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1. Company Snapshot

1.a. Company Description

Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in the food distribution and specialized retail sectors in Portugal, Poland, and Colombia.The company operates through Portugal Retail; Portugal Cash & Carry; Poland Retail; Colombia Retail; and Others, Eliminations and Adjustments segments.It operates 3,250 food stores under the Biedronka name; and a chain of 290 health and beauty stores under the Hebe banner in Poland, as well as 819 food stores under the Ara name in Colombia.


The company also operates 460 supermarkets under the Pingo Doce banner; and 38 stores and 4 platforms under the Recheio name in Portugal.In addition, it operates restaurants under the Pingo Doce name; Bem-Estar stores; and petrol stations and clothing under Code brand.Further, the company operates 20 kiosks and coffee shops under the Jeronymo name; and 21 chocolates and confectionary retail stores under Hussel name.


Additionally, the company engages in human resources top management, real estate management and administration, training, and saline brackish waters aquaculture; wholesale of fruit and vegetables; retail management, consultancy, and logistics activities; the purchase and sale of real estate; growing of crops and farming of animals; retail sale of health and beauty products; manufacture of milk and dairy products; and provision of economic and accounting, business portfolio management, financial, and sea passenger water transport services.It is also involved in the trading and distribution of consumer goods; retail and wholesale of non-food products; other business support service activities; and provision of services in the area of wholesale and retail distribution.The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal.


Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. is a subsidiary of Sociedade Francisco Manuel dos Santos, SGPS, S.E.

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1.b. Last Insights on JMT

Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.'s recent performance was negatively impacted by a decline in sales growth, partly due to a slowdown in the European retail market. The company's earnings preview highlighted concerns over its ability to maintain profitability amidst increasing competition and shifting consumer preferences. Furthermore, the company's undervalued status, as identified by European stock picks, may indicate a lack of investor confidence in its growth prospects. Additionally, the company's recent earnings release was not available, but the overall market sentiment suggests a cautious outlook for the retail sector.

1.c. Company Highlights

2. Jerónimo Martins' 9M 2025 Results: Solid Performance Amidst Geopolitical Uncertainty

Jerónimo Martins Group reported a 7.1% growth in sales to EUR 26.5 billion for the first 9 months of 2025, with a like-for-like growth of 2.4%. The company's EBITDA margin expanded to 6.8% from 6.6% in the same period last year, driven by sales growth, cost control, and efficiency gains. The actual EPS came out at EUR 0.35, beating estimates of EUR 0.3229. The company's financial performance was robust, with consolidated EBITDA growing by 10.9% to EUR 1.8 billion.

Publication Date: Oct -31

📋 Highlights
  • Group Sales Growth:: Sales rose 7.1% to EUR 26.5 billion, with like-for-like growth of 2.4% and expansion contributing EUR 1 billion from Biedronka.
  • EBITDA Margin Expansion:: Consolidated EBITDA increased 10.9% to EUR 1.8 billion, boosting the margin to 6.8% from 6.6% in 2024.
  • Biedronka Performance:: Poland sales hit EUR 18.8 billion (+7.4%), with like-for-like growth at 1.8% despite tough comparisons.
  • Market Share Gains:: Biedronka gained 0.2pp market share in August 2025, driven by price leadership and cost control.
  • Working Capital Stabilization:: Working capital normalized after 2024 disruptions, with EUR 1.8 billion EBITDA reflecting operational efficiency and stock optimization.

Segmental Performance

The Polish banner, Biedronka, continued to drive growth, adding EUR 1 billion of sales at constant exchange rates in the 9-month period. Sales in Poland grew by 7.4% to EUR 18.8 billion, with like-for-like growth at 1.8% despite challenging comparisons. Biedronka's EBITDA margin performance was driven by sales growth, cost control, and efficiency gains, and the banner continued to gain market share.

Operational Efficiency and Cost Control

Ana Virgínia, Chief Financial Officer, highlighted that cost control measures and productivity gains were the main contributors to the evolution of OpEx as a percentage of sales. The company is navigating a challenging backdrop of wage increases and tight labor markets, but remains focused on protecting profitability. As Ana Virgínia stated, "our teams in Portugal and Poland have made significant efforts to optimize stock levels and ensure our profitability model works with working capital."

Working Capital and Cash Flow

The company's working capital figures are now stabilizing, and Jerónimo Martins expects a more normal pattern from now on. The correction in the market last year penalized working capital, but the growth dynamic is now different, and working capital is better. The company's business model is highly leveraged operationally, and when there is growth, particularly without deflation, working capital works in its favor.

Valuation and Outlook

3. NewsRoom

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May -20

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Apr -23

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Looking for a Growth Stock? 3 Reasons Why Jeronimo Martins SGPS (JRONY) is a Solid Choice

Apr -08

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Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA (JRONF) Full Year 2024 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Growth ...

Mar -21

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Jeronimo Martins Targets €50 Billion in Sales Within Five Years

Mar -20

4. Business Breakdown

4.a. Revenues by Country

4.b. Revenues by Segment

5. Expected revenues mid-term growth (6.87%)

6. Segments

Poland Retail

Expected Growth: 7%

Poland Retail's 7% growth is driven by Jerónimo Martins' successful expansion strategy, increasing store count and modernization efforts. Strong private label sales, effective cost management, and a growing e-commerce platform also contribute to growth. Additionally, Poland's stable economy and rising consumer spending support the segment's performance.

Portugal Retail

Expected Growth: 6%

Portugal Retail's 6% growth is driven by Jerónimo Martins' strategic expansion into convenience stores, increasing private label sales, and investments in digital transformation, including e-commerce and mobile apps. Additionally, the company's focus on improving operational efficiency, cost savings, and effective supply chain management also contribute to its growth momentum.

Colombia Retail

Expected Growth: 9%

Colombia Retail's 9% growth is driven by increasing consumer spending, urbanization, and a growing middle class. Jerónimo Martins' successful store format, Biedronka, has been well-received by Colombian consumers, contributing to market share gains. Additionally, the company's focus on private labels, efficient logistics, and cost control have enabled it to maintain profitability while investing in growth initiatives.

Portugal Cash & Carry

Expected Growth: 5%

Portugal Cash & Carry's 5% growth is driven by Jerónimo Martins' strategic expansion into rural areas, increasing private label sales, and efficient supply chain management. Additionally, the segment benefits from a strong market position, high customer loyalty, and a growing demand for convenience and value-added services.

Others, Eliminations and Adjustments

Expected Growth: 4%

Jerónimo Martins' Others, Eliminations and Adjustments segment growth of 4% is driven by increasing other operating income, mainly from rental income and foreign exchange gains. Additionally, the company's efforts to optimize its cost structure and improve operational efficiency also contribute to this growth.

7. Detailed Products

Biedronka

Discount supermarket chain offering a wide range of food and non-food products

Pingo Doce

Supermarket chain offering a wide range of food and non-food products

Recheio

Cash and carry wholesale business offering food and non-food products

Hebe

Health and beauty retail chain offering a wide range of products

Arki

Cash and carry wholesale business offering food and non-food products

8. Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.'s Porter Forces

Forces Ranking

Threat Of Substitutes

Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in the retail industry, where substitutes are limited. However, there is a growing trend of online shopping, which could pose a threat to the company's brick-and-mortar stores.

Bargaining Power Of Customers

Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. operates in a competitive market, but its strong brand presence and loyalty programs help to reduce the bargaining power of customers.

Bargaining Power Of Suppliers

Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. has a diverse supplier base, which reduces the bargaining power of individual suppliers. However, the company's dependence on a few large suppliers for certain products could increase their bargaining power.

Threat Of New Entrants

The retail industry has high barriers to entry, including significant capital requirements and complex logistics. This makes it difficult for new entrants to compete with established players like Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A.

Intensity Of Rivalry

The retail industry is highly competitive, with many players competing for market share. Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. faces intense competition from both domestic and international players, which could impact its market share and profitability.

9. SWOT Analysis

10. Capital Structure

10.a. Balance Sheet

10.b. Weighted Average Cost of capital

Value
Debt Weight 31.52%
Debt Cost 5.25%
Equity Weight 68.48%
Equity Cost 5.25%
WACC 5.25%
Leverage 46.04%

11. Quality Control: Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A. passed 6 out of 9 key points

12.a Historical Valuation

12.b Price/Earnings Ratio

12.c Margin Valuation

12.d Peers Valuation

Peers Group Analysis

Stock-Card
BIC

A-Score: 6.0/10

Value: 7.6

Growth: 4.1

Quality: 6.7

Yield: 8.1

Momentum: 1.5

Volatility: 7.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Jerónimo Martins

A-Score: 5.8/10

Value: 5.1

Growth: 5.9

Quality: 3.6

Yield: 5.6

Momentum: 7.5

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Cranswick

A-Score: 5.5/10

Value: 4.4

Growth: 6.7

Quality: 5.2

Yield: 3.1

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 9.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Colruyt

A-Score: 5.2/10

Value: 7.7

Growth: 4.6

Quality: 4.3

Yield: 6.9

Momentum: 1.0

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
SalMar

A-Score: 4.8/10

Value: 3.0

Growth: 6.6

Quality: 3.3

Yield: 6.2

Momentum: 4.0

Volatility: 5.7

1-Year Total Return ->

Stock-Card
Bunzl

A-Score: 4.5/10

Value: 4.9

Growth: 5.3

Quality: 4.8

Yield: 4.4

Momentum: 0.5

Volatility: 7.0

1-Year Total Return ->

Peers Metrics

12.e Scoring Insights

12.f DCF BETA

Parameters

Short Term Growth

Short term Time

Long-Term Growth

WACC

Target Price

0.2$

Current Price

0.2$

Potential

-0.00%

Expected Cash-Flows