3.9

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Trinseo

A-Score: 2.8/10

Value: 8.5

Growth: 0.8

Quality: 1.1

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Green Plains

A-Score: 2.5/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 2.0

Quality: 1.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 2.0

Volatility: 1.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

0.67$

Current Price

0.67$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows