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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Adyen N.V. operates a payments platform in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, the Asia Pacific, Latin America.The company's platform integrates payments stack that include gateway, risk management, processing, issuing, acquiring, and settlement services.It offers a back-end infrastructure for authorizing payments across merchants' sales channels, as well as online, mobile, in-store, and APIs; and data insights.


The company's platform services a range of merchants across various verticals, connecting them directly to Visa, Mastercard, and other payment methods.Adyen N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

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1.b. Last Insights on ADYEN

Recent developments have introduced uncertainty, with the company's expansion into SNAP EBT payments and Asia Pacific facing challenges. Adyen's partnerships, such as with Forage and Raptor, may not be sufficient to offset concerns about its valuation and competitive landscape. Additionally, the complexity of managing multiple bank accounts, as highlighted by a survey with Boston Consulting Group, may pose operational hurdles.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Adyen's Solid H1 2026 Earnings: Growth Momentum Continues

Adyen reported a strong set of earnings for the second half of 2025, with net revenue growing 21% on a constant currency basis, driven by growth with existing customers and a strong cohort of new customers. EBITDA grew 23%, with an EBITDA margin of 55% for the second half. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at €18.18, beating analyst estimates of €17.73. The company's three pillars, Digital, Unified Commerce, and Platforms, all showed strength, with Unified Commerce seeing significant growth with customers like Starbucks.

Publication Date: 08:08

📋 Highlights
  • Strong Revenue & EBITDA Growth:: 21% net revenue growth (23% EBITDA growth, 55% margin) in 2H 2025 driven by existing and new customers like Starbucks and Uber.
  • Platforms as Fastest-Growing Pillar:: Platforms saw strong traction by unifying online/in-person payments and embedding financial products, outpacing Digital and Unified Commerce growth.
  • 2026 Guidance Confirmed:: 20-22% constant currency net revenue growth expected, with EBITDA margin maintained at 2025’s 55% level despite team and automation investments.
  • North America Strength:: 30%+ growth ex-FX in 2H 2025, driven by Unified Commerce adoption, expected to sustain into 2026 as the top investment market.
  • AI & Agentic Commerce Focus:: Dynamic Identification (AI layer) powers products like Personalize, while partnerships with OpenAI and Google explore AI agents as a sales channel.

Revenue Growth Drivers

The company's growth was driven by its existing merchants, such as Uber, and new customer launches, including Starbucks. Adyen's Platforms pillar continues to be its fastest-growing, with strong traction due to its ability to unify online and in-person payments and offer embedded financial products. The company's Dynamic Identification product suite is also helping merchants improve conversion and manage risk.

Outlook and Guidance

For 2026, Adyen expects net revenue growth between 20% and 22% on a constant currency basis, with EBITDA margin expected to be similar to 2025's level. The company's growth potential is driven by its customers' priorities, including expansion into new markets and initiatives like agentic commerce. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 21.5%, which is within the company's guidance range.

Valuation

Adyen's current valuation metrics are as follows: P/E Ratio at 37.5, P/B Ratio at 6.06, P/S Ratio at 12.35, EV/EBITDA at 14.25, and ROE at 16.98%. These metrics suggest that the company is trading at a premium, but its growth prospects and strong financial performance may justify this valuation. As Ingo Uytdehaage stated, "the company is building for the long term and has confidence in its long-term growth trajectory," which may support the current valuation.

Investment Implications

The company's focus on driving growth and investing in its team and automation may lead to continued strong financial performance. With a strong pipeline across its three pillars and a focus on innovation, Adyen is well-positioned for long-term success. The company's guidance philosophy has shifted to sharing the annual view, giving the latest information from customer conversations, typically on a 12-month view.

3. NewsRoom

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Adyen und Uber erweitern globale Partnerschaft, um neue Märkte zu erschließen und Uber-Kioske einzuführen

Feb -09

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Adyen et Uber étendent leur partenariat mondial à de nouveaux marchés et lancent les kiosques Uber

Feb -09

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Fiserv, Inc. (FISV): A Bull Case Theory

Feb -07

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Assessing Adyen (ENXTAM:ADYEN) Valuation After Prolonged Share Price Weakness

Feb -05

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Stripe alumni raise €30M Series A for Duna, backed by Stripe and Adyen execs

Feb -04

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Block doubles down on European ambitions

Feb -04

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PayPal Stock Is Now Deep in Oversold Territory. Should You Buy the Dip After 8-Day Losing Streak?

Feb -03

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Sweden Buy Now Pay Later Business and Investment Report 2026: An $8.71 Billion Market by 2031 - Klarna Leads, While Banks and PSPs Including Adyen and Stripe Embed Instalments at Checkout

Feb -03

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (15.10%)

6. Segments

Payment Services

Expected Growth: 15.1%

Adyen's online payment solutions enable merchants to accept and manage payments, driving growth through increasing e-commerce adoption, digital transformation, and demand for seamless payment experiences.

7. Detailed Products

Payment Gateway

Adyen's payment gateway enables businesses to accept and process payments online, in-store, and through mobile channels.

Point of Sale (POS) Terminals

Adyen's POS terminals provide businesses with a secure and reliable way to accept in-store payments.

Mobile Payments

Adyen's mobile payment solutions enable businesses to accept payments through mobile devices, such as Apple Pay and Google Pay.

Online Payment Platform

Adyen's online payment platform provides businesses with a scalable and secure way to accept and process online payments.

Marketplace Payment Solutions

Adyen's marketplace payment solutions enable marketplaces to manage payments between buyers and sellers.

Recurring Payment Solutions

Adyen's recurring payment solutions enable businesses to manage recurring payments, such as subscriptions and memberships.

Risk Management and Fraud Detection

Adyen's risk management and fraud detection solutions help businesses to identify and prevent fraudulent transactions.

8. Adyen N.V.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Adyen's substitutes are limited, as the company operates in a niche market. However, there is a growing trend towards digital wallets and cryptocurrencies, which could potentially substitute traditional payment systems.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Adyen's customers are mainly large enterprises and merchants, which have limited bargaining power due to their reliance on Adyen's services.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Adyen's suppliers are mainly banks and financial institutions, which have some level of bargaining power due to their importance in the payment processing ecosystem.

Threat Of New Entrants

The payment processing industry is highly competitive, and new entrants could potentially disrupt Adyen's market share.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The payment processing industry is highly competitive, with several established players, Stripe, PayPal, and new entrants, which leads to a high intensity of rivalry among companies.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 5.12%
Debt Cost 14.42%
Equity Weight 94.88%
Equity Cost 13.27%
WACC 13.33%
Leverage 5.39%

11. Quality Control: Adyen N.V. passed 7 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
IONOS

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 4.0

Growth: 7.7

Quality: 6.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 2.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Cloudflare

A-Score: 4.4/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 8.1

Quality: 2.8

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 4.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Spotify

A-Score: 4.3/10

Value: 0.4

Growth: 9.3

Quality: 7.2

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 6.5

Volatility: 2.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
CyberArk

A-Score: 3.8/10

Value: 2.0

Growth: 6.0

Quality: 3.0

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Adyen

A-Score: 3.7/10

Value: 0.7

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 8.6

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 3.5

Volatility: 3.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Wix

A-Score: 3.4/10

Value: 4.2

Growth: 8.9

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 0.0

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 1.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

897.2$

Current Price

897.2$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows