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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Adyen N.V. operates a payments platform in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, the Asia Pacific, Latin America.The company's platform integrates payments stack that include gateway, risk management, processing, issuing, acquiring, and settlement services.It offers a back-end infrastructure for authorizing payments across merchants' sales channels, as well as online, mobile, in-store, and APIs; and data insights.


The company's platform services a range of merchants across various verticals, connecting them directly to Visa, Mastercard, and other payment methods.Adyen N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

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1.b. Last Insights on ADYEN

Adyen's recent performance was negatively impacted by concerns over the company's ability to sustain growth. Despite beating revenue estimates with 23% growth in Q3, investors are weighing near double-digit annual revenue and net income growth against broader market movements. The company's new financial targets, including 20% annual revenue growth beyond 2026 and 55% EBITDA margins by 2028, have been met with skepticism. Additionally, the end of the US tariff exemption for low-value packages posed a concern, but robust retail transactions offset this impact.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Adyen's Earnings Report: Strong Growth Despite Currency Headwinds

Adyen reported a strong set of earnings, with net revenues growing 21% on a constant currency basis to EUR 1.1 billion, driven by expanding share of wallet with existing customers and adding new customers to the platform. EBITDA grew 28%, bringing EBITDA margins up to 50%. The company saw strong growth in EMEA and North America, with Digital growing 10%, Unified Commerce growing 31%, and Platforms growing 55%. CFO Ethan reported that Adyen expects the second half of the year to play out similarly to the first half, with growth driven by expanding share of wallet with existing customers and adding new customers.

Publication Date: Aug -15

📋 Highlights
  • Revenue Growth Acceleration:: Net revenues grew to EUR 1.1 billion, reflecting a 21% increase on a constant currency basis, driven by share of wallet expansion and new customer acquisitions.
  • EBITDA Margin Expansion:: EBITDA surged 28%, pushing margins to 50%, fueled by strong performance in EMEA and North America, with Platforms growth at 55%.
  • Product Uptake Success:: Adyen Uplift saw high adoption, with 2/3 of first-half new customers implementing Protect, a subproduct driving optimization in authorization rates.
  • APAC to US Headwinds:: Tariffs and FX impacts reduced Q2 growth by 2%, expected to persist in H2 2025, though opportunities exist for APAC merchants to access new markets.
  • 2026 Guidance Reinforced:: The company reiterated growth targets, emphasizing sustained share of wallet gains and new customer additions, with EBITDA margins remaining stable amid strategic investments.

Currency Headwinds and Tariffs Impact Results

The strong euro and weak dollar, as well as tariffs, impacted Adyen's results, particularly for APAC merchants trading into the US. However, the company sees opportunities to help these merchants enter new markets. Ethan clarified that the impact of tariffs was limited to a handful of customers, and if they were excluded, Adyen's growth would have been approximately 2% higher in Q2.

Innovation and Product Growth

Co-CEO Ingo discussed Adyen's approach to innovation, including investments in infrastructure and licenses, which enable them to build products that are relevant to their customers. He highlighted the success of Intelligent Payment Routing and Adyen Uplift, which optimize authorization rates with cost and fraud. The company has started charging for Uplift, and Ingo reported that 2/3 of customers who started with Adyen in the first half have implemented Protect, a subproduct of Uplift.

Guidance and Outlook

The company reiterated its expectation of accelerating growth, driven by share of wallet gains and new customer additions. The company is focused on expanding its share of wallet with existing customers and investing in new customer acquisitions. Ethan emphasized that the growth of their own customers will continue to play an important role in their growth, but share of wallet expansion will be the biggest piece.

Valuation

Adyen's stock is trading at a P/E Ratio of 47.03, P/B Ratio of 10.28, and P/S Ratio of 21.01, indicating that the market is pricing in strong growth expectations. With a ROIC of 18.43% and ROE of 23.7%, Adyen's financial performance is strong, and the company's balance sheet strength brings flexibility to drive growth.

3. NewsRoom

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Block's BFCM Transactions Reach 142M: Is the Growth Strengthening?

Dec -03

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Adyen Processes Record $43 billion as Black Friday/Cyber Monday Weekend Sets New Benchmark for Global Payments

Dec -02

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2 Monster Stocks to Buy and Hold for a Decade

Dec -01

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Klarna Partners with Lufthansa Group for Flexible Payments via Adyen Integration

Dec -01

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Klarna partners with Lufthansa Group to enable flexible payments

Nov -28

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Adyen (ENXTAM:ADYEN): Exploring Valuation Perspectives Following Recent Share Price Volatility

Nov -27

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Klarna Set to Take off With Lufthansa Group, Bringing Flexible Payments to Travellers Across Europe and the U.S.

Nov -27

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Can Adyen’s New Partnerships Justify Its Recent Share Price Swings?

Nov -27

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (15.10%)

6. Segments

Payment Services

Expected Growth: 15.1%

Adyen's online payment solutions enable merchants to accept and manage payments, driving growth through increasing e-commerce adoption, digital transformation, and demand for seamless payment experiences.

7. Detailed Products

Payment Gateway

Adyen's payment gateway enables businesses to accept and process payments online, in-store, and through mobile channels.

Point of Sale (POS) Terminals

Adyen's POS terminals provide businesses with a secure and reliable way to accept in-store payments.

Mobile Payments

Adyen's mobile payment solutions enable businesses to accept payments through mobile devices, such as Apple Pay and Google Pay.

Online Payment Platform

Adyen's online payment platform provides businesses with a scalable and secure way to accept and process online payments.

Marketplace Payment Solutions

Adyen's marketplace payment solutions enable marketplaces to manage payments between buyers and sellers.

Recurring Payment Solutions

Adyen's recurring payment solutions enable businesses to manage recurring payments, such as subscriptions and memberships.

Risk Management and Fraud Detection

Adyen's risk management and fraud detection solutions help businesses to identify and prevent fraudulent transactions.

8. Adyen N.V.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Adyen's substitutes are limited, as the company operates in a niche market. However, there is a growing trend towards digital wallets and cryptocurrencies, which could potentially substitute traditional payment systems.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Adyen's customers are mainly large enterprises and merchants, which have limited bargaining power due to their reliance on Adyen's services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Adyen's suppliers are mainly banks and financial institutions, which have some level of bargaining power due to their importance in the payment processing ecosystem.

Threat Of New Entrants

The payment processing industry is highly competitive, and new entrants could potentially disrupt Adyen's market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The payment processing industry is highly competitive, with several established players, Stripe, PayPal, and new entrants, which leads to a high intensity of rivalry among companies.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 5.12%
Debt Cost 14.42%
Equity Weight 94.88%
Equity Cost 13.27%
WACC 13.33%
Leverage 5.39%

11. Quality Control: Adyen N.V. passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
IONOS

A-Score: 4.9/10

Value: 3.5

Growth: 7.8

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Spotify

A-Score: 4.6/10

Value: 0.5

Growth: 9.3

Quality: 6.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.0

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Cloudflare

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 2.5

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Wix

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 3.6

Growth: 9.0

Quality: 6.4

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CyberArk

A-Score: 4.0/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 6.0

Quality: 3.1

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Adyen

A-Score: 3.9/10

Value: 0.8

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 8.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

1349.4$

Current Price

1349.4$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows