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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

ICON Public Limited Company, a clinical research organization, provides outsourced development and commercialization services in Ireland, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.The company specializes in the strategic development, management, and analysis of programs that support various stages of the clinical development process from compound selection to Phase I-IV clinical studies.It offers clinical development services, including early development, patient recruitment and retention, strategy and analytics, late phase research, data and technology solution, and consulting and analytics services.


The company's clinical development services also comprise medical imaging, clinical research and laboratory services, project management, site monitoring and management services, data management, biostatistics and programming, medical writing and publishing, medical affair, endpoint adjudication/data monitoring committees, pharmacovigilance, interactive response technologies, clinical supplies management, strategic regulatory, medical communication, and consulting and advisory services.It serves pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries, as well as government and public health organizations.The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

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1.b. Last Insights on ICLR

ICON Public Limited Company's recent performance was driven by strong quarterly earnings, beating estimates with $3.31 per share. The company's solid fundamentals, low debt, and undervaluation compared to other CRO companies contribute to its positive outlook. A $1,000 million share repurchase program is underway, potentially buying 6.90% of outstanding shares. Increased stakes by Allworth Financial LP and Artisan Partners Limited Partnership also support the stock. Additionally, the company's presentation at the Jefferies London Healthcare Conference highlights its growth prospects.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. ICON plc's Q3 2025 Earnings: Stability Amidst Industry Dynamics

ICON plc reported a stable Q3 2025 performance, with revenue reaching $2.043 billion, up 0.6% year-over-year and 1.3% sequentially. The adjusted EBITDA margin was 19.4%, a 20 basis point sequential decline. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $3.31, beating estimates of $3.28, and representing a 1.5% increase over Q2. The company's gross business awards totaled $3 billion, up mid-single digits year-over-year. With a current P/E Ratio of 22.65 and an EV/EBITDA of 12.8, the market seems to be pricing in a certain level of growth and profitability.

Publication Date: Oct -24

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth and Adjusted EBITDA:: Revenue reached $2.043 billion (+0.6% YoY), with adjusted EBITDA margin at 19.4% (20 bps sequential decline).
  • Capital Returns and Free Cash Flow:: Share buybacks totaled $250 million, and free cash flow hit $334 million, with EPS rising to $3.31 (+1.5% QoQ).
  • Cancellations and Guidance:: Cancellations were $900 million, expected to moderate in 2026, with full-year revenue guidance of $8.05–$8.1 billion.
  • Biotech Market Recovery:: RFP flow in biotech increased QoQ/YoY, with stable win rates and early-phase work growing double digits YoY.
  • Technology Investment and Automation:: Deployment of Orbis AI aims to offset pricing pressures, with efficiency gains expected to impact margins in 2026–2027.

Operational Highlights and Challenges

The company faced elevated cancellations of $900 million, but expects conditions to remain similar through the rest of the year and moderate in 2026. Despite this, ICON is focused on executing its strategy, prioritizing top-line growth, cost management, and technological innovation. The company is working to offset gross margin pressure through cost management, leveraging technology, and adjusting its resourcing to demand. As noted by the management, "the company is closer to the end of the process of working through cancelations than the beginning."

Industry Environment and Competitive Landscape

The industry environment seems to be improving, with increasing clarity on regulatory and trade issues. However, the competitive pricing environment remains a challenge, particularly in large pharma. The company is focused on winning through superior capabilities, expertise, and solution design, rather than cutting prices. ICON is also seeing heightened competitive activity among its competitors, driven by upstream dynamics impacting customers.

Outlook and Guidance

ICON's guidance range for full-year revenue is $8.05 billion to $8.1 billion, and adjusted EPS is $13 to $13.20. The company expects to provide guidance on its margin outlook for next year in January or February. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 1.2%. The company is investing in automation and AI to drive efficiency and offset pricing pressure, with expectations that these efficiency savings will begin to flow through in 2026 and 2027.

Valuation and Return Metrics

With a ROE of 6.32% and an ROIC of 6.87%, ICON's return metrics indicate a stable performance. The company's Free Cash Flow Yield is 7.3%, which is relatively attractive. The Net Debt / EBITDA ratio is 0.17, indicating a healthy debt position. Overall, ICON's valuation metrics suggest a stable outlook, with some potential for growth.

3. NewsRoom

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ICON Survey Reveals Increasing Clinical Trial Startup Delays, Underscoring Need for Human-Centred Site Activation Solutions

Dec -02

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ICON Public Limited Company (ICLR) Presents at Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025 Transcript

Nov -20

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Artisan Partners Limited Partnership Buys 2,893,946 Shares of Icon Plc $ICLR

Nov -19

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Allworth Financial LP Grows Stake in Icon Plc $ICLR

Nov -19

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Diamond Hill International Strategy Q3 2025 Portfolio Activity

Nov -17

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Larry Robbins Reduces Stake in Tenet Healthcare Corp by 20.69%, Impacting Portfolio by -2.99%

Nov -14

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Brandes Investment Partners, LP Significantly Reduces Vanguard Value ETF by 99.61%

Nov -14

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AN ICON HEADS TO THE LONE STAR STATE: ROYAL CARIBBEAN ANNOUNCES BOLD 2027-28 VACATIONS FROM TEXAS, CALIFORNIA AND THE NORTHEAST

Nov -12

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (8.30%)

6. Segments

Medical Labs & Research

Expected Growth: 8.3%

Growing demand for outsourcing in clinical development, ICON's expertise in central laboratory services, and increasing adoption of precision medicine drive the growth of ICON's Medical Labs & Research segment.

7. Detailed Products

Clinical Research Operations

ICON provides clinical research operations services to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device companies, including site management, patient recruitment, and data management.

Lab Services

ICON offers laboratory services, including bioanalytical testing, biomarker development, and central laboratory services, to support clinical trials and drug development.

Imaging Services

ICON provides medical imaging services, including image acquisition, analysis, and interpretation, to support clinical trials and drug development.

Regulatory and Consulting Services

ICON offers regulatory consulting services, including regulatory strategy, submission, and compliance, to support pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device companies.

Functional Service Provider (FSP) Solutions

ICON provides functional service provider solutions, including customized outsourcing solutions, to support pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device companies.

Innovative Medicines and Early Development

ICON provides innovative medicines and early development services, including translational medicine, early phase clinical trials, and proof-of-concept studies.

8. ICON Public Limited Company's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

The threat of substitutes for ICON Public Limited Company is medium due to the presence of alternative products and services in the market.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

The bargaining power of customers for ICON Public Limited Company is high due to the availability of alternative products and services, and the ability of customers to switch to competitors.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

The bargaining power of suppliers for ICON Public Limited Company is low due to the company's large scale of operations and its ability to negotiate with suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The threat of new entrants for ICON Public Limited Company is medium due to the presence of barriers to entry, such as high capital requirements and regulatory hurdles.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The intensity of rivalry for ICON Public Limited Company is high due to the presence of several competitors in the market, and the need to constantly innovate and differentiate to stay ahead.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 29.20%
Debt Cost 8.71%
Equity Weight 70.80%
Equity Cost 9.85%
WACC 9.51%
Leverage 41.25%

11. Quality Control: ICON Public Limited Company passed 5 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
Novartis

A-Score: 6.3/10

Value: 3.5

Growth: 4.2

Quality: 7.8

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 5.5

Volatility: 9.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
GSK

A-Score: 5.7/10

Value: 3.9

Growth: 2.2

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
EssilorLuxottica

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 0.8

Growth: 5.8

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 8.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Novo Nordisk

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 3.5

Growth: 8.8

Quality: 8.0

Yield: 5.0

Momentum: 0.0

Volatility: 1.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Lonza

A-Score: 4.1/10

Value: 2.8

Growth: 4.3

Quality: 4.7

Yield: 1.2

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
ICON

A-Score: 3.5/10

Value: 4.6

Growth: 7.3

Quality: 6.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

186.47$

Current Price

186.47$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows