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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

DNB Bank ASA provides financial services for retail and corporate customers in Norway and internationally.The company offers personal banking products and services, including savings and investment products; loans, such as home mortgages, and car and consumer loans; pet, home and property, travel, and personal insurance products, as well as insurance products for vehicles; retirement savings products; foreign exchange and treasury activities; and Internet and mobile banking services, as well as cards.It also provides business banking products and services comprising savings and investment products consisting of savings accounts, fixed rate deposits, exchange traded products, bonds and commercial papers, asset management, and equity services; financing, such as installment loans, overdraft facility, bank guarantees, leasing, factoring, and trade and export financing services; transaction banking services; research, commodities, bonds and commercial papers, corporate finance, debt capital market, equities, foreign exchange and interest rates, and securities services; and Internet services, including online equity trading, online FX trading, e-confirmation, equities execution, and investor and margin accounts, as well as pension services.


In addition, the company provides investment banking services, such as mergers and acquisition, and equity and debt capital market services; foreign exchange, interest rates, equities, commodities, fixed income, research, private equity, and securities services; and corporate banking services.Further, it offers private banking services.The company offers its products and services to various sectors, including energy; financial institutions; healthcare; manufacturing; packaging and forest products; seafood; shipping, offshore, and logistics; and telecom, media, and technology.


DNB Bank ASA was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

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1.b. Last Insights on DNB

DNB Bank ASA's recent performance was negatively impacted by lower deposit margins and high expenses, which are likely to have weighed on its Q2 earnings. Additionally, the company's income from sources other than loans and deposits may not have been sufficient to offset the rising medical care costs.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. DNB's Q3 Result: Solid Performance Amidst a Favorable Norwegian Economy

DNB delivered a solid Q3 result with a return on equity of 15.8%, earnings per share of NOK 6.99, beating analyst estimates of NOK 6.88, and a year-to-date earnings per share of NOK 20.81. Net interest income decreased by 1% due to the key policy rate, customer repricings, and product mix effects. However, the bank saw positive loan growth in all customer segments, with Personal Customers increasing by 0.4%, Corporate Banking Norway stable, and Large Corporates up 0.5%. Deposits increased by 0.6%, driven by Corporate Customer Norway and Large Corporate.

Publication Date: Oct -24

📋 Highlights
  • Strong Q3 Performance:: DNB achieved a return on equity of 15.8% and earnings per share of NOK 6.98, with year-to-date EPS at NOK 20.81.
  • Commission Income Surge:: Net commission income rose 28.9% YoY, driven by a robust activity and investment banking pipeline, with above 9% annual growth expected.
  • Healthy Credit Portfolio:: 99.4% of the portfolio is in Stage 1 and 2, supported by impairment provisions of NOK 862 million, including NOK 281 million in Poland legacy loans.
  • Capital Strength:: Core equity Tier 1 ratio at 17.9%, exceeding regulatory requirements by 135 basis points, with risk-weighted assets declining due to securitization efforts.
  • Renewable Energy Exposure:: NOK 3.7 billion in U.S. renewable energy loans (4.2% of total EaD), with management comfortable given 15 years of sector experience and shifting growth to the UK.

Revenue Growth and Commission Income

Net commission income rose 28.9% from the corresponding quarter last year, with a strong activity and investment banking pipeline moving into Q4. The bank expects above 9% annual growth in commission income, driven by Asset Management and Investment Banking. As management noted, "they have seen a substantial increase in assets under management, with a record high level of savings agreements," which will drive growth.

Asset Quality and Credit Portfolio

The credit portfolio remains robust and well-diversified, with 99.4% of the portfolio in Stage 1 and 2. Impairment provisions totaled NOK 862 million, with NOK 281 million related to the legacy portfolio in Poland. The bank's core equity Tier 1 ratio stands at 17.9%, 135 basis points above the regulatory expectation, indicating a strong capital position.

Valuation and Dividend Yield

With a Price-to-Tangible Book Value (P/TBV) ratio of 1.39 and a Dividend Yield of 6.46%, DNB's valuation appears attractive. Analysts estimate next year's revenue growth at 0.1%, which is already priced in, given the stock's current valuation multiples. The bank's focus on building a valuable business over time, rather than short-term share price developments, is a positive sign for long-term investors.

Outlook and Growth Prospects

DNB is well-positioned for growth, with a strong presence in the Norwegian market and a diversified credit portfolio. The bank's exposure to U.S. renewable energy stands at NOK 3.7 billion, and they do not see any immediate risk for higher risk weights for this exposure class. With a robust capital position and a focus on optimizing operations, DNB is poised for continued growth and profitability.

3. NewsRoom

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KITRON ASA: PRIVATE PLACEMENT SUCCESSFULLY PLACED

Nov -25

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DNB Bank (OB:DNB): Exploring Valuation as Shares Show Mixed Momentum and Stable Returns

Oct -07

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SalMar - Share buyback program has been completed

Aug -25

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SalMar - Initiation of share buyback program

Aug -21

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Flex LNG - Launch of Share Buyback Program

Aug -20

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BW Energy strengthens liquidity with USD 250 million Revolving Credit Facility

Aug -08

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Norton Rose Fulbright advises DNB Bank on sustainability-linked facility for Cadeler

Jul -30

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This Week In Digital Payment - Vietnam's Cashless Economy Set for Rapid Growth

Jul -14

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (0.90%)

6. Segments

Personal Customers

Expected Growth: 1.0%

The personal customer segment is expected to grow slightly above the global hypothesis due to the stable and essential nature of its services. Norway's stable economy supports this growth. The segment's growth is driven by the increasing demand for digital banking services.

Large Corporates and International Customers

Expected Growth: 0.7%

This segment is expected to grow below the global average due to its exposure to global economic fluctuations and intense competition in the corporate banking sector. However, DNB Bank ASA's established presence in Norway and its international network may help maintain a relatively stable growth rate.

Corporate Customers

Expected Growth: 1.1%

The corporate customers segment is expected to grow above the global hypothesis due to its importance to the Norwegian economy. Medium-sized and large corporates in Norway are likely to continue demanding financial services, supporting growth in this segment.

Other Operations

Expected Growth: 0.9%

The 'Other Operations' segment is expected to grow in line with the global hypothesis. Its diversified activities, including real estate management and asset management, are subject to various market conditions, but overall, it is expected to maintain a stable growth trajectory.

Eliminations

Expected Growth: 0.0%

By definition, 'Eliminations' does not have a growth rate as it is not a revenue-generating segment but rather an accounting adjustment to eliminate inter-segment transactions.

7. Detailed Products

Personal Banking

DNB Bank ASA offers a range of personal banking services, including current and savings accounts, credit cards, personal loans, and mortgages.

Corporate Banking

DNB Bank ASA provides corporate banking services, including cash management, trade finance, and lending solutions, to large and medium-sized companies.

Investment Banking

DNB Bank ASA offers investment banking services, including mergers and acquisitions, equity and debt capital markets, and restructuring advisory services.

Markets

DNB Bank ASA provides market-making and trading services in fixed income, currencies, commodities, and equities.

Wealth Management

DNB Bank ASA offers wealth management services, including investment advice, portfolio management, and wealth planning.

Card Services

DNB Bank ASA issues credit cards, debit cards, and prepaid cards, and provides card payment processing services.

Digital Banking

DNB Bank ASA offers digital banking services, including online banking, mobile banking, and digital payment solutions.

8. DNB Bank ASA's Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

DNB Bank ASA operates in a highly competitive market, and customers have various alternatives for their banking needs. However, the bank's strong brand and wide range of services mitigate the threat of substitutes.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

DNB Bank ASA has a large customer base, but individual customers do not have significant bargaining power. The bank's diversified customer base and wide range of services reduce the bargaining power of customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

DNB Bank ASA has a strong bargaining position with its suppliers, given its large size and market presence. The bank can negotiate favorable terms with its suppliers, reducing the bargaining power of suppliers.

Threat Of New Entrants

The banking industry has high barriers to entry, including regulatory requirements and significant capital requirements. This reduces the threat of new entrants in the market.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The banking industry in Norway is highly competitive, with several major players competing for market share. DNB Bank ASA faces intense competition from other banks, which can lead to pricing pressure and reduced market share.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 77.88%
Debt Cost 6.18%
Equity Weight 22.12%
Equity Cost 6.18%
WACC 6.18%
Leverage 352.15%

11. Quality Control: DNB Bank ASA passed 4 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

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CaixaBank

A-Score: 7.5/10

Value: 5.8

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 7.4

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Crédit Agricole

A-Score: 7.5/10

Value: 8.4

Growth: 3.7

Quality: 6.9

Yield: 10.0

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 8.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
DNB Bank

A-Score: 7.2/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 4.9

Quality: 5.5

Yield: 9.4

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 9.0

1-Year Total Return ->

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Intesa Sanpaolo

A-Score: 6.9/10

Value: 6.2

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 5.7

Yield: 9.4

Momentum: 8.5

Volatility: 7.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Erste Bank

A-Score: 6.8/10

Value: 6.4

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 6.2

Yield: 7.5

Momentum: 9.5

Volatility: 6.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Commerzbank

A-Score: 5.4/10

Value: 7.0

Growth: 4.4

Quality: 5.1

Yield: 2.5

Momentum: 10.0

Volatility: 3.3

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

270.0$

Current Price

270$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows